Whole-Study-Originality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.88K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

2,119

Trades

8,000

lifetime

Volume

$101.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-25

last 11-12 16:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 35% -$3,942

Other

1% 25% +$19

Sports

0% 27% -$65

Politics

0% 57% +$110

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 15?	Yes		+11	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-11 18:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 21?	29	$1.1K	1,445	1,117	+328	No	+$60	07-22 02:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?	43	$1.1K	1,529	1,529	+0	Yes	+$373	08-04 16:03
will bitcoin reach 66k on july 15	21	$1.0K	2,373	808	+1,565	No	-$328	07-15 19:32
will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	41	$914	1,769	1,573	+196	No	+$158	07-19 03:23
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?	54	$860	2,191	2,191	+0	No	-$64	07-24 21:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 26?	10	$850	709	709	+0	Yes	+$257	08-26 14:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?	25	$815	794	794	+0	Yes	+$118	07-30 09:21
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?	26	$790	854	854	+0	No	+$24	07-24 03:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?	8	$764	1,832	1,832	+0	Yes	+$484	09-21 10:59
will bitcoin reach 65k on july 19	24	$723	886	790	+96	Yes	+$36	07-19 19:52
bitcoin up or down on august 25 2026	14	$706	636	636	+0	Up	+$166	08-25 15:42
will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	58	$666	4,240	3,082	+1,158	No	-$122	07-19 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$646	353	349	+4	Up	+$49	04-26 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	7	$613	501	464	+37	Down	-$89	04-26 12:00
will bitcoin reach 66k july 13 19 2026	44	$594	1,571	1,571	+0	No	+$39	07-19 18:15
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	34	$551	3,369	3,369	+0	No	-$61	07-24 15:47
will bitcoin reach 67k on july 22	60	$549	2,016	2,016	+0	No	-$91	07-23 02:39
bitcoin above 66k on august 19 2026	16	$546	910	910	+0	Yes	+$466	08-19 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$542	505	492	+13	Down	-$101	04-26 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$531	557	0	+557	Down	+$25	04-25 11:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?	14	$529	574	574	+0	Yes	+$289	09-21 10:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	14	$524	504	504	+0	No	+$213	09-11 14:04
will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	15	$509	3,217	3,217	+0	No	+$295	07-19 11:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29?	11	$505	497	464	+33	No	+$125	08-29 14:49
will bitcoin reach 65k on august 5	18	$500	529	483	+47	Yes	+$105	08-05 20:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 27?	9	$471	376	376	+0	Yes	+$91	08-26 16:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 29?	9	$467	580	580	+0	No	+$21	08-28 10:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	17	$457	858	374	+484	No	-$21	09-15 11:23
will bitcoin reach 65k on august 18 2026	15	$439	390	390	+0	Yes	+$218	08-18 14:27
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?	34	$437	1,799	1,799	+0	No	-$1	07-25 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 16:58:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 14?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$1	0xcac9a9…
11-12 14:29:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x4fc7ab…
11-12 14:29:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfaefe2…
11-12 14:29:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x06b27d…
11-12 13:20:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc16f1c…
11-12 13:19:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 14?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x86ae55…
11-12 10:26:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x8490ff…
11-12 10:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xe1a5fe…
11-12 10:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x01e071…
11-12 10:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf9c7e5…
11-12 09:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xafe44b…
11-12 09:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x51023e…
11-12 09:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x653fc3…
11-12 09:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xee2aa8…
11-12 09:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3ab2b7…
11-12 09:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xb29654…
11-12 09:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4b1b38…
11-12 09:08:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-11-12 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5d080f…
11-12 09:08:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-11-12 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x19875d…
11-12 08:53:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 14?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3411ec…
11-12 08:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x44e195…
11-12 08:52:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x2f68a6…
11-11 20:14:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 14?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x828896…
11-11 20:11:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 14?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb89da7…
11-11 20:10:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 14?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4e1418…
11-11 20:06:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3f8988…
11-11 18:47:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 15?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9bfe63…
11-11 18:46:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 14?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xde2135…
11-11 18:46:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x2c19a4…
11-11 16:45:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc60c0f…
11-11 16:44:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	23	91¢	$20	0x6d8d26…
11-11 16:01:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0x6890b1…
11-11 14:43:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfca7a4…
11-11 14:38:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 12?	Yes	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x9bb6e1…
11-11 14:34:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x87efbc…
11-11 14:33:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7fe0cc…
11-11 09:22:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 12?	Yes	SELL	43	9¢	$4	0x67e7cb…
11-11 09:21:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc4b110…
11-11 09:20:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2012b1…
11-11 09:20:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 13?	Yes	SELL	18	14¢	$2	0xf37fb1…
11-11 09:20:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 13?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xe184b8…
11-11 08:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x91a052…
11-11 08:20:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x165260…
11-11 08:14:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x007355…
11-11 07:24:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x0aa610…
11-10 20:05:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x74a8da…
11-10 20:04:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 13?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xf711f6…
11-10 19:19:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x54f31d…
11-10 18:52:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xb40415…
11-10 16:57:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x74283d…
11-10 15:57:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9964f1…
11-10 15:57:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4493fc…
11-10 15:54:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x71b6cf…
11-10 15:49:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe6b40c…
11-10 15:49:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xf5e399…
11-10 15:47:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x839486…
11-10 15:46:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xa3aee2…
11-10 15:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xc47668…
11-10 15:36:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x83b098…
11-10 15:35:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x765dce…
11-10 15:35:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9dd8e8…
11-10 15:23:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xd607d8…
11-10 15:22:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x739f10…
11-09 14:49:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcb007f…
11-09 14:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xbbc67c…
11-09 14:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xe1e6b8…
11-09 14:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xc5ad06…
11-09 14:44:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xeac828…
11-09 14:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd7f2cf…
11-09 14:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x06d9c0…
11-09 14:37:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6c62d8…
11-09 14:35:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 9?	Yes	SELL	104	0¢	$0	0x91d461…
11-09 09:14:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x25da0a…
11-09 09:14:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 10?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xbec277…
11-09 06:47:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x67bc68…
11-09 06:14:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x637f75…
11-09 06:14:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 10?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0x8d35c8…
11-09 06:14:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 10?	Yes	SELL	87	2¢	$2	0xdcf00f…
11-09 02:31:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x08a790…
11-08 17:30:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x737298…
11-08 17:28:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 10?	Yes	SELL	49	15¢	$7	0x3740ee…
11-08 17:24:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4fb7ba…
11-08 17:03:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7c83aa…
11-08 16:32:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0dcf42…
11-08 16:27:06	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x86ef9d…
11-08 16:05:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x4f17c3…
11-08 16:05:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 8?	Yes	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xa99096…
11-08 15:32:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 8?	Yes	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x1651f1…
11-08 11:47:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 8?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x656536…
11-08 11:47:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 8?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x6643e6…
11-08 11:34:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x405709…
11-07 20:02:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 8?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x3e7b9e…
11-07 20:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfe4c9b…
11-07 19:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x48c02e…
11-07 19:31:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2d13d6…
11-07 18:03:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 8?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x97f9bb…
11-07 17:15:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4bc7e4…
11-07 16:21:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x9bf15c…
11-07 16:20:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xce8ba9…
11-07 16:20:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x4bc724…