Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$238

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-19

last 10-23 20:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

57% 17% -$18

Politics

28% 27% -$11

Pop-Culture

8% 67% +$4

Tech

6% 50% +$1

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	7	$13	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	10-23 20:10
Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	10-22 21:36
Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	4	$7	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	10-23 20:11
Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	5	$7	15	15	+0	open	—	10-23 20:15
Will Meta say "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" 30+ times during earnings call?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	10-21 21:23
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	10-23 15:43
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	3	$6	10	10	+0	No	+$1	10-23 20:07
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$3	10-23 06:59
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $7M and $9M?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-21 19:17
Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above $2.5B?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-21 20:23
Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	10-21 23:01
Will UKMTO publish fewer than 8 notices between October 19-October 25?	3	$5	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	10-23 20:07
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $500B and $750B at the end of November 2026?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	10-22 09:24
Will Anthropic’s valuation be less than $500B at the end of November 2026?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	10-22 09:23
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" this week?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	10-23 15:06
Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	10-22 12:43
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	10-22 06:28
Will Trump say "Fish" or "Fisher" or "Fishing" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	2	$4	5	5	+0	No	+$2	10-23 19:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-19 19:58
Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	10-22 07:05
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	2	$4	5	5	+0	No	+$1	10-23 02:56
Will Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	2	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	10-23 20:09
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-23 20:09
Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-23 02:56
Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-23 20:08
Will BNB reach $800 in October?	3	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	10-23 20:10
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 21?	4	$3	10	10	+0	Yes	-$2	10-23 20:18
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-23 20:10
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22B by October 31?	3	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	10-23 20:10
Will Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?	3	$3	10	10	+0	No	-$2	10-23 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 20:18:59	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 21?	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x477e6c…
10-23 20:18:50	Will PP win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xcc36af…
10-23 20:18:39	Will Zeeshan Wahla win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xc29aa8…
10-23 20:17:14	Will MrBeast hit 524 million subscribers by October 31?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x2d37a1…
10-23 20:17:03	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x5f576f…
10-23 20:15:56	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xedec2e…
10-23 20:15:44	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xe73eb4…
10-23 20:15:05	Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x80ec05…
10-23 20:14:45	Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x2dfb47…
10-23 20:14:36	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xdcc92a…
10-23 20:14:33	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xa2aafb…
10-23 20:14:26	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x1166d2…
10-23 20:14:12	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x5a425b…
10-23 20:13:51	Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by October 31?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x101822…
10-23 20:13:33	Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x86d67d…
10-23 20:13:21	Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x51febf…
10-23 20:13:11	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x980ef0…
10-23 20:13:02	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xe5a53c…
10-23 20:12:51	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x7b0915…
10-23 20:12:42	Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xa1f8ea…
10-23 20:11:57	Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x650270…
10-23 20:11:42	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xa83dfc…
10-23 20:11:30	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xbf4da8…
10-23 20:11:21	Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xfd1459…
10-23 20:11:12	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xeec3c6…
10-23 20:11:02	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x55327e…
10-23 20:10:53	Will BNB reach $800 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x8af51d…
10-23 20:10:38	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x874ee4…
10-23 20:10:29	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22B by October 31?	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x53292e…
10-23 20:10:18	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xfda12f…
10-23 20:10:08	Will Vox win 66-70 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xdff23c…
10-23 20:09:59	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x51a291…
10-23 20:09:45	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.75% in October?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x79127c…
10-23 20:09:33	Will The Odyssey win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x71a7b8…
10-23 20:09:21	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xc5e17e…
10-23 20:09:11	Will Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x81b718…
10-23 20:08:59	Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) the week of October 19?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xf37e2b…
10-23 20:08:50	Will Trump say "Burger" in October?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc33a0e…
10-23 20:08:38	Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x86d7ad…
10-23 20:08:29	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x79a213…
10-23 20:08:20	Will Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xda30bc…
10-23 20:07:20	Will UKMTO publish fewer than 8 notices between October 19-October 25?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x984ed9…
10-23 20:07:06	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xec880b…
10-23 19:34:17	Will Trump say "Fish" or "Fisher" or "Fishing" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x963ca5…
10-23 19:00:09	Will Trump say "Fish" or "Fisher" or "Fishing" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6a2f7c…
10-23 18:51:45	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7aef57…
10-23 18:39:38	Will Vox win 66-70 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8e3c82…
10-23 17:49:27	Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xed6c73…
10-23 16:59:29	Will Trump say "Burger" in October?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x79886c…
10-23 15:43:09	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0c0416…
10-23 15:32:53	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe77c21…
10-23 15:23:51	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9b0def…
10-23 15:17:33	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x50fa46…
10-23 15:06:24	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" this week?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x72e444…
10-23 14:49:41	Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x411e3a…
10-23 14:36:18	Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xdcd63c…
10-23 14:29:42	Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9d0894…
10-23 13:25:20	Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by October 31?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x0d5d94…
10-23 13:11:57	Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?	No	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x2a5455…
10-23 11:40:08	Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4b6667…
10-23 10:48:53	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x46da5e…
10-23 07:47:30	Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) the week of October 19?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0adf20…
10-23 06:59:17	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x94d2c8…
10-23 06:50:59	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xcc065f…
10-23 05:07:38	Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x97e472…
10-23 04:41:59	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9151e1…
10-23 04:14:39	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.75% in October?	No	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x230383…
10-23 02:56:09	Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xce13a1…
10-23 02:56:06	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x74d114…
10-23 02:48:02	Will Trump say "Strategic" or "Strategy" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x14de0a…
10-23 00:19:56	Will MrBeast hit 524 million subscribers by October 31?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x328344…
10-22 23:40:51	Will Zeeshan Wahla win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe44267…
10-22 21:57:48	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x46a77e…
10-22 21:36:29	Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xa905a0…
10-22 21:33:39	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb2ff08…
10-22 21:21:06	Will PP win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfdf239…
10-22 20:55:03	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8acdf0…
10-22 18:09:39	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x71f0db…
10-22 18:09:29	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x5a7668…
10-22 18:09:26	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.75% in October?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x50ccc1…
10-22 18:09:15	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.30% in October?	No	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x08980d…
10-22 17:25:30	Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x100898…
10-22 17:13:18	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x24969c…
10-22 17:09:21	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5ecd8e…
10-22 16:58:26	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% in October?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3289c0…
10-22 16:58:20	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in October?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x002168…
10-22 16:58:12	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.30% in October?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xeb0b54…
10-22 15:44:56	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xbf7458…
10-22 12:49:14	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x511baa…
10-22 12:43:57	Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x64e27f…
10-22 11:45:03	Union Pacific (UNP) Q3 adjusted operating ratio 58% to 59%?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe4422b…
10-22 11:19:39	Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth 3.5%+?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5ba85a…
10-22 09:24:15	Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $500B and $750B at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xcf171d…
10-22 09:23:50	Will Anthropic’s valuation be less than $500B at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x4c154a…
10-22 09:05:36	Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x690800…
10-22 07:05:51	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xe3abe3…
10-22 06:28:34	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xde74dd…
10-22 05:13:02	Axis Robotics FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x8cf136…
10-22 04:58:41	Will Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xa1507c…
10-22 04:35:42	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x01e6fc…