Realized P&L
-$1.18K
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
2,797
Trades
5,742
lifetime
Volume
$27.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$120
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 10-30 12:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Crypto
89% 78% -$1,051
Other
9% 71% -$114
Politics
2% 97% -$15
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 971 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 415 No +10 $5 64¢ $7 +$2 10-14 19:05
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +24 $5 27¢ $6 +$1 10-17 02:45
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-28 02:07
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-28 00:26
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-26 06:51
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 09-11 13:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-30 10:54
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-26 20:26
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-26 12:40
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-26 16:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-30 09:10
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-27 20:38
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-27 21:39
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-28 00:26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-29 16:18
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-26 17:32
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-30 11:46
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 09-01 12:31
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-19 17:08
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-04 23:26
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 09-12 08:58
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-26 11:24
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-25 20:50
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +56 $10 3¢ $2 -$8 09-15 01:36