Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$250

Unrealized P&L

+$244

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

$895

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-13

last 10-26 14:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 59% -$396

Other

15% 67% +$118

Politics

7% 100% +$27

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	+318	$102	84¢	$268	+$167	10-13 02:26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+272	$200	93¢	$252	+$52	10-23 18:47
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	+222	$200	96¢	$214	+$14	10-19 21:43
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+154	$100	66¢	$101	+$1	10-21 12:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+227	$50	26¢	$60	+$10	10-17 03:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$1.5K	2,187	0	+2,187	Up	-$1,500	10-24 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$1.1K	958	575	+382	Up	-$123	10-24 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$1000	1,633	0	+1,633	Up	+$633	10-24 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	8	$800	1,012	0	+1,012	Up	+$212	10-24 22:27
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	5	$742	511	511	+0	No	-$18	10-23 13:09
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$627	391	391	+0	No	+$27	10-24 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	5	$500	951	0	+951	Down	+$209	10-24 22:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	2	$468	269	269	+0	No	+$68	10-19 02:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 17?	2	$426	233	233	+0	Yes	+$26	10-17 13:36
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	2	$350	396	0	+396	Yes	+$46	10-14 02:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18?	2	$238	141	141	+0	Yes	+$38	10-18 14:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 19?	2	$228	179	179	+0	Yes	+$128	10-19 16:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$200	272	0	+272	open	—	10-23 18:47
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	1	$200	291	0	+291	Yes	+$91	10-21 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$200	288	0	+288	Up	+$88	10-24 22:08
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	1	$200	222	0	+222	open	—	10-19 21:43
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	2	$102	318	0	+318	open	—	10-13 02:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	1	$100	138	0	+138	Yes	-$100	10-23 21:15
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$100	154	0	+154	open	—	10-21 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$100	139	0	+139	Down	-$100	10-24 22:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	1	$100	518	0	+518	No	+$418	10-24 14:32
will bitcoin reach 82k october 12 18 2026 from october 16	1	$100	477	0	+477	Yes	-$100	10-16 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$100	150	0	+150	Down	-$100	10-25 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$100	110	0	+110	Up	-$100	10-24 23:07
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$50	227	0	+227	open	—	10-17 03:43
Bitcoin above 82,800 on October 20, 11PM ET?	1	$50	172	0	+172	Yes	-$50	10-21 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$43	54	16	+38	Up	-$37	10-26 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$39	43	20	+24	Up	-$7	10-26 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$25	40	0	+40	Up	+$9	10-26 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$21	31	7	+24	Up	+$5	10-26 02:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe91ed9…
10-26 14:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x11ea9c…
10-26 14:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xc57e37…
10-26 14:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x3ccf16…
10-26 14:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xcff296…
10-26 13:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x6053d3…
10-26 13:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x70de94…
10-26 13:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x17788d…
10-26 13:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf2a4a4…
10-26 13:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x2810c7…
10-26 13:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x3e8d07…
10-26 12:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x3fbe88…
10-26 12:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x887a8a…
10-26 12:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xb161b3…
10-26 12:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x23a5ed…
10-26 12:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0b37cd…
10-26 12:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x191380…
10-26 12:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x914457…
10-26 11:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x289b37…
10-26 11:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xa4223e…
10-26 11:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x11224f…
10-26 11:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x98412f…
10-26 10:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfa4c25…
10-26 10:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd6e18f…
10-26 10:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x06eb0f…
10-26 10:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x490a4c…
10-26 10:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4364a6…
10-26 10:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x49490a…
10-26 10:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9f460b…
10-26 02:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xa6b166…
10-26 02:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0d9e06…
10-26 02:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6166d1…
10-26 02:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x54dce2…
10-26 02:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb14bc4…
10-26 02:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xe904cf…
10-26 02:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfad6e2…
10-26 02:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe901f2…
10-25 21:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x831af7…
10-25 21:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8972ff…
10-25 21:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xebed73…
10-25 21:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe74551…
10-25 21:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1b0c2b…
10-25 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	268	2¢	$5	0xfad08c…
10-25 15:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x0adb00…
10-25 15:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc201ac…
10-25 15:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2018fa…
10-25 15:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x11843b…
10-25 15:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xbef39d…
10-25 15:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdaf205…
10-25 15:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xcde20d…
10-25 15:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbde711…
10-25 15:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa224ed…
10-25 15:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1e6f4a…
10-25 15:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xfeb7b7…
10-25 15:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc2a8b2…
10-25 15:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3c6c3c…
10-25 15:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xce331f…
10-25 15:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0x2b7a44…
10-25 15:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x7a3025…
10-25 00:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0xcb1067…
10-24 23:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xe3e593…
10-24 23:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0xa21608…
10-24 23:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x3afaed…
10-24 23:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	382	26¢	$100	0x1ec2e6…
10-24 23:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	373	74¢	$275	0xb2851a…
10-24 23:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x06aa23…
10-24 23:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x410e9b…
10-24 22:58:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	391	84¢	$327	0xa748b0…
10-24 22:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xac27ed…
10-24 22:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	694	72¢	$500	0xaff411…
10-24 22:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	737	68¢	$500	0xf7bfb5…
10-24 22:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	755	66¢	$500	0x6ba5cd…
10-24 22:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	518	96¢	$500	0xfe0b4b…
10-24 22:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	870	44¢	$385	0x976373…
10-24 22:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	244	47¢	$115	0x91c694…
10-24 22:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x783e8c…
10-24 22:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xfbc527…
10-24 22:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x9d4fb2…
10-24 22:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x38944e…
10-24 22:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x764e60…
10-24 22:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	134	74¢	$100	0x68f42a…
10-24 22:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x65afaa…
10-24 22:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0x5e8f75…
10-24 22:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xb34fdd…
10-24 22:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0xc0add7…
10-24 22:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x9a504e…
10-24 22:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x3144ac…
10-24 22:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0xd13939…
10-24 22:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0x5942f8…
10-24 22:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x0853e0…
10-24 14:32:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	518	19¢	$100	0x5b8992…
10-24 00:25:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	140	13¢	$18	0xeb71e4…
10-23 21:15:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x0b09a0…
10-23 18:47:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	272	74¢	$200	0x3db530…
10-23 13:09:03	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	SELL	155	93¢	$144	0x140d69…
10-21 12:14:36	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x3f0d26…
10-21 12:14:15	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0x4e6ebc…
10-21 12:12:36	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	SELL	356	61¢	$217	0xb6938d…
10-21 02:55:50	Bitcoin above 82,800 on October 20, 11PM ET?	No	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x815f95…
10-21 02:15:20	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	BUY	291	69¢	$200	0x07a545…