Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$47,942
$7 in 24h
Trades
4,711
Unique wallets
950
Liquidity
$6,969
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-10-25
First seen
2026-10-24
last 10-25 15:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.9¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $21.9K
vs crowd: 19% YES on $44.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 176 | $4.0K | $22.0K | $18.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 224 | $2.7K | $8.3K | $5.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 282 | $1.1K | $4.5K | $3.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 268 | $723 | $1.5K | $750 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 185 | $3.7K | $18.1K | $14.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 104 | $579 | $2.6K | $2.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 63 | $192 | $1.4K | $1.2K |
| Median | 78 | $95 | $465 | $371 |
| Below median | 239 | $607 | $2.0K | $1.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 104 | $484 | $2.8K | $2.3K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 114 | $1.1K | $3.3K | $2.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 63 | $1.7K | $5.7K | $4.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xb34c…449c | Up | +4,233 | $657 | $657 | 5 | 10-25 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b0e…78a1 | Up | +2,286 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +1,744 | $251 | $251 | 75 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Flustered-Copy 0x6b95…1734 | Up | +1,594 | $474 | $474 | 9 | 10-25 15:07 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +1,406 | $1,147 | $1,147 | 33 | 10-25 15:07 |
| Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | +1,200 | $1,188 | $1,188 | 3 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Bronze-Dysfunction 0x2aa2…a548 | Up | +1,128 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 10-25 15:07 |
| Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Down | +1,120 | $1,074 | $1,074 | 15 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Stale-Timpani 0x404e…4cd2 | Down | +1,010 | $994 | $994 | 2 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +946 | $233 | $233 | 83 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6253…0bc4 | Up | +934 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +884 | $254 | $254 | 68 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +843 | $635 | $635 | 50 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +829 | $585 | $585 | 65 | 10-25 15:08 |
| Joyful-Algorithm 0xf16a…f999 | Down | +810 | $600 | $600 | 1 | 10-25 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ca…7bd1 | Down | +798 | $698 | $698 | 7 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +785 | $147 | $147 | 44 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Up | +701 | $90 | $90 | 2 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +643 | $140 | $140 | 29 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +615 | $468 | $468 | 33 | 10-25 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +613 | $492 | $492 | 14 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +559 | $442 | $442 | 22 | 10-25 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa2e…4d8b | Up | +544 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 10-25 15:10 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +542 | $85 | $85 | 45 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +530 | $143 | $143 | 27 | 10-25 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +519 | $112 | $112 | 74 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +507 | $394 | $394 | 66 | 10-25 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3eae…a3f0 | Up | +503 | $116 | $116 | 3 | 10-25 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa4f…665b | Up | +500 | $201 | $201 | 5 | 10-25 15:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbed…875a | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-25 15:10 |
| Enormous-Ape 0xf971…c417 | Down | +500 | $358 | $358 | 1 | 10-25 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x6940…1c6c | Down | +500 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 10-25 15:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 2 | 10-25 15:10 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 10 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 3 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xdda4…8240 | Up | +492 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xfbb7…bc8e | Up | +468 | $85 | $85 | 5 | 10-25 15:09 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +467 | $119 | $119 | 12 | 10-25 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | +449 | $445 | $445 | 1 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Frightening-Weekender 0xd1a6…3a51 | Down | +417 | $270 | $270 | 2 | 10-25 15:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 13 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | +400 | $385 | $385 | 9 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +390 | $76 | $76 | 36 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xa31e…a51e | Down | +384 | $368 | $368 | 12 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +383 | $292 | $292 | 6 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +377 | $92 | $92 | 18 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Acrobatic-Courtroom 0xdf81…81e3 | Up | +370 | $165 | $181 | 23 | 10-25 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +365 | $269 | $269 | 22 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Up | +353 | $89 | $89 | 58 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xab8c…af93 | Down | +353 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-25 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x119c…cd04 | Down | +349 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-25 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Down | +346 | $274 | $274 | 9 | 10-25 15:08 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Down | +344 | $248 | $248 | 52 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | +344 | $310 | $310 | 12 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Down | +338 | $291 | $291 | 10 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc82f…b8f1 | Up | +320 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 10-25 15:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Down | +319 | $292 | $292 | 6 | 10-25 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | +307 | $65 | $65 | 20 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +300 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +296 | $68 | $68 | 22 | 10-25 15:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 15:13:14 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x7da3c5… |
| 10-25 15:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x5349…1a42 | Down | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x7da3c5… |
| 10-25 15:12:38 | (anonymous) 0x13c5…0528 | Down | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xab3db3… |
| 10-25 15:12:38 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xab3db3… |
| 10-25 15:12:09 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3c6c3c… |
| 10-25 15:12:09 | (anonymous) 0xfd32…3738 | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3c6c3c… |
| 10-25 15:11:44 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 104 | 100¢ | $104 | 0xdf39ff… |
| 10-25 15:11:44 | (anonymous) 0xee91…d8db | Down | SELL | 604 | 100¢ | $604 | 0xdf39ff… |
| 10-25 15:11:44 | (anonymous) 0x6940…1c6c | Down | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xdf39ff… |
| 10-25 15:10:24 | (anonymous) 0x7dbe…e0eb | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x69390e… |
| 10-25 15:10:24 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x69390e… |
| 10-25 15:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 244 | 99¢ | $241 | 0xfa34f8… |
| 10-25 15:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xdbed…875a | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xfa34f8… |
| 10-25 15:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 256 | 99¢ | $254 | 0xfa34f8… |
| 10-25 15:10:02 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa30bc5… |
| 10-25 15:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x61a8…6454 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xa30bc5… |
| 10-25 15:10:02 | (anonymous) 0xaa2e…4d8b | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xa30bc5… |
| 10-25 15:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 256 | 99¢ | $254 | 0xa30bc5… |
| 10-25 15:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x2d08…394a | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa30bc5… |
| 10-25 15:09:56 | (anonymous) 0x64ee…5031 | Down | SELL | 63 | 99¢ | $63 | 0xa65e74… |
| 10-25 15:09:56 | Firm-Ukulele 0xb855…c1be | Down | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0xa65e74… |
| 10-25 15:09:56 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa65e74… |
| 10-25 15:09:51 | (anonymous) 0x7886…0153 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x08ca9f… |
| 10-25 15:09:51 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 112 | 99¢ | $111 | 0x08ca9f… |
| 10-25 15:09:51 | (anonymous) 0x6253…0bc4 | Up | BUY | 934 | 1¢ | $9 | 0x08ca9f… |
| 10-25 15:09:51 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 449 | 99¢ | $445 | 0x08ca9f… |
| 10-25 15:09:51 | (anonymous) 0x9c16…ad20 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x08ca9f… |
| 10-25 15:09:51 | Firm-Ukulele 0xb855…c1be | Down | BUY | 73 | 99¢ | $72 | 0x08ca9f… |
| 10-25 15:09:51 | (anonymous) 0x783b…e856 | Down | BUY | 144 | 99¢ | $142 | 0x08ca9f… |
| 10-25 15:09:51 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x08ca9f… |
| 10-25 15:09:51 | Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Down | BUY | 131 | 99¢ | $130 | 0x08ca9f… |
| 10-25 15:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xdf97…83cf | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xa00820… |
| 10-25 15:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x783b…e856 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xa00820… |
| 10-25 15:09:42 | (anonymous) 0x9152…abfb | Down | SELL | 115 | 99¢ | $114 | 0x042ba0… |
| 10-25 15:09:42 | (anonymous) 0x783b…e856 | Down | BUY | 115 | 99¢ | $114 | 0x042ba0… |
| 10-25 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x783b…e856 | Down | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x8e6d75… |
| 10-25 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x265a…dfbd | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x191f61… |
| 10-25 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xd065…ebb8 | Down | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x191f61… |
| 10-25 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x5ebd…7c04 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8e6d75… |
| 10-25 15:09:35 | Equatorial-Dwelling 0x3c03…474f | Down | SELL | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x8e6d75… |
| 10-25 15:09:35 | Vibrant-Ladle 0x1529…c927 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x191f61… |
| 10-25 15:09:35 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 72 | 99¢ | $71 | 0x191f61… |
| 10-25 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xd065…ebb8 | Down | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x8e6d75… |
| 10-25 15:09:33 | (anonymous) 0x9252…faa1 | Up | BUY | 124 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4b3d00… |
| 10-25 15:09:33 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 124 | 99¢ | $123 | 0x4b3d00… |
| 10-25 15:09:32 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x9aa7f2… |
| 10-25 15:09:32 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $148 | 0x9aa7f2… |
| 10-25 15:09:32 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x9aa7f2… |
| 10-25 15:09:32 | (anonymous) 0xbfeb…5df0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9aa7f2… |
| 10-25 15:09:32 | (anonymous) 0xe0cc…27b3 | Down | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $74 | 0x9aa7f2… |
| 10-25 15:09:32 | Normal-Motivation 0x18cd…d8d2 | Down | BUY | 131 | 99¢ | $130 | 0x9aa7f2… |
| 10-25 15:09:32 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 215 | 99¢ | $213 | 0x9aa7f2… |
| 10-25 15:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 477 | 99¢ | $472 | 0x9aa7f2… |
| 10-25 15:09:32 | (anonymous) 0xd922…e626 | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x9aa7f2… |
| 10-25 15:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x00b1…62be | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x9aa7f2… |
| 10-25 15:09:32 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 1,004 | 99¢ | $994 | 0x9aa7f2… |
| 10-25 15:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x4b0e…78a1 | Up | BUY | 2,172 | 1¢ | $22 | 0x9aa7f2… |
| 10-25 15:09:30 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x69084c… |
| 10-25 15:09:30 | (anonymous) 0xd5d8…acb9 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x69084c… |
| 10-25 15:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x500f…717f | Down | SELL | 76 | 99¢ | $75 | 0x224d80… |
| 10-25 15:09:27 | (anonymous) 0xab6d…1c9f | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x224d80… |
| 10-25 15:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x224d80… |
| 10-25 15:09:27 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x224d80… |
| 10-25 15:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x373b…c855 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x224d80… |
| 10-25 15:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x535e…a51c | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbef30e… |
| 10-25 15:09:26 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xbef30e… |
| 10-25 15:09:26 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xeb0430… |
| 10-25 15:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x9bfb…dc47 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xeb0430… |
| 10-25 15:09:26 | (anonymous) 0xefd3…2047 | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x27bf93… |
| 10-25 15:09:26 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x27bf93… |
| 10-25 15:09:24 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x6ef508… |
| 10-25 15:09:24 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $75 | 0xc996ac… |
| 10-25 15:09:24 | Ugly-Laundry 0x63ea…63d3 | Down | SELL | 75 | 99¢ | $75 | 0xc996ac… |
| 10-25 15:09:24 | (anonymous) 0xda6b…c4cf | Down | SELL | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x6ef508… |
| 10-25 15:09:23 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xfc2677… |
| 10-25 15:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x8222…7e4b | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe5444a… |
| 10-25 15:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x11f5…55ed | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xfc2677… |
| 10-25 15:09:23 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 28 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe5444a… |
| 10-25 15:09:23 | Warped-Counselor 0x67f3…6a4e | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x476bfe… |
| 10-25 15:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xe5444a… |
| 10-25 15:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x466a…f865 | Down | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x1a4133… |
| 10-25 15:09:23 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x476bfe… |
| 10-25 15:09:23 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x1a4133… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | (anonymous) 0xf94c…c20e | Up | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x57528c… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x074244… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbf455a… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | (anonymous) 0x5577…7d35 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd3b622… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | Nervous-Metallurgist 0x26d0…68d4 | Up | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x57528c… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | (anonymous) 0xa31e…a51e | Down | BUY | 71 | 99¢ | $70 | 0x57528c… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbf455a… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x074244… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5daa29… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2f3795… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 93 | 99¢ | $92 | 0x5daa29… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2d8c44… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x57528c… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd3b622… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | BUY | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x2f3795… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | Slight-Variant 0xf32a…7c70 | Down | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x2d8c44… |
| 10-25 15:09:21 | Virtuous-Reef 0x5e30…1613 | Down | SELL | 94 | 99¢ | $93 | 0x5daa29… |