Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

Trades

242

lifetime

Volume

$3.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-11

last 08-19 18:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

50% 23% +$306

Other

31% 16% -$291

Crypto

19% 29% -$32

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes		-125	-$6	0¢	$-0	+$6	08-19 18:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike oman again in march	23	$540	3,774	524	+3,250	No	+$303	04-05 19:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	8	$284	179	177	+2	Yes	+$25	03-06 13:41
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	6	$259	10,814	10,814	+0	No	+$52	02-26 11:52
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$225	734	534	+200	Yes	+$261	02-28 06:19
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	18	$185	7,554	7,554	+0	No	+$26	04-01 06:38
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	6	$154	9,300	2,000	+7,300	No	-$78	03-23 09:54
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	10	$131	4,359	3,693	+667	No	-$19	04-08 21:26
will the us invade iran by march 31	8	$103	585	100	+485	No	-$33	03-29 21:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?	6	$98	66	66	+0	Yes	+$19	03-03 05:44
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	9	$88	934	589	+345	No	-$19	02-28 11:38
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	14	$81	4,527	4,527	+0	No	-$54	02-26 13:29
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	7	$79	879	176	+703	No	-$50	04-05 19:14
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	6	$65	136	136	+0	Yes	+$5	03-30 07:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$62	1,216	147	+1,069	No	-$54	04-12 20:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	7	$57	1,330	1,176	+154	No	-$3	04-10 11:04
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	4	$56	685	0	+685	No	-$56	04-05 00:54
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	5	$52	2,877	1,429	+1,448	No	-$18	03-09 09:59
will trump cut off trade with spain	2	$51	2,000	1,120	+880	No	-$9	03-24 20:29
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$45	83	83	+0	Yes	+$15	02-18 13:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$44	409	0	+409	No	-$44	03-29 07:55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$43	30	30	+0	Yes	+$3	04-12 04:04
will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	8	$42	3,344	3,487	-143	No	-$7	02-27 20:20
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	2	$40	6,250	0	+6,250	No	-$40	02-22 09:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$36	109	109	+0	No	-$34	04-14 16:51
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$32	2,927	2,927	+0	No	-$8	02-11 01:18
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in April 2026?	3	$32	19	19	+0	No	+$4	03-30 20:12
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	4	$30	149	0	+149	No	-$30	04-09 08:17
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	3	$30	1,366	0	+1,366	Yes	-$30	02-26 21:49
will iran strike lebanon in march	1	$27	57	0	+57	Yes	+$30	03-23 10:47
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	3	$26	232	182	+50	No	-$2	04-10 11:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 18:10:13	Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	5¢	$4	0x66b52e…
08-19 18:08:54	Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x157d47…
08-19 18:08:54	Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x0e7b09…
08-19 18:08:30	Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x1ca0cf…
04-14 17:41:08	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x1a1f04…
04-14 17:09:00	trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x40052d…
04-14 16:51:48	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	109	1¢	$1	0x4d55ed…
04-14 16:37:02	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0xefd366…
04-12 22:04:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x859672…
04-12 21:54:51	Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xab1b21…
04-12 21:53:29	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x45bf02…
04-12 21:17:37	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	213	0¢	$1	0x2ab7f9…
04-12 20:42:19	Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	351	1¢	$2	0xa8ba32…
04-12 20:42:01	Military action against Iran ends by April 14, 2026?	No	BUY	214	1¢	$2	0x8bf5ec…
04-12 20:41:39	Military action against Iran ends by April 13, 2026?	No	BUY	251	1¢	$2	0xb40ef8…
04-12 20:41:11	Military action against Iran ends by April 12, 2026?	No	BUY	251	1¢	$2	0x190de2…
04-12 20:37:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0xd27ce8…
04-12 19:25:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x481b19…
04-12 04:04:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	30	75¢	$23	0xf3e6b9…
04-11 18:18:13	Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	2¢	$3	0xda1f23…
04-10 13:44:37	Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x79377c…
04-10 11:30:59	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x81ebe6…
04-10 11:04:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	6¢	$10	0xa0dd01…
04-10 10:43:47	Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x49dd60…
04-10 10:25:19	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	59	13¢	$8	0xbe88b9…
04-10 10:23:43	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xbd34ad…
04-10 09:55:43	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	41	9¢	$4	0xe2435b…
04-10 09:47:25	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	SELL	182	7¢	$12	0x220c25…
04-09 18:58:55	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x7d76d9…
04-09 08:17:41	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x979d61…
04-09 08:15:43	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x635c56…
04-09 07:49:09	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x55e577…
04-09 03:43:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x432e7b…
04-08 23:18:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	2¢	$2	0x97f996…
04-08 22:41:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	2¢	$5	0xb08bc5…
04-08 22:26:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x8e70f0…
04-08 22:06:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	328	2¢	$7	0xddd4b8…
04-08 21:56:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x8355af…
04-08 21:55:07	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x953acd…
04-08 21:51:53	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd65085…
04-08 21:49:37	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x7e1072…
04-08 21:45:09	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x96d78b…
04-08 21:32:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	147	3¢	$4	0x91a77f…
04-08 21:26:17	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,226	1¢	$19	0x6317d4…
04-08 21:24:17	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$3	0x5334b2…
04-08 21:22:23	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$6	0x00bf83…
04-08 19:11:55	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$1	0x0e705c…
04-08 19:10:53	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xb30fa4…
04-08 14:27:55	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	2¢	$3	0x7bced2…
04-08 14:24:33	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	182	5¢	$10	0x48fb5c…
04-08 14:17:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	520	2¢	$13	0xb02310…
04-05 19:15:05	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x45fa1c…
04-05 19:14:29	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0x6e60d0…
04-05 01:10:15	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	10¢	$13	0xb0e02f…
04-05 01:04:09	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	10¢	$15	0x88b147…
04-05 01:04:09	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x1c483e…
04-05 00:54:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x2f2125…
04-04 23:48:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0x2422c6…
04-04 23:35:07	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x5823b0…
04-04 23:20:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	238	8¢	$19	0x2e69a1…
04-04 23:10:39	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	797	1¢	$10	0xad0eef…
04-04 14:51:37	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0xc19fa2…
04-04 14:27:33	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xbbfd0d…
04-04 14:27:13	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0xd3b543…
04-04 14:26:55	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	SELL	250	81¢	$202	0xdaca5a…
04-04 14:26:41	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	SELL	122	81¢	$99	0x841458…
04-02 16:34:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0x0d406e…
04-02 16:33:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0xd91f56…
04-02 13:06:31	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x1a07ce…
04-02 10:39:43	will trump say third term in march	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x1b7995…
04-02 10:32:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x2ca0c4…
04-02 10:32:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x42b2b2…
04-02 10:27:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	588	3¢	$20	0x7fc4d0…
04-01 16:14:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x0a1552…
04-01 16:04:15	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0x810f7d…
04-01 06:38:53	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	780	0¢	$1	0x82199c…
04-01 02:06:49	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,528	0¢	$3	0xcf55f1…
03-31 14:24:49	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	9¢	$21	0x18062a…
03-31 14:06:41	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	592	2¢	$10	0x25dfdf…
03-31 14:03:25	crude oil all time high by march 31	Yes	SELL	267	0¢	$0	0x442520…
03-31 14:02:31	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	455	0¢	$1	0x9e98fb…
03-30 20:12:45	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in April 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x923c7e…
03-30 20:07:17	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in April 2026?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$13	0x97c2b6…
03-30 19:10:13	1k container ship transits of suez canal in q1 2026	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0xfc0a51…
03-30 15:20:15	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x97de28…
03-30 12:32:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0xde19ad…
03-30 12:06:38	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	94	8¢	$8	0x46d168…
03-30 12:04:28	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x667768…
03-30 12:04:18	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xeac650…
03-30 12:04:18	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xccc59c…
03-30 12:04:18	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x6e4316…
03-30 07:52:00	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	114	26¢	$30	0x4ddc5d…
03-30 06:57:32	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x6c0062…
03-30 06:55:56	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xe861ed…
03-30 06:53:44	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x8e123c…
03-30 06:52:10	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x5a7b4f…
03-29 23:04:00	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0x89cd66…
03-29 22:06:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	114	7¢	$8	0x0c4a62…
03-29 21:36:24	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x286f49…
03-29 21:35:52	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0xc19916…