Dreary-Twine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.28K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

Trades

329

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-26 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

72% 72% +$3,011

Tech

23% 79% +$1,457

Crypto

3% 50% -$94

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Politics

1% 33% -$100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	10	$1.5K	1,100	1,100	+0	Mbappé	+$282	10-26 18:20
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	20	$1.4K	2,159	0	+2,159	Yes	+$766	10-26 18:48
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	16	$1.1K	980	980	+0	Yes	+$546	06-08 23:26
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?	13	$747	525	525	+0	Yes	+$178	06-30 17:45
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	9	$708	2,136	2,136	+0	open	—	09-15 18:39
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$641	929	0	+929	Yes	+$289	10-26 18:54
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	5	$550	1,041	0	+1,041	Yes	+$491	07-02 12:05
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	5	$365	228	228	+0	open	—	10-20 20:53
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	10	$356	310	310	+0	Yes	-$15	07-22 10:45
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	2	$351	264	264	+0	Yes	+$71	06-09 15:05
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	2	$314	200	200	+0	No	+$66	05-10 18:43
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	2	$306	350	105	+245	Yes	+$138	08-26 17:28
Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	1	$300	360	0	+360	Yes	+$60	08-20 16:34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$300	357	357	+0	No	-$100	05-17 12:55
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	6	$289	315	315	+0	Yes	+$80	06-23 12:24
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	2	$286	180	180	+0	Yes	+$27	09-30 16:48
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	6	$279	535	0	+535	Yes	+$256	08-31 11:01
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	4	$268	200	200	+0	No	+$72	08-17 03:12
will the gta 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long	3	$264	325	0	+325	Yes	+$61	08-27 03:10
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	11	$264	200	200	+0	No	+$84	05-26 14:20
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	9	$258	817	817	+0	open	—	10-15 20:47
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	5	$256	643	0	+643	Yes	+$387	07-24 15:17
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	14	$248	350	350	+0	open	—	10-21 12:15
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	4	$239	150	150	+0	Yes	+$50	07-07 17:10
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$238	346	32	+314	Yes	+$136	05-19 10:47
Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	6	$225	250	0	+250	Yes	+$25	10-03 13:29
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	1	$220	242	0	+242	Yes	+$22	09-25 09:27
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	6	$203	350	350	+0	Yes	-$28	04-19 11:30
Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	1	$200	216	0	+216	Yes	+$16	10-04 13:20
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	2	$198	230	230	+0	No	-$2	07-11 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:54:38	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	280	72¢	$201	0x7b94df…
10-26 18:52:03	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$37	0x50860c…
10-26 18:48:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	343	73¢	$249	0x782952…
10-26 18:48:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x333941…
10-26 18:48:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	127	73¢	$92	0xe83726…
10-26 18:20:54	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	SELL	728	82¢	$597	0x635233…
10-26 18:05:54	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x29ae18…
10-26 18:02:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	238	72¢	$172	0xedd185…
10-26 18:02:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	168	72¢	$121	0xb5247e…
10-26 18:02:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x8d3c7f…
10-26 18:02:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x1c4249…
10-26 17:56:39	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	SELL	49	82¢	$40	0xf6533b…
10-26 17:51:48	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xb3dc90…
10-26 17:48:11	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	SELL	316	82¢	$259	0x7d5555…
10-23 14:28:33	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x83ad86…
10-23 14:28:30	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xafa8a1…
10-23 14:28:30	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x7587c8…
10-23 14:28:29	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xb0f9ea…
10-21 12:15:59	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	222	28¢	$62	0xf39600…
10-21 10:51:51	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x7b4d26…
10-21 10:17:20	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xe07e34…
10-21 00:35:59	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	68	67¢	$46	0xa9564e…
10-20 21:03:00	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	130	67¢	$87	0x60a4e5…
10-20 20:53:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	82¢	$103	0x5b30ab…
10-20 20:26:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	82¢	$84	0x2fd11d…
10-20 19:32:20	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	402	67¢	$269	0xf503f9…
10-19 01:51:27	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xed1258…
10-19 01:50:14	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x60463b…
10-19 00:29:59	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0x42cddd…
10-18 20:14:21	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xb69614…
10-18 19:43:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	199	65¢	$130	0x2da38b…
10-18 18:13:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	87	65¢	$57	0x9193c3…
10-18 18:01:15	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x273edf…
10-18 17:55:21	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x88d045…
10-18 17:53:41	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xe5a29d…
10-18 17:52:00	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x4e27c6…
10-18 17:50:20	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0x67f2f8…
10-18 17:48:09	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0xca219e…
10-17 20:15:17	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x7a768c…
10-17 20:15:00	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0x5f1189…
10-15 20:47:18	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	817	1¢	$9	0x9a56f7…
10-15 18:16:56	ballon dor 2026 kylian mbappe or lamine yamal to finish higher	Mbappé	BUY	250	45¢	$112	0x18f37d…
10-14 19:16:22	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	98	62¢	$61	0xdd5a74…
10-14 19:16:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0xb7c6a8…
10-14 19:16:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x5b8613…
10-14 19:14:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x795f95…
10-13 09:15:31	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	84	62¢	$52	0xfc7017…
10-13 09:15:31	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xac540c…
10-13 09:15:31	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x8f0060…
10-13 09:15:31	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x77f53b…
10-13 09:08:37	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	145	62¢	$90	0xbc5655…
10-13 05:27:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0x3ebcb8…
10-11 03:57:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	70¢	$54	0xd1af35…
10-10 22:48:30	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0x0db5e6…
10-09 03:41:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	84¢	$108	0x9d7ef1…
10-09 00:53:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	245	53¢	$131	0xf6bfef…
10-08 22:17:48	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	58¢	$81	0x75b119…
10-08 16:02:47	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	30¢	$52	0xf271ff…
10-08 14:13:20	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x7bce7b…
10-08 12:27:05	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xb6c1fc…
10-08 12:16:47	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	40¢	$23	0xcfab0a…
10-08 11:20:18	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	30¢	$75	0x355486…
10-07 15:41:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x0b6322…
10-04 13:20:26	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	216	93¢	$200	0xcbe12d…
10-03 13:29:35	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xe22e1b…
10-03 13:28:18	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	65	90¢	$58	0xfbed77…
10-03 13:21:35	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0x4b94b4…
10-03 13:21:35	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x17db6a…
10-03 13:21:26	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd62a5b…
10-03 13:21:26	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x9a26f3…
10-01 01:49:02	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	291	43¢	$125	0x5198e4…
09-30 22:54:38	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	59	43¢	$25	0xc09ee6…
09-30 16:48:12	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Yes	SELL	180	87¢	$157	0xdc844a…
09-29 23:10:36	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Yes	BUY	180	72¢	$130	0xab2963…
09-25 09:27:11	Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	242	91¢	$220	0xe4823b…
09-15 18:39:28	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,486	6¢	$89	0x8fd9b6…
09-15 17:35:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	466	16¢	$75	0x3f9221…
09-15 17:22:55	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x0ba534…
09-15 17:22:51	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x13f354…
09-15 04:12:34	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x69ed25…
09-15 03:05:48	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x0557e7…
09-14 21:44:52	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	18¢	$72	0xf77212…
09-14 21:33:51	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	256	28¢	$72	0xaf0fd7…
09-13 06:25:31	Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xb37dbf…
09-13 02:04:09	Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x6556fd…
09-13 02:04:07	Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x5d734a…
09-13 00:57:43	Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x0ded19…
09-12 23:52:45	Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x270c04…
09-12 23:52:43	Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x4b06cb…
09-12 23:51:49	Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x93fa9f…
09-12 23:51:25	Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week?	No	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x6b8142…
09-12 19:32:22	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	650	21¢	$136	0x054d3c…
09-10 23:32:57	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x968a87…
09-10 07:55:37	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x75baaf…
09-10 06:18:33	Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	283	8¢	$23	0x4da027…
09-07 17:25:07	Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x760827…
09-04 18:03:55	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	No	BUY	180	85¢	$153	0x8ff4c3…
09-04 07:30:10	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x779eee…
09-04 06:57:09	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	188	36¢	$68	0x52c235…
09-04 06:41:28	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	37	36¢	$13	0xa25ae6…