Super-Conditioner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$241

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$30.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$296

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 09-19 08:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 100% +$13

Other

37% 88% +$24

Sports

16% 40% -$288

Tech

6% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$4.3K	2,152	2,152	+0	No	+$0	05-29 02:28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$2.2K	2,250	0	+2,250	No	+$2	05-21 09:20
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$2.2K	2,205	0	+2,205	Spurs	+$4	05-25 02:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	1	$2.2K	2,193	0	+2,193	No	+$2	06-01 12:36
Thunder vs. Spurs	16	$2.2K	2,203	0	+2,203	Spurs	+$13	05-29 03:09
will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 4	1	$2.1K	2,142	0	+2,142	No	+$2	06-05 03:16
bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	1	$2.1K	2,142	0	+2,142	No	+$2	06-04 12:04
ethereum above 2000 on june 15 2026	1	$2.0K	1,986	0	+1,986	No	+$2	06-15 08:36
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	3	$2.0K	1,990	0	+1,990	Yes	+$10	06-28 03:47
xrp above 0pt7 on june 24 2026	1	$2.0K	1,972	0	+1,972	Yes	+$2	06-24 08:39
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,912	0	+1,912	No	+$14	06-14 07:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	7	$1.8K	1,809	0	+1,809	Yes	+$6	06-30 13:29
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14?	2	$1.6K	1,639	0	+1,639	No	+$2	06-15 01:49
bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	1	$220	220	0	+220	No	+$0	06-17 06:11
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	06-30 13:26
Spurs vs. Thunder	6	$194	218	18	+200	Thunder	+$8	05-27 02:53
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	1	$180	200	0	+200	Knicks	-$180	06-11 03:11
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 140 159	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	01-11 13:29
xrp above 1pt2 on june 25 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-25 13:16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-16 08:30
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$94	96	0	+96	No	+$2	07-01 14:44
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$85	87	0	+87	No	+$2	02-18 02:08
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$79	79	0	+79	No	+$0	04-21 05:47
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	04-21 05:47
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	3	$35	55	0	+55	Knicks	-$35	06-06 02:14
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$35	77	0	+77	Thunder	-$35	05-23 01:47
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$30	54	0	+54	Knicks	-$30	05-23 12:49
will bitcoin reach 71k on june 4	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-04 12:03
bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-20 07:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 27?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-27 13:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 08:29:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe27e25…
08-28 01:46:21	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb655fd…
08-28 01:44:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xec2308…
07-01 14:44:08	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0xec0c95…
07-01 12:27:29	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9b61dc…
07-01 12:25:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xb8baf6…
07-01 12:22:11	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x586699…
07-01 12:21:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8b9c9e…
07-01 12:08:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x98b976…
06-30 13:29:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	706	100¢	$704	0x4b050c…
06-30 13:27:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0x9c1c32…
06-30 13:26:52	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x81cf87…
06-28 13:29:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x392def…
06-28 13:29:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2c5af3…
06-28 13:29:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa65ca6…
06-28 13:28:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x3a60c4…
06-28 13:27:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x601859…
06-28 13:20:16	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x958ed0…
06-28 13:19:08	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x56bb16…
06-28 03:47:02	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	1,390	100¢	$1,384	0x082dfd…
06-28 03:10:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0xb857b7…
06-28 03:10:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x193fe3…
06-28 03:05:07	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0f32b5…
06-27 13:46:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa4fc52…
06-25 13:38:32	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfc7107…
06-25 13:36:25	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x7f292b…
06-25 13:16:23	xrp above 1pt2 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf87a8e…
06-24 08:39:22	xrp above 0pt7 on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	1,972	100¢	$1,970	0xa0d7c7…
06-24 08:37:59	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7cb6b5…
06-23 12:45:46	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xdacc5a…
06-23 12:45:40	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xba73c0…
06-23 12:45:29	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x2ef117…
06-21 12:35:05	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x209fa0…
06-20 08:03:01	ethereum above 1600 on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7b2d31…
06-20 07:35:02	bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x04a3a3…
06-17 06:11:11	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xdeaba2…
06-17 03:05:07	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x21f483…
06-16 08:30:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd0dbb0…
06-16 08:17:49	bitcoin above 70k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc604a6…
06-15 08:36:45	ethereum above 2000 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	1,986	100¢	$1,984	0x458a22…
06-15 08:32:06	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2a7c93…
06-15 01:49:46	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x3512b0…
06-14 22:04:49	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14?	No	BUY	639	100¢	$639	0x46858d…
06-14 08:00:13	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6514f9…
06-14 07:50:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xfe7bc3…
06-14 07:46:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,712	99¢	$1,700	0x18e0b7…
06-11 03:11:18	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xd48bf9…
06-06 02:14:30	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x05d140…
06-05 14:35:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf574fc…
06-05 03:16:15	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 4	No	BUY	2,142	100¢	$2,140	0x77c090…
06-04 12:04:04	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	2,142	100¢	$2,140	0x176242…
06-04 12:03:39	will bitcoin reach 71k on june 4	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x17a232…
06-04 11:59:58	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xe1da61…
06-01 12:36:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	2,193	100¢	$2,191	0x11b347…
06-01 12:30:12	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xdba516…
05-29 05:12:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x31d6a6…
05-29 03:09:29	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	831	100¢	$830	0xd4cb70…
05-29 03:09:29	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x81280f…
05-29 03:09:15	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8ec636…
05-29 03:09:15	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57bf76…
05-29 03:09:12	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3854b1…
05-29 03:09:08	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0x1e3b2a…
05-29 03:09:01	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xb7313e…
05-29 03:08:49	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xa734b7…
05-29 03:08:45	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x138a06…
05-29 03:08:44	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xca11ea…
05-29 03:08:42	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd70787…
05-29 03:08:42	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x617c69…
05-29 03:08:40	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xe32ce0…
05-29 03:08:31	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x338c5c…
05-29 02:31:10	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	474	99¢	$469	0x735d4a…
05-29 02:28:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1,614	100¢	$1,613	0xac3cc9…
05-27 13:41:59	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x426f6b…
05-27 02:53:02	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0e2fc0…
05-27 02:52:53	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	199	93¢	$185	0xc350c6…
05-27 02:51:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	538	100¢	$537	0x03b1d9…
05-27 02:51:38	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0xa79192…
05-26 14:14:18	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4906a7…
05-26 14:14:13	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x633e80…
05-26 14:14:08	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa48ead…
05-25 07:09:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2,152	100¢	$2,150	0x3957a6…
05-25 07:06:53	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x35ca3e…
05-25 02:38:26	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2,205	100¢	$2,201	0xcbf4a3…
05-23 12:49:23	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xd575c2…
05-23 01:47:14	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x6ae547…
05-22 11:34:17	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xb426cf…
05-21 09:20:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2,100	100¢	$2,098	0xa06915…
05-21 08:26:32	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x9340ff…
04-21 05:47:54	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x879484…
04-21 05:47:44	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x88e14c…
04-21 05:47:34	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 400 419	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbcebe2…
03-18 09:48:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xabb95a…
03-18 09:48:25	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe45ce7…
03-18 09:48:11	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 580plus	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x632dca…
02-27 11:33:57	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 20 39	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x478ef9…
02-18 02:08:23	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 80 99	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3f95af…
02-18 02:08:09	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x59e1bb…
02-18 02:07:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x64160c…
02-18 02:07:39	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2eb51e…
02-18 02:07:25	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x422382…