Ugly-Stepgrandfather — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.09K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.3%

Resolved

13,646

Trades

27,566

lifetime

Volume

$274.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-27 09:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 88% +$1,129

Other

1% 98% -$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 1366 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 10am et	37	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	Up	+$66	08-03 14:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 11:45 UTC	17	$517	360	200	+160	Down	+$26	08-15 11:57
bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 11am et	16	$473	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$27	07-31 15:00
bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 11am et	1	$431	440	0	+440	Up	+$9	08-15 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:15 UTC	10	$394	400	0	+400	Up	+$6	08-01 10:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:10 UTC	12	$392	420	0	+420	Down	+$28	08-05 10:12
bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 12pm et	5	$384	400	0	+400	Up	+$16	08-16 16:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 19:20 UTC	14	$379	460	0	+460	Up	-$179	08-16 19:24
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-16 12:00 UTC	1	$370	390	0	+390	Up	+$20	08-16 15:03
bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 9am et	8	$365	380	0	+380	Down	+$15	08-01 13:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 08:00 UTC	7	$340	349	0	+349	Down	+$8	08-02 10:36
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 08:00 UTC	2	$319	347	0	+347	Up	+$28	08-11 10:07
bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 4pm et	14	$308	170	170	+0	Up	+$5	08-04 20:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 12:15 UTC	3	$297	160	160	+0	Down	+$13	07-29 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:45 UTC	17	$291	300	0	+300	Up	+$9	06-23 23:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:15 UTC	13	$287	300	0	+300	Down	+$13	06-24 01:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 21:50 UTC	9	$270	240	40	+200	Up	+$9	07-06 21:54
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 12:00 UTC	1	$249	250	0	+250	Up	+$1	08-09 15:16
bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 10am et	4	$245	250	0	+250	Up	+$5	08-08 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 18:00 UTC	8	$232	240	0	+240	Up	+$8	07-08 18:03
bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 4am et	3	$228	238	0	+238	Down	+$10	08-02 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:25 UTC	8	$222	240	0	+240	Up	+$18	08-09 18:27
bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 3pm et	6	$221	230	0	+230	Down	-$221	08-16 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 08:15 UTC	12	$217	225	0	+225	Down	+$8	06-23 08:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 03:40 UTC	6	$214	240	0	+240	Down	+$26	07-03 03:42
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 08:00 UTC	4	$211	235	0	+235	Up	+$24	08-08 10:20
bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 4pm et	5	$211	220	0	+220	Up	+$9	08-01 20:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 10:30 UTC	4	$209	125	125	+0	Down	+$14	07-30 10:40
Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$200	200	0	+200	Up	+$0	08-08 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 11:15 UTC	1	$197	200	0	+200	Down	+$3	08-16 11:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:33:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x587283…
10-27 10:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x52a796…
10-27 10:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x19d51d…
10-27 10:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x10fcca…
10-27 10:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5db33f…
10-27 10:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x36490b…
10-27 10:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xadd5e4…
10-27 10:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x58ea4c…
10-27 10:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2b9361…
10-27 10:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x76a5b7…
10-27 10:12:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xda62be…
10-27 10:12:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd91416…
10-27 10:12:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x744703…
10-27 10:12:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4af498…
10-27 10:12:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3cf891…
10-27 10:12:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2c2962…
10-27 10:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x79cd2d…
10-27 10:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfb2cde…
10-27 10:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x466154…
10-27 10:07:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83c091…
10-27 10:07:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7751b7…
10-27 10:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4542b3…
10-27 09:58:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd660f0…
10-27 09:57:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcef21d…
10-27 09:57:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9c4d4e…
10-27 09:57:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x427129…
10-27 09:57:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x40a539…
10-27 09:57:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe94009…
10-27 09:57:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x260297…
10-27 09:56:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9952ae…
10-27 09:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x97b9da…
10-27 09:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x46c83b…
10-27 09:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xec1358…
10-27 09:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x446489…
10-27 09:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2d4370…
10-27 09:33:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc7225b…
10-27 09:32:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc63658…
10-27 09:27:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe72dd8…
10-27 09:27:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6004a7…
10-27 09:27:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4ef243…
10-27 09:27:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x508595…
10-27 09:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcba55d…
10-27 09:26:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x88b615…
10-27 09:26:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3c0cac…
10-27 09:26:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x984f3c…
10-27 09:26:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdc38f2…
10-27 09:26:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf83000…
10-27 09:23:38	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa9cbb8…
10-27 09:23:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe17b98…
10-27 09:23:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x610a79…
10-27 09:23:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0066e3…
10-27 09:23:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x04d862…
10-27 09:21:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd761b8…
10-27 09:21:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb22d62…
10-27 09:11:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x66b243…
10-27 09:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4e78cd…
10-27 09:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x46551d…
10-27 09:08:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc49bbd…
10-27 09:04:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5a6e1c…
10-27 09:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x554de3…
10-27 09:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc2422b…
10-27 09:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1627e0…
10-27 09:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0f896a…
10-27 09:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe05543…
10-27 08:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xae8ad2…
10-27 08:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xee8bdd…
10-27 08:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x93ae53…
10-27 08:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2fcf57…
10-27 08:52:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe36031…
10-27 08:52:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3b389b…
10-27 08:52:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0b2add…
10-27 08:48:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb38c85…
10-27 08:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe057cf…
10-27 08:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x611ae4…
10-27 08:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3aabf8…
10-27 08:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x500950…
10-27 08:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8bb3d5…
10-27 08:41:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfa2488…
10-27 08:41:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x472c43…
10-27 08:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7fec99…
10-27 08:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x18ccdf…
10-27 08:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe1e6f8…
10-27 08:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcb6d66…
10-27 08:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x60b7bf…
10-27 08:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x324892…
10-27 08:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6153e5…
10-27 08:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfe88a1…
10-27 08:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xed0552…
10-27 08:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x94f373…
10-27 08:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x32eba1…
10-27 08:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x860ff6…
10-27 08:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6cfdbc…
10-27 08:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2e8b67…
10-27 08:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x08df2d…
10-27 08:27:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd1b1d3…
10-27 08:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x88ae7f…
10-27 08:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xfb11d6…
10-27 08:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x77f599…
10-27 08:17:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x082a5a…
10-27 08:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x924eb2…