Cylindrical-Activation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$972

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

491

Trades

1,863

lifetime

Volume

$44.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 09-27 06:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

72% 59% -$708

Politics

25% 62% +$87

Crypto

1% 40% -$95

Tech

1% 57% -$225

Sports

1% 0% -$10

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	15	$2.5K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$133	01-23 19:17
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	10	$2.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$18	01-26 11:30
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	26	$1.6K	1,013	1,500	-487	Yes	+$377	01-25 13:20
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	8	$1.5K	1,117	1,106	+10	Yes	+$55	01-25 08:05
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	6	$1.1K	700	700	+0	No	+$11	01-25 23:04
internet access restored in iran by friday 263	9	$954	754	754	+0	No	+$11	01-28 13:17
iran strike on israel by february 28	4	$930	711	711	+0	Yes	+$14	02-01 13:55
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$899	654	654	+0	Yes	+$14	01-25 22:30
Will the US strike Iran next?	4	$846	498	498	+0	No	+$17	01-26 20:54
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	10	$833	800	800	+0	No	+$13	01-24 08:54
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	6	$825	532	532	+0	No	+$8	01-24 10:34
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours 578 355	11	$737	428	428	+0	No	+$5	01-24 12:52
Will the US strike Somalia next?	21	$667	476	476	+0	Yes	+$10	01-26 20:54
Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?	2	$657	476	476	+0	Yes	+$10	02-05 15:14
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	13	$640	368	368	+0	No	+$7	02-05 11:31
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	4	$522	300	300	+0	No	+$6	01-27 09:56
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$520	500	500	+0	Yes	+$20	01-26 08:07
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	11	$513	76,207	520	+75,688	Yes	-$64	03-13 15:53
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	3	$512	400	400	+0	No	+$8	01-26 03:48
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors	5	$500	356	356	+0	No	+$11	02-04 04:21
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 90 114	5	$480	300	300	+0	No	+$6	01-27 11:40
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$464	902	902	+0	No	+$8	03-06 14:20
will russia enter rizdvianka by february 28	2	$462	300	300	+0	No	+$6	02-04 13:04
will iran strike cyprus in march	9	$448	297	297	+0	No	+$6	03-02 14:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$445	766	766	+0	No	+$0	03-19 00:03
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 80 99	7	$441	239	239	-0	No	+$36	03-20 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 13?	2	$433	233	233	+0	No	+$33	09-13 15:40
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	3	$423	302	302	+0	No	+$6	02-04 17:49
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$407	691	691	+0	No	-$7	03-20 06:48
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64	6	$401	300	300	+0	No	+$5	01-27 11:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 06:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0x2f43b7…
09-25 18:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25?	Yes	SELL	27	14¢	$4	0x7fc6ff…
09-25 12:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x023b98…
09-25 12:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8eff41…
09-25 12:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3600d9…
09-25 12:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8a359d…
09-25 12:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x7854ab…
09-25 12:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0xbc60f9…
09-25 01:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25?	No	BUY	265	79¢	$210	0xa110f5…
09-24 15:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x6a0c42…
09-24 15:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x7f9ce8…
09-24 15:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x57647c…
09-24 15:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x510cba…
09-24 15:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0xbe39b1…
09-24 15:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0x15dfab…
09-24 15:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x425d1d…
09-24 15:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x3764bb…
09-24 14:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 24?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x581023…
09-24 14:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 24?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0xbd932a…
09-24 13:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24?	No	BUY	63	65¢	$41	0xb9ec90…
09-24 13:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0x3f631a…
09-24 12:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0x01683f…
09-24 10:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x9cf650…
09-24 10:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x37c5dd…
09-24 10:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x786940…
09-24 09:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x9f2983…
09-24 09:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xc4eee4…
09-24 09:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xea811c…
09-24 09:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x004a02…
09-24 09:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfc9e10…
09-24 09:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xd9e2c5…
09-24 09:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4a3023…
09-24 09:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x15820c…
09-24 06:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 24?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x79a66b…
09-24 03:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 24?	No	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0x2c73ea…
09-24 02:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 24?	No	BUY	115	80¢	$92	0xb09883…
09-24 02:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	111	13¢	$14	0x7fe824…
09-23 02:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x292f2e…
09-21 07:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0x13596a…
09-21 04:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2c281d…
09-21 04:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x38dcec…
09-21 04:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe7822a…
09-21 04:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xbdbd2c…
09-21 02:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xd94094…
09-21 02:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x36596c…
09-21 02:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x7a4298…
09-21 02:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x793738…
09-21 02:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x0eb8cf…
09-21 02:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x8d92b2…
09-21 02:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x584f98…
09-21 02:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0x36276c…
09-21 01:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xaa9a08…
09-21 01:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xee58fc…
09-21 01:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x7cfe75…
09-20 16:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd0044c…
09-20 16:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x47c783…
09-20 16:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x31792f…
09-20 16:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7e5f17…
09-20 16:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xccf99d…
09-20 14:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	170	34¢	$58	0x709f9d…
09-20 12:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	247	36¢	$89	0x1d2897…
09-20 12:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	95	11¢	$11	0xbc7a10…
09-20 12:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x128256…
09-20 12:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x446667…
09-20 12:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x38281b…
09-15 00:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	303	77¢	$233	0x0470c6…
09-15 00:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 14?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x74af1d…
09-15 00:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 14?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xdbe373…
09-15 00:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 14?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x4f2067…
09-14 21:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14?	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xec4457…
09-14 21:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3adbec…
09-14 21:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14?	Yes	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0x7cb881…
09-14 17:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 14?	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xf518d3…
09-14 16:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$25	0x3bbc06…
09-14 16:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	36	81¢	$29	0x59037f…
09-14 16:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	88	88¢	$78	0x675c4d…
09-14 16:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 14?	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0xedf8c8…
09-14 16:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 14?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x8d17d5…
09-14 16:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14?	No	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0x12d725…
09-14 16:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14?	No	SELL	82	24¢	$20	0x385f39…
09-14 16:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 14?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x0fa036…
09-14 16:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x25b7b2…
09-14 16:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x7eb90e…
09-14 16:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x09e178…
09-14 16:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 14?	No	SELL	33	31¢	$10	0xd78e8e…
09-14 15:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	SELL	29	37¢	$11	0x56fea8…
09-14 14:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x5b87b2…
09-14 12:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14?	No	BUY	80	80¢	$64	0x295ee5…
09-14 12:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc3576c…
09-14 11:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x5381f9…
09-14 11:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xecc724…
09-14 11:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0xeb72cc…
09-14 11:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 14?	No	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x151495…
09-14 10:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 14?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3a7e40…
09-13 17:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 13?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc3fb9f…
09-13 16:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 13?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xa46a26…
09-13 15:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 13?	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0x7415a6…
09-13 12:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 13?	Yes	BUY	120	12¢	$15	0x17fa88…
09-13 12:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5f7667…
09-13 12:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xb2896c…