Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$41,710
Trades
3,308
Unique wallets
724
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2026-10-26
First seen
2026-10-25
last 10-26 02:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.6¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $25.4K
vs crowd: 13% YES on $40.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 160 | $1.8K | $24.0K | $22.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 198 | $2.7K | $8.0K | $5.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 207 | $676 | $2.4K | $1.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 159 | $284 | $516 | $232 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 150 | $1.8K | $23.7K | $21.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 94 | $431 | $1.4K | $980 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 48 | $42 | $727 | $685 |
| Median | 44 | $79 | $264 | $185 |
| Below median | 154 | $204 | $1.9K | $1.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 76 | $99 | $933 | $834 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 106 | $434 | $4.2K | $3.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 52 | $2.4K | $1.8K | +$612 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xd5fd…abff | Up | +7,957 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 7 | 10-26 02:20 |
| Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | +2,675 | $2,648 | $2,648 | 11 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Down | +2,145 | $2,071 | $2,071 | 12 | 10-26 02:22 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +1,692 | $1,611 | $1,611 | 16 | 10-26 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xb450…5931 | Up | +1,355 | $245 | $245 | 1 | 10-26 02:20 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +1,104 | $849 | $849 | 15 | 10-26 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Up | +1,052 | $124 | $124 | 18 | 10-26 02:23 |
| Deadly-Sand 0x147b…075d | Up | +992 | $39 | $39 | 10 | 10-26 02:24 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +977 | $83 | $83 | 19 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x93b1…9623 | Down | +911 | $847 | $847 | 1 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5497…4e43 | Up | +875 | $150 | $150 | 3 | 10-26 02:22 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +868 | $40 | $40 | 23 | 10-26 02:23 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +851 | $622 | $622 | 51 | 10-26 02:21 |
| Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0 | Up | +800 | $92 | $92 | 19 | 10-26 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | +798 | $785 | $785 | 11 | 10-26 02:23 |
| Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0 | Down | +795 | $584 | $584 | 15 | 10-26 02:21 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +786 | $146 | $146 | 51 | 10-26 02:22 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +780 | $660 | $957 | 43 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x61a3…d915 | Up | +727 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 10-26 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xd53f…e2b6 | Down | +713 | $706 | $706 | 9 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +621 | $553 | $553 | 16 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | +613 | $61 | $61 | 21 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Down | +611 | $521 | $521 | 19 | 10-26 02:23 |
| Creamy-Lightscreen 0x71a9…44a4 | Up | +600 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +562 | $45 | $45 | 12 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +550 | $50 | $50 | 95 | 10-26 02:23 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | +547 | $238 | $238 | 8 | 10-26 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x73ad…ef22 | Up | +546 | $46 | $46 | 21 | 10-26 02:22 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +535 | $37 | $37 | 4 | 10-26 02:23 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +524 | $21 | $21 | 50 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +523 | $415 | $415 | 60 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +517 | $459 | $459 | 18 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x574a…7d4a | Down | +510 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 10-26 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xe859…b877 | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-26 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 3 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x73ad…ef22 | Down | +500 | $424 | $424 | 16 | 10-26 02:23 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +476 | $389 | $389 | 9 | 10-26 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Up | +473 | $47 | $47 | 20 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Down | +471 | $399 | $399 | 13 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xa31e…a51e | Down | +464 | $450 | $450 | 8 | 10-26 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Up | +457 | $43 | $43 | 20 | 10-26 02:22 |
| Courteous-Scrip 0x090e…7566 | Up | +456 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 10-26 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Down | +450 | $446 | $446 | 5 | 10-26 02:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +439 | $62 | $62 | 26 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 6 | 10-26 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x622d…519d | Up | +400 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 10-26 02:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | +400 | $394 | $394 | 8 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | +400 | $388 | $388 | 5 | 10-26 02:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Down | +382 | $290 | $290 | 27 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Down | +350 | $298 | $298 | 9 | 10-26 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x2903…5906 | Down | +350 | $283 | $283 | 20 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x74a5…bd93 | Up | +330 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-26 02:23 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Down | +312 | $236 | $236 | 46 | 10-26 02:23 |
| Sleepy-Goodwill 0x987d…ed3f | Up | +305 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 10-26 02:21 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Up | +303 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | +300 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-26 02:23 |
| Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123 | Down | +300 | $294 | $294 | 1 | 10-26 02:22 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +300 | $294 | $294 | 10 | 10-26 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | +286 | $283 | $283 | 5 | 10-26 02:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 02:26:27 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xddacf7… |
| 10-26 02:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x7dbe…e0eb | Down | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xddacf7… |
| 10-26 02:25:59 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xab3226… |
| 10-26 02:25:59 | (anonymous) 0x4b65…d4e0 | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xab3226… |
| 10-26 02:25:05 | (anonymous) 0x954f…d640 | Down | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe8f026… |
| 10-26 02:25:05 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe8f026… |
| 10-26 02:25:00 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x96ab47… |
| 10-26 02:25:00 | (anonymous) 0xb3df…463d | Down | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x96ab47… |
| 10-26 02:24:57 | (anonymous) 0xd684…2292 | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x73a5ec… |
| 10-26 02:24:57 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x73a5ec… |
| 10-26 02:24:56 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdbcb63… |
| 10-26 02:24:56 | (anonymous) 0xd684…2292 | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdbcb63… |
| 10-26 02:24:54 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x484dca… |
| 10-26 02:24:54 | (anonymous) 0xfc16…e212 | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x484dca… |
| 10-26 02:24:33 | (anonymous) 0xb5c3…ecc6 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x361f13… |
| 10-26 02:24:33 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x361f13… |
| 10-26 02:24:33 | (anonymous) 0xda43…61ee | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x361f13… |
| 10-26 02:24:08 | Deadly-Sand 0x147b…075d | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x71f6d4… |
| 10-26 02:24:08 | (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | BUY | 44 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x71f6d4… |
| 10-26 02:24:08 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Down | BUY | 56 | 99¢ | $55 | 0x71f6d4… |
| 10-26 02:24:06 | (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | BUY | 56 | 99¢ | $55 | 0xeaff39… |
| 10-26 02:24:06 | (anonymous) 0x70f1…b569 | Down | BUY | 144 | 99¢ | $143 | 0xeaff39… |
| 10-26 02:24:06 | (anonymous) 0x622d…519d | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xeaff39… |
| 10-26 02:24:05 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x3f98f2… |
| 10-26 02:24:05 | Deadly-Sand 0x147b…075d | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3f98f2… |
| 10-26 02:24:00 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xa9d6f9… |
| 10-26 02:24:00 | Deadly-Sand 0x147b…075d | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa9d6f9… |
| 10-26 02:23:56 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x3be335… |
| 10-26 02:23:56 | Deadly-Sand 0x147b…075d | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3be335… |
| 10-26 02:23:51 | Shrill-Laryngitis 0xb33a…ce7d | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x257209… |
| 10-26 02:23:51 | Deadly-Sand 0x147b…075d | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x257209… |
| 10-26 02:23:51 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Down | BUY | 94 | 99¢ | $93 | 0x257209… |
| 10-26 02:23:51 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x257209… |
| 10-26 02:23:47 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x1f6a67… |
| 10-26 02:23:47 | Firm-Ukulele 0xb855…c1be | Down | SELL | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x1f6a67… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x35d69f… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x2d08…394a | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x35d69f… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x35d69f… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xbfa0…cd6d | Up | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5353fe… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | Buttery-Back 0x5b32…3ca5 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x35d69f… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 1,137 | 99¢ | $1,126 | 0x5353fe… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x29ef…1570 | Up | SELL | 64 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x35d69f… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Up | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x35d69f… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xd922…e626 | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x35d69f… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xd8de…70f1 | Down | SELL | 1,325 | 99¢ | $1,312 | 0x5353fe… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x35d69f… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x1dd2…51c2 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x35d69f… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 299 | 99¢ | $296 | 0x35d69f… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xdf52…2982 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x35d69f… |
| 10-26 02:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 173 | 99¢ | $171 | 0x5353fe… |
| 10-26 02:23:42 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x43c3c2… |
| 10-26 02:23:42 | (anonymous) 0xecfa…6950 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x43c3c2… |
| 10-26 02:23:41 | Deadly-Sand 0x147b…075d | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x43a4e5… |
| 10-26 02:23:41 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xb969a3… |
| 10-26 02:23:41 | (anonymous) 0x622d…519d | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb969a3… |
| 10-26 02:23:41 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x43a4e5… |
| 10-26 02:23:41 | (anonymous) 0x577b…0943 | Down | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $21 | 0xe581b7… |
| 10-26 02:23:41 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6b42e3… |
| 10-26 02:23:41 | (anonymous) 0x6589…5fd2 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6b42e3… |
| 10-26 02:23:41 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $21 | 0xe581b7… |
| 10-26 02:23:39 | (anonymous) 0xf9db…d384 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xef35e3… |
| 10-26 02:23:39 | Creamy-Lightscreen 0x71a9…44a4 | Up | BUY | 600 | 1¢ | $6 | 0xaf9e0b… |
| 10-26 02:23:39 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xef35e3… |
| 10-26 02:23:39 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 600 | 99¢ | $594 | 0xaf9e0b… |
| 10-26 02:23:36 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 96 | 99¢ | $95 | 0xc723c0… |
| 10-26 02:23:36 | (anonymous) 0x7b4f…dd76 | Down | SELL | 96 | 99¢ | $95 | 0xc723c0… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 117 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x827ad5… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Secret-Allegation 0xfc76…0ad0 | Down | BUY | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0x2ea6d5… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Fatal-Locker 0xa270…e6e6 | Down | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xa7e841… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | (anonymous) 0x5d81…625d | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5633f5… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5633f5… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xcf8e5d… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | (anonymous) 0x111f…355b | Up | BUY | 45 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Green-Ephemera 0xdd1c…3f79 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xde853f… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Up | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Up | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x827ad5… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Forceful-Minimalism 0xc358…c52e | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xcf8e5d… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Funny-Component 0x711d…3490 | Down | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xcf8e5d… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | (anonymous) 0xc397…97c3 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | (anonymous) 0x29ef…1570 | Down | SELL | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0x2ea6d5… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 513 | 99¢ | $508 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Green-Ephemera 0xdd1c…3f79 | Up | BUY | 41 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | (anonymous) 0x5971…bec3 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Imaginary-Care 0x2ef9…4db4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | (anonymous) 0xf436…aa12 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x827ad5… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | (anonymous) 0x29ef…1570 | Down | SELL | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xa7e841… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Up | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa7e841… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Ugly-Stepgrandfather 0x3e65…10be | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1303db… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | (anonymous) 0xc862…26f0 | Down | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Down | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Apprehensive-Instinct 0xa143…a135 | Up | BUY | 134 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x254530… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1303db… |
| 10-26 02:23:35 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xde853f… |
| 10-26 02:23:33 | (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2239a1… |
| 10-26 02:23:33 | (anonymous) 0x17f2…4e60 | Down | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x519270… |