Sleepy-Goodwill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$789

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

368

Trades

826

lifetime

Volume

$22.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-29 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 42% -$613

Politics

22% 33% -$25

Other

18% 32% -$300

Sports

4% 62% +$149

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	6	$1.8K	2,002	2,002	+0	Yes	-$102	10-25 20:31
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	3	$1.3K	3,004	3,004	+0	open	—	10-25 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	5	$574	1,193	675	+519	Up	+$24	10-26 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	5	$466	737	237	+500	Down	-$34	10-26 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	5	$441	538	493	+45	Up	+$97	10-26 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	5	$388	1,874	526	+1,349	Up	+$88	10-26 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$377	296	296	+0	Down	+$211	10-26 02:19
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	2	$367	188	188	+0	Yes	+$9	06-24 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	4	$364	629	629	+0	Down	+$42	10-26 01:44
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 team total home 0pt5	2	$340	192	192	+0	Over	+$44	06-24 20:08
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 120 139	4	$334	183	183	+0	No	+$9	03-27 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$275	397	181	+216	Up	-$51	10-26 02:03
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	2	$248	149	149	+0	Yes	+$51	06-24 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$238	492	492	+0	Down	-$28	10-26 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 20:30 UTC	2	$231	242	239	+3	Down	+$41	03-26 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$228	434	434	+0	Down	-$8	10-26 01:59
epl bri che 2026 04 21 bri	2	$217	129	127	+1	Yes	+$38	04-21 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 21:00 UTC	6	$211	485	361	+124	Up	+$113	04-09 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$210	123	123	+0	Down	+$10	10-26 01:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 18:50 UTC	6	$205	226	212	+14	Up	+$166	04-21 18:55
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	1	$204	942	0	+942	open	—	10-25 16:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:55 UTC	1	$199	423	0	+423	Up	-$199	04-10 04:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$197	146	144	+2	Yes	-$4	04-10 15:29
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	4	$196	802	802	+0	No	+$101	05-16 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:00 UTC	3	$194	330	137	+193	Down	-$50	04-22 15:01
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	2	$189	143	143	+0	open	—	10-25 19:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:45 UTC	1	$183	201	0	+201	Up	+$18	04-10 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 12:40 UTC	1	$174	233	0	+233	Up	-$174	03-27 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$171	390	372	+18	Up	+$58	10-26 01:48
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	2	$171	176	176	+0	Brazil	-$2	06-24 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0xd3ab1d…
10-29 13:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa28949…
10-26 02:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	490	30¢	$147	0xede34a…
10-26 02:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	324	41¢	$133	0xe03a18…
10-26 02:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	453	2¢	$9	0x4cab6a…
10-26 02:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	373	34¢	$125	0x7b64df…
10-26 02:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	438	30¢	$133	0x18ba3d…
10-26 02:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	302	57¢	$174	0xf9af82…
10-26 02:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	302	44¢	$133	0x2bdd00…
10-26 02:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	492	21¢	$105	0x75041c…
10-26 02:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	492	27¢	$133	0xb0bf5c…
10-26 02:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,349	4¢	$50	0xf9e0b5…
10-26 02:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	192	74¢	$142	0x590884…
10-26 02:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x29c632…
10-26 02:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	333	29¢	$95	0x6a68ea…
10-26 02:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xfa2d96…
10-26 02:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	305	12¢	$37	0x80207f…
10-26 02:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	81	73¢	$59	0x61d402…
10-26 02:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x3a38bf…
10-26 02:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	296	99¢	$294	0xcb90ce…
10-26 02:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	296	28¢	$83	0x338d23…
10-26 02:14:56	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	196	25¢	$49	0x588269…
10-26 02:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xe055d2…
10-26 02:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	89	75¢	$67	0x30883a…
10-26 02:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xc0c679…
10-26 02:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	572	20¢	$113	0xa9767f…
10-26 02:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	216	23¢	$50	0xce3b03…
10-26 02:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	181	62¢	$112	0x92c58e…
10-26 01:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	181	62¢	$113	0x405169…
10-26 01:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	167	14¢	$23	0x973319…
10-26 01:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xf558da…
10-26 01:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	268	32¢	$87	0x3f4835…
10-26 01:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	268	42¢	$113	0x6f2963…
10-26 01:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0xbc9798…
10-26 01:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	266	30¢	$81	0xac603c…
10-26 01:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	266	19¢	$50	0x93a1c6…
10-26 01:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	227	83¢	$188	0x7985fe…
10-26 01:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	227	50¢	$113	0x2ca52d…
10-26 01:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	36¢	$6	0xfddbed…
10-26 01:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	372	31¢	$115	0x23b2d7…
10-26 01:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	372	13¢	$50	0xa1c151…
10-26 01:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	452	20¢	$90	0x5ab952…
10-26 01:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	452	11¢	$50	0x31da22…
10-26 01:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	177	63¢	$113	0xc7b569…
10-26 01:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	177	63¢	$111	0x9f1d0f…
10-26 01:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	329	17¢	$56	0x9dd9d5…
10-26 01:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	329	30¢	$100	0x2bb466…
10-26 01:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x2e8a41…
10-26 01:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	112	93¢	$104	0x5a9d62…
10-26 01:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xed1dd8…
10-26 01:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	125	89¢	$111	0xf486ee…
10-26 01:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xba745a…
10-26 01:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	123	90¢	$110	0x471bd0…
10-26 01:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	123	82¢	$100	0xeed914…
10-25 20:31:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	567	35¢	$198	0x674893…
10-25 19:48:27	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	567	60¢	$340	0x25a9fa…
10-25 19:47:57	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	849	40¢	$340	0x58c061…
10-25 19:33:35	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	203	42¢	$86	0xaefb71…
10-25 19:32:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	143	62¢	$89	0xdb51b8…
10-25 19:30:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	849	39¢	$334	0x87ed16…
10-25 19:28:15	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	587	57¢	$334	0x6594cb…
10-25 16:36:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	587	51¢	$300	0x99d061…
10-25 16:35:50	Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	942	22¢	$204	0x577e7c…
10-25 16:33:54	Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,464	20¢	$504	0x9900b0…
10-25 01:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	165	43¢	$71	0x380ccb…
10-25 01:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x5708e6…
10-25 01:44:41	Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	656	17¢	$109	0xfe153e…
10-25 01:43:30	Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	SELL	541	39¢	$209	0xa16677…
10-24 20:54:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x926bd6…
10-24 20:49:11	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	196	26¢	$51	0x465ed0…
10-24 20:33:24	Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,004	20¢	$600	0x067882…
10-22 23:08:09	Will the Student List win 30-35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	440	11¢	$48	0xd22d20…
07-25 14:46:36	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	188	0¢	$0	0xa674d7…
07-25 13:40:33	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0xee4c05…
07-25 13:39:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xec80d2…
07-25 13:37:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xce0b0b…
07-25 12:06:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	375	3¢	$12	0x72ec77…
07-24 19:42:24	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0xe35b4f…
07-24 19:40:10	will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	No	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0x82b562…
07-24 19:39:18	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	68	54¢	$37	0x684624…
07-24 18:45:31	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	198	45¢	$90	0x04aeff…
07-24 17:53:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 17:50 UTC	Up	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0x2dd863…
07-24 17:52:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x519909…
07-24 17:48:48	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	10¢	$12	0x7ac21b…
07-24 17:44:04	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xd4b750…
07-24 15:04:01	atp rublev assche 2026 07 24	Andrey Rublev	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x7cecc9…
07-24 15:03:16	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x2de3ab…
07-24 10:16:46	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	68	48¢	$32	0x33db62…
07-24 10:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x53c5b2…
07-24 10:13:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x757670…
07-22 18:24:09	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	55	14¢	$8	0x3faa4f…
07-22 18:23:34	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0x4c223e…
07-22 18:22:40	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	313	14¢	$43	0x5cae05…
07-22 18:22:00	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	140	15¢	$21	0xbdc316…
07-20 13:07:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x489bda…
07-20 13:06:01	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	313	11¢	$35	0x118255…
07-20 12:56:24	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	140	9¢	$13	0x6c3898…
06-25 23:04:02	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Netherlands	BUY	75	58¢	$44	0xbf181e…
06-25 23:03:17	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	810	6¢	$45	0x7c1a6b…
06-25 09:21:26	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	810	5¢	$45	0xa4a2b1…