Scratchy-Tummy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

4.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$875

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$525

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-07 00:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Crypto

28% 10% $-69

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?	No		+730	$511	72¢	$525	+$15	06-07 00:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?	4	$511	730	0	+730	open	—	06-07 00:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$119	140	0	+140	open	—	05-23 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	05-04 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	5	$33	45	15	+30	Down	$-3	05-04 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	1	$32	80	0	+80	Up	$-32	05-04 21:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$18	24	12	+12	Down	$-11	05-05 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-04 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$9	118	0	+118	open	—	05-03 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$9	14	0	+14	open	—	05-03 13:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$9	8	8	+0	Down	$-1	05-05 07:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$6	18	18	+0	Up	$-4	05-05 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	$-5	05-04 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-04 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$5	36	0	+36	Down	$-5	05-13 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Up	$-5	05-04 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-04 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-04 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 15:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-05 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 17:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 00:08:18	Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x340dae…
06-04 16:46:01	Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x1a4bf6…
06-04 16:45:31	Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x993887…
06-04 15:09:33	Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	521	70¢	$365	0xed8555…
05-23 12:33:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	85¢	$119	0xb8dcfc…
05-13 11:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x67f1ca…
05-05 07:28:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0xa3eab0…
05-05 07:26:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x8e045f…
05-05 07:26:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x797f7d…
05-05 07:22:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0x290ce1…
05-05 07:21:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x153a13…
05-05 07:16:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x2a777b…
05-05 07:16:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb3598e…
05-05 07:05:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x8522b0…
05-04 23:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa24322…
05-04 23:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x018e04…
05-04 23:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3b34a8…
05-04 22:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc34b03…
05-04 21:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0xefa10b…
05-04 20:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x572987…
05-04 20:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0xb6d498…
05-04 20:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x1d6d19…
05-04 20:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x324ed8…
05-04 17:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2ce503…
05-04 17:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xad3773…
05-04 15:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x505f7d…
05-04 15:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x364bad…
05-04 15:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x486cf2…
05-04 15:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x5b864c…
05-04 15:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x015bdd…
05-04 15:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0c4e43…
05-04 12:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0xa39909…
05-04 12:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x6afb23…
05-04 12:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3d424a…
05-04 12:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8479f5…
05-04 11:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xffd7e8…
05-03 18:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0xaf2dd1…
05-03 18:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x17ad64…
05-03 13:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	113	4¢	$4	0xdcf43b…
05-03 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x163528…
05-03 13:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xae151a…
05-03 13:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8e0265…