Jaunty-Academics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,045

lifetime

Volume

$257.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$126

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-27 03:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

43% 57% $-74

Other

34% 100% +$0

Sports

22% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes		-0	$-0	0¢	$-0	+$0	06-21 01:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us invade iran by march 31	59	$29.4K	32,017	75,690	-43,673	open	—	03-29 23:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	68	$27.1K	25,587	27,587	-2,000	open	—	04-11 16:44
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	67	$23.5K	41,857	64,007	-22,150	open	—	03-30 16:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	193	$18.2K	28,396	28,396	+0	open	—	04-11 23:48
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	24	$14.9K	11,500	13,500	-2,000	open	—	04-08 22:46
nba hou gsw 2026 04 05 total 226pt5	14	$7.1K	6,793	7,732	-938	open	—	04-06 00:44
nba por den 2026 04 06 total 238pt5	4	$6.0K	4,750	7,696	-2,946	open	—	04-06 14:10
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$5.6K	7,654	7,654	+0	open	—	04-03 15:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	50	$5.2K	5,454	5,454	+0	open	—	04-11 07:11
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	3	$5.2K	2,730	2,730	+0	open	—	04-06 19:03
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	33	$4.5K	6,010	8,773	-2,763	open	—	04-12 03:03
any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	33	$4.5K	10,361	10,361	+0	open	—	03-31 22:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	25	$4.2K	7,882	8,382	-500	open	—	04-01 01:23
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 3pt5	2	$4.0K	4,166	4,166	+0	open	—	04-07 13:52
nba cle mem 2026 04 06 total 233pt5	14	$3.7K	4,000	4,000	-0	open	—	04-06 18:08
spx opens up or down on april 1 2026	13	$3.4K	3,145	4,061	-916	open	—	04-01 01:30
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	16	$3.3K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	04-12 02:17
nba hou gsw 2026 04 05 spread away 3pt5	12	$3.1K	3,250	3,250	+0	open	—	04-05 23:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	24	$3.0K	3,550	3,398	+152	open	—	04-09 11:57
nba cle mem 2026 04 06 spread away 13pt5	5	$2.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-06 21:39
nba det orl 2026 04 06 total 221pt5	2	$2.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-06 19:23
nba det orl 2026 04 06 total 225pt5	13	$2.7K	2,952	2,952	+0	open	—	04-06 15:34
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 spread home 1pt5	13	$2.7K	1,936	2,000	-64	open	—	04-08 18:26
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	46	$2.6K	3,857	3,716	+140	open	—	04-16 01:39
nba mem mil 2026 04 05 total 228pt5	10	$2.4K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	04-05 18:41
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	3	$2.2K	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	03-28 17:08
nba det orl 2026 04 06 spread away 2pt5	13	$2.2K	2,350	2,350	+0	open	—	04-06 12:56
nba bkn tor 2026 04 12 total 217pt5	22	$2.0K	2,150	2,150	+0	open	—	04-12 13:19
nba por den 2026 04 06 total 239pt5	4	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-06 12:57
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	41	$2.0K	4,368	4,446	-78	open	—	04-11 09:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 03:59:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2baf25…
06-26 22:33:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xb7af58…
06-26 15:41:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x5ac4a0…
06-23 03:44:31	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	SELL	150	3¢	$5	0x1a24a9…
06-21 19:20:49	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0xb38675…
06-21 16:30:04	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x949cda…
06-21 01:04:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xe139c8…
06-19 11:23:04	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1bbb7a…
06-17 15:18:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x1c0a4e…
06-17 11:05:20	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xb8bbee…
06-17 06:30:28	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0xff794b…
06-17 06:27:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xecf745…
06-17 05:58:50	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x194a13…
06-17 03:56:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x6aa042…
06-16 16:41:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xe23851…
06-16 12:18:22	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x676344…
06-16 12:17:58	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0x9ef05c…
06-16 05:05:30	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	80	52¢	$42	0x61301b…
06-16 05:02:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x2576bc…
06-16 02:24:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe26c8d…
06-16 02:12:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1b4519…
06-16 01:32:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaabdb2…
06-16 01:32:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x637ea9…
06-16 01:32:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa24bfc…
06-16 01:32:09	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d814f…
06-16 01:32:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x9d0356…
06-16 00:44:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xad583a…
06-16 00:44:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x838652…
06-16 00:44:21	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x0ef16d…
06-16 00:42:39	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xba1e60…
06-15 23:32:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x1ab575…
06-15 23:32:24	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x8299a4…
06-15 23:30:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x309b43…
06-10 05:49:55	will xauusd dip to 4100 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x1de78c…
06-10 05:11:16	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x158937…
06-10 02:39:36	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x97e23b…
06-05 08:10:43	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xcd5076…
06-04 23:32:24	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcc3652…
06-04 02:13:22	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x3ff588…
06-04 00:30:55	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x2e081a…
06-04 00:30:52	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xecca5f…
06-03 17:13:51	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x3ae951…
06-03 17:08:07	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xf2af81…
06-03 03:51:22	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x1de7f6…
06-02 17:22:25	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x6c658c…
06-01 02:58:46	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x7092d9…
06-01 01:11:42	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x88521f…
05-31 19:59:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0xd65c96…
05-30 20:34:22	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xf3f3da…
05-30 19:10:41	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	68	10¢	$7	0x8b1085…
05-30 18:49:50	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa1c6cd…
05-30 18:47:56	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x61b680…
05-30 18:45:03	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0x70cd84…
05-30 18:04:15	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x20a204…
05-30 18:04:15	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x20a204…
05-30 17:54:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	73	5¢	$3	0x12e9d9…
05-30 17:24:21	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x6d23c0…
05-30 17:21:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0x6b6026…
05-30 17:11:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x45de8d…
05-30 17:11:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x165652…
05-30 17:06:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$5	0xdb6b23…
05-30 12:40:37	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x719aef…
05-30 10:18:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x9b5e62…
05-30 06:58:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xbfe779…
05-30 06:32:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x23d55b…
05-30 06:26:14	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x1db02f…
05-30 06:05:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x977efb…
05-30 05:20:07	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xdc7d28…
05-30 05:19:39	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0xc5abb9…
05-30 05:19:32	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x77ee6f…
05-30 05:19:18	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x3f76df…
05-30 05:19:09	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x951eed…
05-30 05:18:57	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x698786…
05-30 05:18:51	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x302cbb…
05-30 05:17:06	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xe8e3a6…
05-29 14:35:26	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xca5502…
05-29 14:22:36	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0xb147cb…
05-29 13:59:38	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0xb4f4b4…
05-29 05:52:54	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x9ab46f…
05-29 05:47:11	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x9c0a35…
05-29 02:51:10	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xe3705f…
05-29 01:56:03	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x8a3def…
05-29 01:54:07	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xe563ce…
05-29 01:41:57	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xa54eba…
05-29 01:38:52	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xbdac23…
05-26 22:28:49	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xf7860d…
05-26 22:16:11	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	43	70¢	$30	0xa91fa0…
05-26 17:00:47	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4b2da7…
05-26 16:49:14	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x8e774a…
05-26 16:07:56	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$45	0x5ac3a4…
05-18 13:55:48	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0xebfe27…
05-18 13:54:33	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb3ef72…
05-18 13:39:10	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	47	37¢	$17	0xd999c3…
05-18 13:37:39	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x9d4701…
05-18 00:40:32	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xd7354e…
05-15 18:59:05	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	43	66¢	$28	0x5750cd…
05-15 18:57:36	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xc5c194…
05-15 18:18:45	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	No	SELL	37	15¢	$6	0x51bbdf…
05-15 17:57:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	110	23¢	$25	0xa95721…
05-15 17:22:45	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x45ccb0…