Complex-Dessert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$202

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

1,195

Trades

3,160

lifetime

Volume

$39.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-30 23:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Other

75% 91% -$64

Crypto

23% 86% -$142

Politics

2% 83% +$10

Sports

1% 78% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 24?	13	$314	220	100	+120	No	+$6	07-24 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?	9	$273	138	138	+0	Yes	+$2	07-13 18:17
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 1?	10	$251	127	127	+0	No	+$3	07-01 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 29?	7	$237	120	120	+0	No	+$2	06-29 07:05
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on August 13?	13	$237	210	68	+143	No	+$2	08-13 08:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14?	11	$225	114	114	+0	Yes	+$3	08-14 20:49
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 25?	5	$220	229	0	+229	No	+$9	07-25 12:32
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 27?	5	$214	219	0	+219	No	+$5	08-26 17:48
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on August 12?	12	$212	221	0	+221	No	+$9	08-11 20:27
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 10?	8	$211	182	36	+145	Yes	+$7	08-10 13:53
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 20?	6	$207	170	41	+129	No	+$4	08-20 14:55
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on August 9?	23	$196	201	0	+201	No	+$5	08-09 00:54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 1?	2	$177	89	89	+0	No	+$1	09-01 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 26?	8	$175	89	89	+0	No	+$3	06-26 06:25
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 10?	6	$174	88	88	+0	No	+$2	07-10 13:58
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 3?	7	$172	87	87	+0	No	+$2	07-03 06:00
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 26?	8	$167	85	85	+0	No	+$3	06-26 14:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?	3	$166	170	0	+170	No	+$4	07-26 06:51
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 11?	12	$164	171	0	+171	No	+$7	08-10 18:56
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 22?	7	$156	160	0	+160	No	+$4	08-22 02:29
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on June 2?	6	$155	79	79	+0	No	+$3	06-02 08:55
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on August 16?	20	$145	151	0	+151	No	+$6	08-16 05:17
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 19?	13	$143	150	0	+150	No	+$6	08-19 00:55
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 24?	5	$143	148	0	+148	No	+$5	08-23 12:11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 10?	6	$140	71	71	+0	No	+$2	07-10 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?	4	$138	70	70	+0	Yes	+$1	07-09 13:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 15?	10	$132	140	0	+140	No	+$8	08-14 20:57
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 1?	5	$131	129	49	+80	Yes	-$118	08-31 21:27
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 4?	3	$131	66	66	+0	Yes	+$1	08-04 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 18?	5	$129	105	27	+78	No	+$3	08-18 07:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:22:10	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x9be4c1…
10-30 14:16:00	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xfafc65…
10-30 14:15:40	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x1d5182…
10-28 06:32:31	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe9192a…
10-27 21:19:24	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x071ba8…
10-27 21:19:23	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9b9e02…
10-27 16:30:05	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x23ff06…
10-24 21:10:08	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe54db1…
10-24 18:37:21	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x875733…
10-21 15:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7d899f…
10-21 14:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb60d7b…
10-16 05:09:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x387f91…
10-15 15:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xd5c605…
10-15 15:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb1fa33…
10-15 15:29:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x3a65d6…
10-15 10:01:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xc5fbb4…
10-14 14:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xce310d…
10-13 14:44:17	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xd18d79…
10-11 13:53:37	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6157e6…
10-11 13:17:07	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa7cc44…
10-11 13:15:13	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4bf910…
10-11 12:07:25	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xbc1383…
10-09 13:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4e038b…
10-08 12:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x76b40a…
10-06 13:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x35c7bd…
10-05 18:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x72c8da…
10-04 05:06:49	Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xd9f11f…
10-02 16:16:20	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x665895…
10-02 16:16:18	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x6386e0…
10-02 16:14:35	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xf0e889…
10-02 13:08:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xcb031e…
10-02 13:06:17	Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x1a28ac…
10-01 09:06:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x9f1d1a…
10-01 09:04:51	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x96a17b…
10-01 07:17:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xac510b…
10-01 06:52:18	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	No	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x501773…
10-01 06:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x0afa41…
09-30 19:37:17	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4d31db…
09-30 19:32:57	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe3bf42…
09-30 19:31:38	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xbede7a…
09-30 19:30:24	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x96f4ec…
09-30 08:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd70249…
09-30 07:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4b5d29…
09-30 07:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9de328…
09-30 07:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x54adb2…
09-30 07:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xc0f365…
09-30 07:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5c238d…
09-29 20:16:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29?	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x88498c…
09-29 19:44:56	spx up or down on september 29 2026	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf4db5d…
09-29 19:44:32	spx up or down on september 29 2026	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf1d555…
09-29 15:25:03	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd44da6…
09-29 13:28:14	spx opens up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x835184…
09-29 13:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7f9246…
09-29 07:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xee8802…
09-29 06:44:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x1f42fe…
09-28 15:12:30	spx opens up or down on september 28 2026	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0b978d…
09-28 13:10:17	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1a8ccf…
09-28 12:39:20	spx opens up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbb0169…
09-28 12:24:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc99484…
09-28 12:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xca3226…
09-28 09:32:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xef776c…
09-28 09:19:06	Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x521d00…
09-28 07:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 28?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0x7b4597…
09-28 06:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x06a5c6…
09-28 06:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 28?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x091332…
09-27 17:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 28?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x6e5d35…
09-27 17:38:09	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe170e3…
09-27 17:34:44	Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x69b65a…
09-27 16:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 28?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf45e44…
09-27 12:27:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd9ae35…
09-27 11:28:08	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3386b8…
09-27 07:39:00	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x8b18fe…
09-25 16:13:05	wti closes above 89 on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2e66e5…
09-25 14:02:35	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1bc856…
09-25 12:25:08	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x6a1762…
09-25 11:53:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 26?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8af1ca…
09-25 10:10:41	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 26?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x904c6c…
09-25 10:10:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 26?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xeda307…
09-25 10:08:12	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 26?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe2a5d3…
09-25 09:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc03a95…
09-25 09:28:20	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 25?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfaa5e9…
09-25 09:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on September 24?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xe5a5b5…
09-25 09:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfc23cd…
09-25 08:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0xe88c2c…
09-24 18:22:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 25?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1749fd…
09-24 18:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x7b8878…
09-24 17:47:09	meta up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa76640…
09-24 15:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd7db81…
09-24 15:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x539017…
09-24 12:47:24	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xa1a0c9…
09-24 12:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x191194…
09-24 11:57:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe26c9f…
09-23 21:32:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 24?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x801087…
09-23 19:21:26	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on September 23?	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfb98cc…
09-23 11:40:02	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x29ce2b…
09-23 09:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x33c923…
09-23 09:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x455bef…
09-23 09:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x9828a9…
09-23 08:23:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 24?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc0f0cb…
09-22 20:24:14	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc5b2b6…