Advanced-Elm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.61K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

306

Trades

1,263

lifetime

Volume

$104.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-11 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

77% 94% +$4,158

Politics

17% 71% +$5,288

Tech

4% 100% +$91

Crypto

2% 47% +$83

Sports

0% 50% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-11).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	06-11 08:10
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+45	$2	1¢	$1	-$1	06-11 08:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US strike Iran next?	6	$6.8K	6,096	6,096	+0	No	+$5,185	02-28 08:16
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	2	$5.6K	3,251	3,251	+0	Yes	+$766	04-21 13:27
will there be 5 or fewer us strikes on somalia in march 2026	10	$5.4K	3,000	2,833	+167	No	+$387	03-30 13:50
Will the US strike Somalia next?	10	$3.2K	2,079	2,079	+0	Yes	+$848	02-28 09:00
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	55	$3.2K	2,419	2,419	+0	No	+$142	05-22 09:20
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	9	$3.1K	1,595	1,595	+0	Yes	+$88	04-21 14:03
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 16 million 278	3	$3.1K	1,585	1,585	+0	Yes	+$69	02-16 04:41
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	3	$3.0K	1,566	1,566	+0	Yes	+$38	02-16 04:13
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 21 2026 151	2	$2.1K	1,050	1,050	+0	Yes	+$15	03-21 18:10
will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	1	$1.8K	1,833	0	+1,833	Yes	+$4	03-20 13:55
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 20 be between 2800000 and 3000000	2	$1.7K	966	966	+0	No	+$181	03-23 13:07
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$1.6K	905	905	+0	Yes	+$186	02-28 06:52
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 8 be between 2600000 and 2800000	2	$1.3K	652	652	+0	Yes	+$26	03-09 13:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$1.3K	816	807	+8	Yes	+$59	04-17 14:04
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 5 be between 2600000 and 2800000	2	$1.2K	647	647	+0	Yes	+$87	03-06 13:27
will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	4	$1.2K	608	608	+0	Yes	+$14	03-20 14:13
will there be between 6 and 9 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	4	$1.2K	1,120	394	+726	Yes	+$113	03-30 07:20
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	4	$1.1K	582	582	+0	Yes	+$17	03-05 18:33
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	6	$1.1K	576	575	+1	Yes	+$18	04-16 14:33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	10	$1.1K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$281	02-28 06:14
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 28 be between 2000000 and 2200000	2	$1.0K	580	580	+0	Yes	+$110	03-02 13:56
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 2 be between 2400000 and 2600000	2	$1.0K	529	529	+0	Yes	+$18	03-03 13:47
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 7 be between 2200000 and 2400000	2	$994	513	513	+0	Yes	+$30	03-09 13:54
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 4 be between 2400000 and 2600000	2	$966	487	487	+0	No	+$7	03-05 13:24
will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on february 28	9	$959	530	530	+0	No	+$90	02-28 00:05
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 6 be between 2600000 and 2800000	2	$918	465	465	+0	Yes	+$10	03-09 13:54
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 17 be less than 2600000	2	$913	915	0	+915	Yes	+$2	03-18 11:58
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 22 be between 2400000 and 2600000	3	$901	462	462	+0	Yes	+$22	02-23 13:53
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 7 be less than 2000000	2	$869	437	437	+0	No	+$4	03-09 13:58
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	5	$828	488	488	+0	Yes	+$143	02-16 03:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 08:10:00	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xc47078…
06-11 08:09:58	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	394	3¢	$12	0x7f9084…
06-11 08:08:21	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0xe27f21…
06-11 08:08:21	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3a83e0…
06-11 08:08:15	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x7f42dd…
06-11 08:08:15	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x26d523…
06-11 08:08:10	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0xfdf1cc…
06-11 08:08:10	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2902d2…
06-11 08:08:04	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x36f630…
06-11 08:08:04	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x205729…
06-11 08:08:00	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x9f5502…
06-11 08:08:00	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8cfd87…
06-11 08:07:54	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4526ca…
06-11 08:07:54	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x206f0b…
06-11 08:07:49	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6f817a…
06-11 08:07:49	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x573d07…
06-11 08:07:43	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf8839f…
06-11 08:07:43	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x4f620c…
06-11 08:07:39	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe00aa7…
06-11 08:07:39	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x6ec91b…
06-11 08:07:34	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb0eed9…
06-11 08:07:34	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x4fd12f…
06-11 08:07:06	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	10¢	$4	0x1196b6…
06-11 08:06:52	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	10¢	$4	0xeb6618…
06-11 07:36:51	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	7¢	$5	0xbe03aa…
06-11 07:36:51	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xb01dae…
06-11 07:36:45	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd02928…
06-11 07:36:40	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x70d11a…
06-11 07:36:34	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe351e7…
06-11 07:36:30	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x24931d…
06-11 07:36:25	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd20d0c…
06-11 07:36:19	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x759578…
06-11 07:36:15	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x3e4598…
06-11 07:36:09	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x40350c…
06-11 07:36:04	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1ba419…
06-11 07:36:00	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4824ac…
06-11 07:35:54	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x5d260e…
06-11 07:35:49	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x9af63a…
06-11 07:35:45	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf6ce04…
06-11 07:35:39	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x716ff6…
05-28 20:53:07	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	842	5¢	$43	0xa1c975…
05-28 20:42:49	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	785	6¢	$50	0xf11627…
05-28 20:04:42	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	891	14¢	$122	0x839ec2…
05-28 20:02:59	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	114	13¢	$15	0xd289bb…
05-28 20:02:50	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x2afd74…
05-28 20:02:40	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x4bd972…
05-28 20:00:42	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	842	10¢	$86	0x416bc7…
05-28 19:59:13	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	512	10¢	$53	0x824e24…
05-28 19:54:33	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	78	12¢	$9	0x6152cf…
05-28 19:54:21	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	171	12¢	$21	0x1deb3a…
05-28 19:46:20	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x640a28…
05-28 19:46:18	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xe390b1…
05-28 19:45:29	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x5c286b…
05-28 19:45:29	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x588941…
05-28 19:45:27	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	115	7¢	$8	0xa027c7…
05-28 19:45:17	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	93	7¢	$7	0x94f27b…
05-28 19:45:06	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x8777e9…
05-28 19:34:03	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	635	5¢	$33	0xa98aac…
05-28 19:33:37	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	90	7¢	$6	0xf5824f…
05-28 19:33:37	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xe98103…
05-28 19:33:37	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x4646bb…
05-28 19:30:47	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	124	6¢	$7	0x356607…
05-28 19:28:15	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0xcb0b8d…
05-22 09:20:58	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0x97aeb9…
05-19 22:08:02	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	500	70¢	$350	0xdb565e…
05-19 22:07:04	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x157723…
05-19 22:04:18	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	70	68¢	$48	0x17ed2f…
05-19 21:56:15	Will any AI model reach 1520 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x89d6b7…
05-19 21:39:53	Will any AI model reach 1520 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0xfef031…
05-19 21:34:01	Will any AI model reach 1520 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	99¢	$153	0xb2f3cd…
05-19 21:30:26	Will any AI model reach 1520 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	203	98¢	$199	0x7f3362…
05-19 20:46:46	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x4bd5e7…
05-19 20:46:24	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	176	63¢	$111	0x26c218…
05-19 20:46:13	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	111	63¢	$70	0x160504…
05-19 20:41:26	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xa2a0b0…
05-19 20:41:21	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf63381…
05-19 20:41:14	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xd885e0…
05-19 20:40:48	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x1152bc…
05-19 20:37:32	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	67	68¢	$45	0x7aeb01…
05-19 20:36:53	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x562374…
05-19 20:36:53	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x110974…
05-19 20:35:54	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	170	68¢	$116	0x95737e…
05-18 19:35:04	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	79	64¢	$51	0x6d26e7…
05-18 19:34:53	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	26	65¢	$17	0xbb32ee…
05-18 19:34:29	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	35	65¢	$23	0x8229a9…
05-18 19:31:34	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	306	66¢	$202	0x8887d8…
05-18 19:30:08	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	555	66¢	$367	0xb3feaf…
05-18 19:29:54	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xb61ee1…
05-18 19:29:09	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	56	67¢	$38	0xbdd66e…
05-18 19:27:10	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0x901aa7…
05-18 19:27:03	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0xe67691…
05-18 19:25:19	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	155	68¢	$106	0xd017a5…
05-18 18:55:41	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	60	70¢	$42	0xe345ac…
05-18 18:52:10	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	123	70¢	$86	0x387604…
05-18 15:42:00	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0xb9c49f…
05-18 15:21:33	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0x9a54a0…
05-18 14:25:42	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xb38feb…
05-18 14:11:38	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	135	70¢	$94	0x64b813…
05-18 13:01:03	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x7fcced…
05-18 12:58:17	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	55	71¢	$39	0xa7e792…