Ugly-Stepgrandfather — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved (30d)

5,009

Trades (30d)

12,647

34,186 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$67.9K

$309.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 11-09 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 89% +$1,023

Other

1% 98% -$38

Politics

0% 100% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 1366 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 10am et	37	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	Up	+$66	08-03 14:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 11:45 UTC	17	$517	360	200	+160	Down	+$26	08-15 11:57
bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 11am et	16	$473	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$27	07-31 15:00
bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 11am et	1	$431	440	0	+440	Up	+$9	08-15 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:15 UTC	10	$394	400	0	+400	Up	+$6	08-01 10:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:10 UTC	12	$392	420	0	+420	Down	+$28	08-05 10:12
bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 12pm et	5	$384	400	0	+400	Up	+$16	08-16 16:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 19:20 UTC	14	$379	460	0	+460	Up	-$179	08-16 19:24
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-16 12:00 UTC	1	$370	390	0	+390	Up	+$20	08-16 15:03
bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 9am et	8	$365	380	0	+380	Down	+$15	08-01 13:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 08:00 UTC	7	$340	349	0	+349	Down	+$8	08-02 10:36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$332	350	0	+350	Yes	+$18	11-03 15:18
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 08:00 UTC	2	$319	347	0	+347	Up	+$28	08-11 10:07
bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 4pm et	14	$308	170	170	+0	Up	+$5	08-04 20:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 12:15 UTC	3	$297	160	160	+0	Down	+$13	07-29 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:45 UTC	17	$291	300	0	+300	Up	+$9	06-23 23:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:15 UTC	13	$287	300	0	+300	Down	+$13	06-24 01:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 21:50 UTC	9	$270	240	40	+200	Up	+$9	07-06 21:54
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 12:00 UTC	1	$249	250	0	+250	Up	+$1	08-09 15:16
bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 10am et	4	$245	250	0	+250	Up	+$5	08-08 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 18:00 UTC	8	$232	240	0	+240	Up	+$8	07-08 18:03
bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 4am et	3	$228	238	0	+238	Down	+$10	08-02 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:25 UTC	8	$222	240	0	+240	Up	+$18	08-09 18:27
bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 3pm et	6	$221	230	0	+230	Down	-$221	08-16 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 08:15 UTC	12	$217	225	0	+225	Down	+$8	06-23 08:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 03:40 UTC	6	$214	240	0	+240	Down	+$26	07-03 03:42
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 08:00 UTC	4	$211	235	0	+235	Up	+$24	08-08 10:20
bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 4pm et	5	$211	220	0	+220	Up	+$9	08-01 20:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 10:30 UTC	4	$209	125	125	+0	Down	+$14	07-30 10:40
Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$200	200	0	+200	Up	+$0	08-08 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 17:16:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xef9916…
11-09 17:16:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xadebed…
11-09 17:16:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xa64a0b…
11-09 17:16:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x5e0bc9…
11-09 16:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x72a855…
11-09 16:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe42ef3…
11-09 16:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xb8738f…
11-09 16:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x8826d3…
11-09 16:31:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x534045…
11-09 16:31:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xb5047f…
11-09 16:31:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x7ae3d3…
11-09 16:31:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x3cde6e…
11-09 15:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xe514ce…
11-09 15:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x96dc78…
11-09 15:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x7098d5…
11-09 15:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x65d393…
11-09 15:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb05db3…
11-09 15:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x724cb0…
11-09 15:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xc06868…
11-09 15:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x721708…
11-09 15:42:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe89e91…
11-09 15:42:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2dee5f…
11-09 15:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe26bff…
11-09 15:42:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x023b1e…
11-09 15:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xee37c7…
11-09 15:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xa8e2a6…
11-09 15:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x8452bf…
11-09 15:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x7fe62f…
11-09 15:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc8b8ba…
11-09 15:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5294b2…
11-09 15:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x4f5d61…
11-09 15:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x4a3274…
11-09 15:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x42c0b7…
11-09 15:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x0ef719…
11-09 15:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x897d78…
11-09 15:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xfaafa4…
11-09 15:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xc5e17b…
11-09 15:11:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xdd7cd9…
11-09 15:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xa13c36…
11-09 15:11:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x968c3b…
11-09 15:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x75d2f5…
11-09 15:11:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xb5f467…
11-09 15:11:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x3fcd63…
11-09 14:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0xe4c232…
11-09 13:03:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6198d1…
11-09 13:03:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x398486…
11-09 12:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x9ea7e2…
11-09 12:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x8b348c…
11-09 12:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x5426ab…
11-09 12:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x275862…
11-09 12:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xa48a52…
11-09 12:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x861b85…
11-09 11:37:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xdf48da…
11-09 10:27:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xf3c80a…
11-09 10:27:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xe3b149…
11-09 10:27:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x352589…
11-09 10:27:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x06b394…
11-09 09:37:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x18afea…
11-09 09:37:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x09ccc8…
11-09 08:52:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xd7111d…
11-09 08:52:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x57e454…
11-09 08:17:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf8d17a…
11-09 08:17:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc2ad6a…
11-09 08:17:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbeef79…
11-09 08:17:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x0b8361…
11-09 07:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc2e5f0…
11-09 07:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xac6c87…
11-09 07:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xc170eb…
11-09 07:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x92a4a7…
11-09 07:37:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x888907…
11-09 07:37:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc3d8ca…
11-09 07:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb17ce1…
11-09 07:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x23a706…
11-09 07:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xddd6b5…
11-09 07:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xbb2a2a…
11-09 07:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x35fea4…
11-09 07:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x0008ff…
11-09 07:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x885651…
11-09 07:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x17d4b9…
11-09 07:21:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xf0be4d…
11-09 07:21:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x40b6f3…
11-09 07:21:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x2bcd08…
11-09 07:21:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x04f54c…
11-09 06:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x96810f…
11-09 06:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x58f591…
11-09 06:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x359772…
11-09 06:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x03378e…
11-09 04:26:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x67bb45…
11-09 04:26:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5cd185…
11-09 04:26:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x1eddfb…
11-09 04:26:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x70be50…
11-09 03:27:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xadaf91…
11-09 03:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe3260b…
11-09 03:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe2c5b9…
11-09 03:26:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc18851…
11-09 03:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa8f496…
11-09 03:26:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x858404…
11-09 03:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7e52e1…
11-09 03:26:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x528df5…
11-09 02:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfb3e22…