Virtual-Thunderhead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$493

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

6,610

Trades

13,006

lifetime

Volume

$181.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-02 06:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 180 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 85% +$493

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 17:30 UTC	79	$302	325	328	-3	Up	-$10	01-09 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:05 UTC	4	$201	205	0	+205	Up	+$3	03-06 13:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 18:00 UTC	62	$152	302	0	+302	Down	$0	01-30 18:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 11:30 UTC	63	$149	287	0	+287	Up	-$4	02-02 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:45 UTC	61	$138	276	0	+276	Up	+$0	01-06 11:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 16:30 UTC	58	$134	263	0	+263	Up	-$4	01-18 16:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 15:30 UTC	45	$131	277	0	+277	Up	-$4	01-30 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:40 UTC	6	$131	219	0	+219	Down	-$7	04-08 05:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 19:30 UTC	63	$131	265	0	+265	Up	-$1	01-09 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 11:30 UTC	64	$128	251	0	+251	Up	-$2	01-07 11:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 19:30 UTC	57	$127	250	0	+250	Down	-$2	01-30 19:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 18:45 UTC	63	$127	245	0	+245	Up	-$7	01-12 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 18:15 UTC	56	$127	250	0	+250	Down	-$2	02-02 18:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 20:00 UTC	55	$127	248	0	+248	Down	+$1	01-30 20:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 16:30 UTC	56	$126	249	0	+249	Down	-$1	02-02 16:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 08:15 UTC	58	$126	250	0	+250	Down	-$16	01-10 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 21:15 UTC	55	$126	250	0	+250	Up	-$1	01-30 21:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 09:45 UTC	52	$125	246	0	+246	Up	+$0	01-18 09:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 21:15 UTC	75	$125	246	0	+246	Down	+$0	01-04 21:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 16:00 UTC	54	$124	240	0	+240	Up	-$4	02-02 16:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 21:45 UTC	59	$123	240	0	+240	Up	-$3	01-18 21:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 10:45 UTC	64	$123	250	0	+250	Up	+$1	01-04 10:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:15 UTC	50	$123	245	0	+245	Down	-$3	02-02 22:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:15 UTC	50	$123	241	0	+241	Down	-$3	02-04 08:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 07:30 UTC	56	$122	240	0	+240	Down	-$2	01-06 07:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 11:00 UTC	54	$122	240	0	+240	Down	-$2	01-04 11:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 14:00 UTC	55	$122	240	0	+240	Down	-$2	02-02 14:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 16:45 UTC	70	$122	255	0	+255	Down	+$8	01-12 16:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 13:45 UTC	58	$121	240	0	+240	Down	-$1	01-13 13:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 10:45 UTC	52	$121	240	0	+240	Down	-$1	02-02 10:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 06:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd7b27f…
09-02 06:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x1a2504…
09-02 06:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xab0203…
09-02 05:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe8c30c…
09-02 05:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0xb8be83…
09-02 05:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xf9a0e3…
09-02 01:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0xa0d0f7…
09-02 01:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0xb5befc…
09-02 00:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x94ffa0…
09-02 00:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x4e3e82…
09-02 00:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xe7a768…
09-01 23:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7f1aab…
09-01 21:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x341554…
09-01 21:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0xc4733f…
09-01 21:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5f808b…
09-01 20:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x74a937…
09-01 19:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xc3c486…
09-01 19:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x029526…
09-01 19:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xe8f5da…
09-01 19:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x71b8dc…
09-01 18:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x3cf021…
09-01 18:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x072e0e…
09-01 18:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x35c58c…
09-01 16:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7bd506…
09-01 16:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xfe2fa4…
09-01 15:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x70169f…
09-01 15:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x11bfa7…
09-01 15:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x731d32…
09-01 14:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa257cc…
09-01 14:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcbcfa7…
09-01 13:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x3cf91c…
09-01 13:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x2afbc2…
09-01 12:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x33e7f6…
09-01 12:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x08e870…
09-01 12:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x11482d…
09-01 12:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x426941…
09-01 12:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x2a7cce…
09-01 12:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xda65bf…
09-01 11:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x484ff8…
09-01 11:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x335bb0…
09-01 11:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x887b53…
09-01 11:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xca7702…
09-01 11:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x42e5b5…
09-01 11:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x9f6ff2…
09-01 10:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x264bf3…
09-01 10:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6ee3e6…
09-01 10:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xae8ad2…
09-01 10:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4d9a4f…
09-01 10:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd2c6c5…
09-01 10:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x6f6805…
09-01 09:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x7205ac…
09-01 09:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x4ba6b9…
09-01 09:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x98e6d8…
09-01 09:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x7cfb34…
09-01 09:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x6fa26f…
09-01 08:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9c558c…
09-01 08:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xecf31c…
09-01 06:28:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7f419e…
09-01 06:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xec6e74…
09-01 05:54:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x2b0f55…
09-01 05:51:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xa9631b…
09-01 05:49:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	9¢	$5	0x0b7b09…
09-01 05:48:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x34ac1d…
09-01 05:43:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xc8b774…
09-01 05:13:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3b07a6…
09-01 05:02:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5208a4…
09-01 04:53:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0xf34e04…
09-01 04:51:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xa03cf7…
09-01 04:48:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xc7ca24…
09-01 04:04:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc9b9f1…
09-01 04:02:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x9d553c…
09-01 03:23:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xf5e52d…
09-01 02:32:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcc3100…
09-01 02:19:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6a937e…
09-01 02:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x79c668…
09-01 02:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x56dbf4…
09-01 02:12:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x54f0ee…
09-01 02:01:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0xaf4cc5…
09-01 01:43:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x05b9c4…
08-31 22:38:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x934045…
08-31 22:07:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x83e0ef…
08-31 21:21:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x845bb0…
08-31 20:58:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xe5496a…
08-31 20:39:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf84b35…
08-31 20:28:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x9bfc5d…
08-31 20:23:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xac4b95…
08-31 19:04:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xf2f49f…
08-31 19:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x0a5a40…
08-31 18:46:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xafcb93…
08-31 18:09:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x4d1f22…
08-31 17:42:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x93cc37…
08-31 17:24:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4e755c…
08-31 17:17:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb18247…
08-31 16:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x2056e4…
08-31 16:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xae48e3…
08-31 15:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xe0d22e…
08-31 15:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x30982d…
08-31 15:12:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xdb440a…
08-31 15:09:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdf92f9…
08-31 15:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x9f9378…