Warped-Counselor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

2,598

Trades

5,321

lifetime

Volume

$50.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-26 06:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 68% +$131

Other

1% 67% -$28

Sports

0% 43% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 375 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 15:00 UTC	12	$922	608	608	+0	Up	+$282	07-30 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:15 UTC	2	$872	566	566	+0	Up	+$250	08-02 23:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:35 UTC	2	$716	465	465	+0	Up	+$206	08-22 10:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:45 UTC	2	$625	419	419	+0	Down	+$205	08-02 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:20 UTC	1	$614	1,053	0	+1,053	Up	-$614	08-23 06:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:45 UTC	2	$502	335	335	+0	Down	+$162	07-28 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 00:00 UTC	2	$489	347	347	+0	Down	+$197	08-19 00:03
bitcoin up or down january 23 3pm et	35	$479	462	462	+0	Down	-$23	01-23 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:55 UTC	2	$427	268	268	+0	Down	+$103	07-31 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:45 UTC	2	$353	235	235	+0	Up	+$113	07-28 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 08:35 UTC	2	$353	235	235	+0	Up	+$113	07-28 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$336	224	224	+0	Up	+$107	08-23 18:45
bitcoin up or down january 23 2pm et	32	$326	297	297	+0	Down	$0	01-23 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:45 UTC	2	$294	196	196	+0	Up	+$94	07-27 16:50
bitcoin up or down january 23 10am et	23	$285	257	256	+0	Up	+$3	01-23 15:38
bitcoin up or down january 23 4pm et	17	$284	268	268	+0	Down	-$8	01-23 21:21
bitcoin up or down january 22 11am et	14	$273	243	243	+0	Up	-$33	01-22 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:15 UTC	1	$271	507	0	+507	Up	-$271	08-23 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 18:30 UTC	2	$260	168	168	+0	Down	+$73	08-24 18:34
bitcoin up or down january 23 12pm et	16	$254	224	224	+0	Up	+$2	01-23 17:16
bitcoin up or down january 23 11am et	20	$245	231	231	+0	Up	+$6	01-23 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$235	157	157	+0	Up	+$75	07-29 02:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:40 UTC	2	$226	224	224	+0	Up	-$2	08-01 09:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:15 UTC	2	$223	148	148	+0	Down	+$69	08-01 23:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 18:00 UTC	58	$219	209	206	+3	Down	-$1	01-19 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 14:00 UTC	2	$205	142	142	+0	Down	+$77	08-17 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 03:50 UTC	2	$194	130	130	+0	Down	+$64	08-01 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 05:30 UTC	2	$189	125	125	+0	Down	+$59	08-01 05:35
bitcoin up or down january 23 1pm et	10	$186	189	189	+0	Down	+$2	01-23 18:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 01:15 UTC	2	$184	121	121	+0	Down	+$54	08-02 01:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 06:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6a8298…
10-26 05:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2d55f3…
10-26 05:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xae6bbf…
10-26 05:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6aa68a…
10-26 05:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xde47e4…
10-26 05:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x24aad4…
10-26 05:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6aeb37…
10-26 05:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xe2fdba…
10-26 05:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9f242f…
10-26 05:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x7958f9…
10-26 05:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa47c95…
10-26 05:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x725e39…
10-26 05:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x33e9c8…
10-26 05:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xed45c0…
10-26 05:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3b5749…
10-26 05:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x62c0ef…
10-26 05:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbb6d06…
10-26 05:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x14278a…
10-26 04:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x8b5477…
10-26 04:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x614882…
10-26 04:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xdc3f2b…
10-26 04:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8e8195…
10-26 04:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xacc15a…
10-26 04:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xde0852…
10-26 04:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6c92ee…
10-26 04:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x1bfbae…
10-26 04:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x37d45b…
10-26 04:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x555c29…
10-26 04:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbf5079…
10-26 04:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x41a5d2…
10-26 04:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x66a061…
10-26 04:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xfe1ae5…
10-26 04:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf3a7c5…
10-26 04:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x775efe…
10-26 03:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf558ed…
10-26 03:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x77ffdb…
10-26 03:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x15de68…
10-26 03:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x11a3a8…
10-26 03:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa4fdb2…
10-26 03:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6edc4b…
10-26 03:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x624fdb…
10-26 03:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x85620f…
10-26 03:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x5393c1…
10-26 03:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdd405e…
10-26 03:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x401025…
10-26 03:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xba174b…
10-26 03:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x547163…
10-26 03:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x45ec8f…
10-26 03:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc20414…
10-26 03:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x67b499…
10-26 03:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x45ed9e…
10-26 03:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfb94c7…
10-26 03:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x8e86bd…
10-26 02:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe28419…
10-26 02:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xae7f1d…
10-26 02:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf6a407…
10-26 02:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x575b23…
10-26 02:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x25b84f…
10-26 02:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5ad87c…
10-26 02:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x4c28a4…
10-26 02:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5611a2…
10-26 02:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf0a6ab…
10-26 02:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc16f45…
10-26 02:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x41b643…
10-26 02:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf9dece…
10-26 02:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4c83b4…
10-26 02:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2c50e3…
10-26 02:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xcbf381…
10-26 02:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xcdde20…
10-26 02:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x53364c…
10-26 02:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x836dde…
10-26 02:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xff6492…
10-26 02:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xafcbd5…
10-26 01:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6a96bc…
10-26 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd10f6d…
10-26 01:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcf5d6e…
10-26 01:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x33e6ea…
10-26 01:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf02716…
10-26 01:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8c289f…
10-26 01:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4ced39…
10-26 01:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfd58d7…
10-26 01:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x22bd53…
10-26 01:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x697749…
10-26 01:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb03e6e…
10-26 01:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x147d61…
10-26 01:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4eb285…
10-26 01:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x04e0ab…
10-26 01:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8b2276…
10-26 01:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xae5ab7…
10-26 01:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf54089…
10-26 01:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x803805…
10-26 01:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdd78b2…
10-26 00:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbcf956…
10-26 00:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xac67e6…
10-26 00:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xceb52b…
10-26 00:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8cce97…
10-26 00:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe7c3a1…
10-26 00:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7d6fd5…
10-26 00:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7df086…
10-26 00:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x64e21e…