Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

33.1%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$2.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-24

last 10-25 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 15% -$1,033

Other

1% 0% -$13

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No		+139	$5	4¢	$5	$0	10-27 13:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No		+71	$5	6¢	$5	$0	10-27 13:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	15	$430	9,436	0	+9,436	Up	-$430	10-24 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	5	$235	690	190	+500	Down	+$115	10-25 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$221	190	190	+0	Up	+$155	10-25 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$149	126	126	+0	Up	+$89	10-25 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	7	$135	2,678	0	+2,678	Down	-$135	10-24 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	9	$125	1,739	0	+1,739	Down	-$125	10-25 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$122	593	93	+500	Up	+$62	10-25 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$110	2,753	0	+2,753	Up	-$110	10-24 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	7	$95	846	0	+846	Down	-$95	10-24 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	5	$85	468	0	+468	Down	-$85	10-25 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	12	$75	9,811	0	+9,811	Up	-$75	10-24 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	5	$65	961	0	+961	Up	-$65	10-25 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	6	$62	1,975	0	+1,975	Up	-$62	10-25 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$60	2,164	0	+2,164	Up	-$60	10-24 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$60	1,088	0	+1,088	Up	-$60	10-25 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$35	1,015	0	+1,015	Up	-$35	10-24 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$25	139	0	+139	Up	-$25	10-25 14:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	3	$22	1,310	1,310	+0	No	-$13	06-25 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$20	868	0	+868	Down	-$20	10-25 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$18	352	0	+352	Up	-$18	10-25 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$11	1,318	0	+1,318	Up	-$11	10-25 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$10	583	0	+583	Down	-$10	10-25 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$10	571	0	+571	Down	-$10	10-25 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$8	2,166	0	+2,166	Up	-$8	10-25 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 16:35 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$5	06-25 16:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$5	71	0	+71	open	—	10-27 13:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	1	$5	139	0	+139	open	—	10-27 13:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 17:15 UTC	1	$5	38	0	+38	Up	-$5	06-25 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$4	73	0	+73	Down	-$4	10-25 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 16:05 UTC	4	$3	160	0	+160	Up	-$3	06-25 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:15:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x481c32…
10-27 13:15:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0x994b86…
10-25 15:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5560ff…
10-25 15:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x22ffe8…
10-25 15:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x52dbeb…
10-25 15:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x802977…
10-25 15:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xb3f215…
10-25 15:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x120f38…
10-25 15:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	142	18¢	$25	0x564094…
10-25 15:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x185f1a…
10-25 15:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xc832b2…
10-25 15:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	941	0¢	$1	0xc3223c…
10-25 15:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5d3892…
10-25 15:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0ecf1a…
10-25 15:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe66bcc…
10-25 14:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x70dcb4…
10-25 14:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x825767…
10-25 14:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	152	10¢	$16	0x705eac…
10-25 14:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdcc4aa…
10-25 14:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa8aae5…
10-25 14:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xc1f76b…
10-25 14:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x89e7e4…
10-25 14:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	305	8¢	$25	0x9ad330…
10-25 14:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x75021d…
10-25 14:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	190	99¢	$188	0x6d4252…
10-25 14:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	137	17¢	$23	0xa165d5…
10-25 14:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xdda4d1…
10-25 14:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xbac323…
10-25 14:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x26041e…
10-25 14:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x71a067…
10-25 14:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa261bc…
10-25 14:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x0e94c8…
10-25 14:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	129	19¢	$25	0xf73589…
10-25 14:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa50606…
10-25 14:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x2b347a…
10-25 14:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc9f430…
10-25 14:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x68eefc…
10-25 14:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc7c0d4…
10-25 14:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x38436e…
10-25 14:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xee77f7…
10-25 14:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa09d54…
10-25 14:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xd9c162…
10-25 14:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	126	94¢	$119	0xa02bc7…
10-25 14:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xc79365…
10-25 14:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3e1ef4…
10-25 14:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb7ef70…
10-25 14:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xda4973…
10-25 14:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x35c243…
10-25 14:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe76a37…
10-25 13:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb201ae…
10-25 13:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb269fd…
10-25 13:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	91	6¢	$5	0xfe552d…
10-25 13:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa51eda…
10-25 13:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3ff017…
10-25 13:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xa6eb96…
10-25 13:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x8a088d…
10-25 13:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	91	27¢	$25	0x9dc8f3…
10-25 13:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x5073ea…
10-25 13:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x87ffe1…
10-25 13:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x590a0c…
10-25 13:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xbaecda…
10-25 13:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa1b388…
10-25 13:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	190	92¢	$175	0xcbff2d…
10-25 13:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x36d4d5…
10-25 13:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xbd7217…
10-25 13:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	88	28¢	$25	0x316c9c…
10-25 13:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,023	0¢	$5	0xa88966…
10-25 13:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	271	2¢	$5	0xd239b9…
10-25 13:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x914e6d…
10-24 17:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	476	1¢	$5	0xe53469…
10-24 17:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7d894e…
10-24 17:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x50803a…
10-24 17:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3aca92…
10-24 17:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xdc2f15…
10-24 17:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x48ed1c…
10-24 17:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xbb22d3…
10-24 17:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf8a982…
10-24 17:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdd9860…
10-24 17:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	583	4¢	$25	0x12955a…
10-24 17:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	614	4¢	$25	0x4fbf32…
10-24 17:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	160	16¢	$25	0xb16912…
10-24 17:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	163	15¢	$25	0x6fd2bd…
10-24 17:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	158	16¢	$25	0x17ae22…
10-24 17:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfa8257…
10-24 17:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5966e7…
10-24 17:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,753	6¢	$100	0xc8b1c4…
10-24 17:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc88687…
10-24 16:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x39d06e…
10-24 16:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	747	3¢	$25	0xbc616a…
10-24 16:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x6cecbe…
10-24 16:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x07400e…
10-24 16:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x77040e…
10-24 16:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8a9e06…
10-24 16:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x93b02c…
10-24 16:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x45e3b8…
10-24 16:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x984e10…
10-24 16:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x636c2f…
10-24 16:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x351ec2…
10-24 16:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	254	2¢	$5	0xfb84fe…
10-24 16:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	207	2¢	$5	0x622a08…