Ugly-Stepgrandfather — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved (7d)

894

Trades (7d)

2,096

34,007 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$10.8K

$306.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 11-05 08:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 188 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 89% +$1,141

Other

1% 98% -$38

Politics

0% 100% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 1366 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 10am et	37	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	Up	+$66	08-03 14:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 11:45 UTC	17	$517	360	200	+160	Down	+$26	08-15 11:57
bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 11am et	16	$473	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$27	07-31 15:00
bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 11am et	1	$431	440	0	+440	Up	+$9	08-15 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:15 UTC	10	$394	400	0	+400	Up	+$6	08-01 10:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:10 UTC	12	$392	420	0	+420	Down	+$28	08-05 10:12
bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 12pm et	5	$384	400	0	+400	Up	+$16	08-16 16:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 19:20 UTC	14	$379	460	0	+460	Up	-$179	08-16 19:24
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-16 12:00 UTC	1	$370	390	0	+390	Up	+$20	08-16 15:03
bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 9am et	8	$365	380	0	+380	Down	+$15	08-01 13:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 08:00 UTC	7	$340	349	0	+349	Down	+$8	08-02 10:36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$332	350	0	+350	Yes	+$18	11-03 15:18
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 08:00 UTC	2	$319	347	0	+347	Up	+$28	08-11 10:07
bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 4pm et	14	$308	170	170	+0	Up	+$5	08-04 20:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 12:15 UTC	3	$297	160	160	+0	Down	+$13	07-29 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:45 UTC	17	$291	300	0	+300	Up	+$9	06-23 23:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:15 UTC	13	$287	300	0	+300	Down	+$13	06-24 01:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 21:50 UTC	9	$270	240	40	+200	Up	+$9	07-06 21:54
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 12:00 UTC	1	$249	250	0	+250	Up	+$1	08-09 15:16
bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 10am et	4	$245	250	0	+250	Up	+$5	08-08 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 18:00 UTC	8	$232	240	0	+240	Up	+$8	07-08 18:03
bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 4am et	3	$228	238	0	+238	Down	+$10	08-02 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:25 UTC	8	$222	240	0	+240	Up	+$18	08-09 18:27
bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 3pm et	6	$221	230	0	+230	Down	-$221	08-16 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 08:15 UTC	12	$217	225	0	+225	Down	+$8	06-23 08:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 03:40 UTC	6	$214	240	0	+240	Down	+$26	07-03 03:42
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 08:00 UTC	4	$211	235	0	+235	Up	+$24	08-08 10:20
bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 4pm et	5	$211	220	0	+220	Up	+$9	08-01 20:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 10:30 UTC	4	$209	125	125	+0	Down	+$14	07-30 10:40
Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$200	200	0	+200	Up	+$0	08-08 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 08:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x92bd41…
11-05 08:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5bba4…
11-05 08:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4b6526…
11-05 08:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd02c58…
11-05 07:37:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x05b087…
11-05 07:37:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x13ecfb…
11-05 06:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe5ddb1…
11-05 05:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe245ec…
11-05 05:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa03d0d…
11-05 05:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x85425c…
11-05 05:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa2ce28…
11-05 05:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8e2bea…
11-05 05:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5475d8…
11-05 05:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdc9918…
11-05 05:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x154f59…
11-05 04:52:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9ab70c…
11-05 04:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x80f43a…
11-05 04:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x48fc78…
11-05 04:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xfae931…
11-05 04:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7b6a82…
11-05 04:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x43b197…
11-05 03:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x43f085…
11-05 03:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcb6333…
11-05 03:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7fb945…
11-05 03:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfe813c…
11-05 03:46:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb899e6…
11-05 03:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd60448…
11-05 03:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x985a5b…
11-05 03:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc126a4…
11-05 03:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8aa145…
11-05 03:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x80de28…
11-05 03:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe8ed1a…
11-05 03:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x11ca06…
11-05 02:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5984dd…
11-05 02:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd1966e…
11-05 02:07:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb64489…
11-05 02:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe05c03…
11-05 02:06:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4d698c…
11-05 02:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc45650…
11-05 02:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x50b768…
11-05 02:02:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x735556…
11-05 01:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd17872…
11-05 01:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5418b4…
11-05 01:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe73dfc…
11-05 01:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa76bfa…
11-05 01:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x64cc61…
11-05 01:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8a261f…
11-05 01:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9b051b…
11-05 01:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x81c454…
11-05 01:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4e585e…
11-05 01:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20bef7…
11-05 01:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9b47db…
11-05 01:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5c2c1a…
11-05 01:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc2b4ec…
11-05 01:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x86bd30…
11-05 01:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7b9a36…
11-05 01:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x369600…
11-05 01:15:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x42aaf3…
11-05 01:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x43a210…
11-05 00:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x347021…
11-05 00:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcfbea2…
11-05 00:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xebfe8e…
11-05 00:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb2764b…
11-05 00:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x044e0a…
11-04 23:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c0031…
11-04 23:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xab5a5f…
11-04 23:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x935daa…
11-04 23:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4fca1a…
11-04 23:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20a8fb…
11-04 23:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdcb3f8…
11-04 23:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6086c1…
11-04 23:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3f7374…
11-04 23:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x34e231…
11-04 23:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x45443f…
11-04 22:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xfb4a2a…
11-04 22:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x68e160…
11-04 22:38:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd2e0ca…
11-04 22:36:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xffe92b…
11-04 22:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc6579f…
11-04 22:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6653b0…
11-04 22:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x075c32…
11-04 22:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xebc32e…
11-04 22:27:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x097757…
11-04 22:27:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3e7ff8…
11-04 22:27:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x31652d…
11-04 22:12:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf4f581…
11-04 22:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa611ae…
11-04 22:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xba6ecd…
11-04 21:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa1d614…
11-04 21:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xba9525…
11-04 21:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4a2d1e…
11-04 21:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc47c8e…
11-04 21:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3121b3…
11-04 21:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xef651a…
11-04 21:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f4898…
11-04 21:33:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfa3556…
11-04 21:33:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa5e2d8…
11-04 21:33:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x64654a…
11-04 21:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xafc08d…
11-04 21:07:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xca8970…