Shoddy-Start — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

134

Trades

2,859

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-04 07:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 53% +$21

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 296 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	7	$259	2,310	0	+2,310	open	—	02-08 09:41
btc updown 5m 1772244600	11	$243	184	157	+27	open	—	02-28 02:14
btc updown 5m 1772414100	10	$203	141	140	+1	open	—	03-02 01:19
btc updown 5m 1772412300	8	$196	158	156	+2	open	—	03-02 00:50
btc updown 5m 1772311200	8	$165	105	104	+1	open	—	02-28 20:45
btc updown 5m 1772310600	8	$156	104	103	+1	open	—	02-28 20:35
btc updown 5m 1772248800	7	$145	140	138	+2	open	—	02-28 03:25
btc updown 5m 1772416800	9	$144	138	85	+53	open	—	03-02 02:04
btc updown 5m 1774143000	7	$133	115	93	+22	open	—	03-22 01:34
btc updown 5m 1775176800	6	$130	83	81	+2	open	—	04-03 00:45
btc updown 5m 1772416500	6	$128	86	85	+1	open	—	03-02 01:58
btc updown 5m 1772412900	9	$127	93	92	+1	open	—	03-02 01:00
btc updown 5m 1774364700	3	$106	58	57	+0	open	—	03-24 15:10
btc updown 5m 1773896400	6	$106	67	66	+1	open	—	03-19 05:03
btc updown 5m 1772245200	5	$105	92	66	+26	open	—	02-28 02:24
btc updown 5m 1773822600	6	$104	76	75	+1	open	—	03-18 08:35
btc updown 5m 1773732300	6	$103	73	73	+1	open	—	03-17 07:30
btc updown 5m 1775019300	3	$101	64	62	+2	open	—	04-01 05:00
btc updown 5m 1773732000	9	$101	69	68	+1	open	—	03-17 07:25
btc updown 5m 1773822300	10	$101	72	72	+0	open	—	03-18 08:30
btc updown 5m 1771455300	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	02-18 22:59
btc updown 5m 1774834200	4	$92	59	58	+1	open	—	03-30 01:34
btc updown 5m 1774151400	4	$90	79	77	+1	open	—	03-22 03:54
btc updown 5m 1772244000	5	$89	91	63	+28	open	—	02-28 02:04
btc updown 5m 1772259600	4	$88	51	50	+0	open	—	02-28 06:24
btc updown 5m 1772245500	5	$88	66	54	+12	open	—	02-28 02:29
btc updown 5m 1774133400	4	$88	61	60	+1	open	—	03-21 22:55
btc updown 5m 1772247900	3	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	02-28 03:09
btc updown 5m 1773805500	7	$86	62	61	+1	open	—	03-18 03:50
btc updown 5m 1774420500	4	$86	54	54	+1	open	—	03-25 06:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 07:44:57	btc updown 5m 1780558800	Up	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x7f70d4…
06-04 07:44:51	btc updown 5m 1780558800	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x45f7a4…
06-04 07:09:54	btc updown 5m 1780556700	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x5b636a…
06-04 07:09:39	btc updown 5m 1780556700	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x712318…
06-04 06:29:52	btc updown 5m 1780554300	Up	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x53e972…
06-04 06:29:40	btc updown 5m 1780554300	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3f1629…
06-03 08:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x974d86…
06-03 08:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x4bd5fe…
06-03 07:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	21¢	$2	0xb34975…
06-03 07:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xedf42d…
06-03 04:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x1d8b37…
06-03 04:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3c25cc…
06-03 03:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x3bb387…
06-03 03:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x51c0ca…
06-03 02:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xa3b02c…
06-03 02:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x1973c4…
06-02 18:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x34ef7f…
06-02 18:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1752c6…
06-02 18:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x24d8b0…
06-02 18:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc2543d…
06-02 18:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x49abdd…
06-02 18:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbf9d7d…
06-02 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x730010…
06-02 17:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe6017e…
06-02 17:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0x7c58e1…
06-02 17:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x880242…
06-02 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xeced01…
06-02 15:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x19df92…
06-02 13:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x2fe584…
06-02 13:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x56265d…
06-02 13:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xd9374b…
06-02 13:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xed0de3…
06-02 13:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x9845aa…
06-02 13:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x79e4c0…
06-02 12:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x28780e…
06-02 11:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xadfe0c…
06-02 11:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x53686a…
06-02 10:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x00f2c3…
06-02 10:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x911241…
06-02 10:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x03f643…
06-02 10:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xde1552…
06-02 10:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xa8c703…
06-02 10:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xbbdcfc…
06-02 09:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5bc773…
06-02 09:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7cee0e…
06-02 07:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x82032c…
06-02 06:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x883623…
06-02 06:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x014c0f…
06-02 05:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0x780859…
06-02 05:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xba0f1c…
06-02 05:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0xf9a845…
06-02 05:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xbb65e6…
06-02 04:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xd3ff1a…
06-02 04:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa883c6…
06-02 04:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x4a747e…
06-02 04:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3a2ca4…
06-02 04:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x260d7c…
06-02 04:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x291d15…
06-02 03:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x194277…
06-02 03:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xce8eae…
06-02 03:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xde19f7…
06-02 03:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x5d61b8…
06-02 03:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbd88d3…
06-02 03:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0x102303…
06-02 03:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x92afbf…
06-02 02:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x45c464…
06-02 02:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf7a4c7…
06-02 02:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x78dac2…
06-02 02:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3d9e33…
06-02 01:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3bffb4…
06-02 01:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xfe75e5…
06-02 00:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xafd95d…
06-02 00:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x47da59…
06-02 00:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x90057a…
06-02 00:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfbee45…
06-02 00:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x926b7d…
06-02 00:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x2dad36…
06-01 23:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x6e66e6…
06-01 23:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x516f25…
06-01 23:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x15c332…
06-01 23:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6637f1…
06-01 23:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xbbc87c…
06-01 23:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9e2e99…
06-01 22:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x242503…
06-01 22:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x91f368…
06-01 22:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x9039c0…
06-01 22:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xac76e8…
06-01 22:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x14c618…
06-01 22:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6edd46…
06-01 22:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xd19d7a…
06-01 22:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe6d906…
06-01 21:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0xfea8c4…
06-01 21:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x5b617a…
06-01 21:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbf0ec8…
06-01 21:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xed658c…
06-01 21:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xf81e19…
06-01 21:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdabb4f…
06-01 21:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x9e8186…
06-01 21:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x897da0…
06-01 20:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0xd749bb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	927	$1.84K	4,008	06-04 07:10
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	831	$741.5K	176,249	06-04 07:09
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	806	$90.6K	25,947	06-04 07:09
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	768	$28.7K	6,693	06-04 07:09
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	754	$67.7K	8,394	05-17 23:28
(anonymous) 0xd216…eead	733	$2.29K	3,150	06-04 07:10
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	709	$19.8K	2,052	04-30 02:20
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	667	$4.16K	4,922	05-10 22:49