Intrepid-Comradeship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$743

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

1,690

Trades

2,584

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-28 16:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 242 days

Categories

Other

71% 73% -$249

Crypto

22% 49% -$366

Sports

5% 35% -$62

Politics

3% 44% -$66

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes		+166	$4	0¢	$0	-$4	09-01 12:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 24?	6	$201	102	102	+0	Yes	+$3	10-25 05:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 23:45 UTC	27	$154	240	239	+1	Down	+$20	02-08 23:56
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 24?	3	$145	152	0	+152	Yes	+$8	10-24 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 23?	4	$138	143	0	+143	Yes	+$5	10-23 07:45
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	5	$132	347	347	+0	open	—	10-23 07:11
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?	4	$117	76	76	+0	Yes	+$20	09-10 10:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 23:00 UTC	7	$74	58	57	+1	Up	+$14	02-08 23:03
Will A'ja Wilson have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	2	$72	38	38	+0	Yes	+$3	09-25 04:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 00:30 UTC	9	$72	85	60	+25	Down	+$11	02-09 00:31
Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	5	$69	111	111	+0	Yes	-$29	09-19 04:03
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 9?	5	$65	42	42	+0	No	+$13	10-09 20:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 00:45 UTC	8	$62	98	97	+1	Up	-$21	02-09 00:55
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on August 19?	2	$60	32	31	+0	No	+$1	08-19 14:02
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 5?	2	$58	57	57	+0	No	+$42	10-05 19:27
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 7?	2	$58	40	40	+0	No	+$22	10-07 22:29
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	2	$55	55	55	+0	Yes	-$14	09-21 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 88°F or higher on August 14?	2	$54	31	31	+0	No	-$6	08-14 20:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 22:30 UTC	6	$54	41	40	+1	Up	+$7	02-08 22:40
Will more than 595,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?	3	$51	28	28	+0	open	—	10-23 07:30
ethereum above 1900 on february 23	2	$51	30	30	+0	No	+$1	02-21 22:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 00:00 UTC	8	$51	85	84	+1	Up	-$18	02-09 00:05
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	1	$50	54	0	+54	Yes	+$4	09-03 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 25?	2	$50	52	0	+52	No	-$50	10-25 11:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	1	$49	51	0	+51	Yes	+$2	10-25 07:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 01:15 UTC	11	$49	68	67	+1	Up	-$30	02-09 01:20
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	4	$48	40	40	+0	No	+$10	07-07 14:12
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C or higher on July 28?	2	$48	25	25	+0	No	-$1	07-28 11:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 09:15 UTC	9	$48	60	36	+24	Up	-$10	02-09 09:20
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on february 24	2	$47	41	41	+0	No	+$0	02-23 14:42
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on february 25	4	$46	46	46	+0	No	+$0	02-25 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:02:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$3	0x1c0d31…
10-28 16:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	44	8¢	$4	0x0e64ab…
10-28 15:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x8f67d6…
10-28 15:13:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0x106a2f…
10-28 14:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x444a9e…
10-28 12:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0x3a7d1f…
10-28 11:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x6f7c20…
10-28 11:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x292fee…
10-28 11:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	71	6¢	$5	0xeac49e…
10-28 11:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x1edb0a…
10-27 15:20:08	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x7faf7d…
10-27 15:19:47	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb35d44…
10-27 14:00:39	Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x78d5fe…
10-27 10:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2f16fe…
10-27 10:03:32	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x61b7e3…
10-27 04:09:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xe672dd…
10-27 04:08:54	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $520 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xd73f2e…
10-27 04:08:53	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xd21454…
10-27 04:08:29	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5c88c9…
10-27 04:08:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc7fcee…
10-27 03:53:29	Kings vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5d02b6…
10-27 03:53:02	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x81140b…
10-27 03:52:59	Kings vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x2b3c26…
10-27 03:52:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xfefcca…
10-27 03:52:18	Will Janice Frampton win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe9001e…
10-27 02:28:21	Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x1500ef…
10-27 02:27:29	Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x236710…
10-27 02:27:27	Will Ashmeed Khan win the 2026 Ajax mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x04f69f…
10-26 22:14:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x276939…
10-26 21:50:08	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $315 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x44eef7…
10-26 21:50:05	Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x2043f9…
10-26 14:39:23	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x072ee4…
10-26 14:39:20	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x79bb5b…
10-26 14:39:17	Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x381163…
10-26 14:39:05	Will Verizon say "Churn" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6c4b44…
10-26 14:39:02	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2800 and $4.2899 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0xb52689…
10-26 11:12:54	Will Verizon say "Satellite" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x886cf3…
10-26 08:16:02	Will Verizon say "Satellite" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x31a735…
10-26 08:15:36	Will Verizon say "Prepaid" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7f46d4…
10-26 08:15:14	Will Verizon say "Churn" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x10357a…
10-26 08:14:47	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x8c0ef3…
10-26 05:16:54	Will Ashmeed Khan win the 2026 Ajax mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x153d2e…
10-26 05:16:50	Will Elizabeth Roy win the 2026 Whitby mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2a80be…
10-26 05:16:44	Will Janice Frampton win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x09e9e5…
10-26 05:01:08	Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4411b9…
10-26 05:00:44	Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x627e28…
10-26 04:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x9139b8…
10-26 04:12:17	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x353272…
10-26 04:11:44	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $315 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd0514a…
10-26 04:11:41	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9a1459…
10-26 04:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb600c3…
10-26 03:24:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xc8d1de…
10-26 02:07:11	Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc45906…
10-26 02:06:00	Will Bryan Paterson win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x72f57d…
10-26 02:05:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9dcffa…
10-26 02:05:56	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc194a3…
10-26 01:06:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x52737b…
10-26 01:06:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x40b856…
10-26 01:06:17	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2800 and $4.2899 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc2b401…
10-26 01:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xadcd7d…
10-26 01:05:44	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x002f74…
10-26 01:05:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x7faa29…
10-26 00:15:39	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4a2aff…
10-25 20:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 26?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x39a47c…
10-25 20:24:36	Clippers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x173a10…
10-25 20:10:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xee42be…
10-25 19:22:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xcc13f0…
10-25 19:22:05	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0x84d418…
10-25 19:22:02	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xb150a2…
10-25 19:22:00	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x62e298…
10-25 19:21:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb98d5b…
10-25 11:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x91a156…
10-25 10:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x47a63f…
10-25 08:55:15	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x91dcf8…
10-25 08:55:12	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xca0c29…
10-25 08:55:09	Rams vs. Raiders	Rams	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x232b83…
10-25 08:55:06	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xfae38c…
10-25 08:55:02	Bengals vs. Ravens	Bengals	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xf65c39…
10-25 08:55:00	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x8a2a20…
10-25 08:54:57	Steelers vs. Saints	Steelers	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x34446a…
10-25 08:54:56	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xdd8b31…
10-25 07:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xd89c45…
10-25 05:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 24?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xbda236…
10-24 20:57:32	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x86a4a9…
10-24 20:42:06	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xadebda…
10-24 20:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0xeb7df1…
10-24 19:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0x6e932e…
10-24 18:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbb1503…
10-24 18:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xab323d…
10-24 18:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$25	0x28f7d4…
10-24 07:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x542c07…
10-24 07:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xa42561…
10-24 07:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x89768b…
10-23 07:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x9dd0a1…
10-23 07:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x455773…
10-23 07:45:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xe53317…
10-23 07:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x2508b6…
10-23 07:30:45	Will more than 595,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?	No	SELL	28	93¢	$27	0xcd9286…
10-23 07:11:11	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	SELL	347	14¢	$49	0xfa2598…
10-21 12:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xa8fb72…