Indolent-Craft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$384

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

1,559

Trades

1,912

lifetime

Volume

$6.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 09-22 10:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

50% 28% +$6

Politics

26% 20% -$284

Crypto

24% 53% -$106

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	2	$835	683	683	+0	Yes	+$452	09-22 05:31
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$627	2,675	0	+2,675	Yes	-$627	09-18 12:19
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	10	$288	3,777	3,777	+0	No	-$69	09-22 10:27
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?	7	$74	62	62	+0	No	+$44	06-04 04:43
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 17?	2	$60	54	54	+0	Yes	+$47	06-17 04:04
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 19?	2	$54	50	50	+0	Yes	+$45	06-20 03:58
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 29?	2	$49	43	43	+0	Yes	+$36	06-28 21:42
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 14?	4	$49	43	43	+0	Yes	+$36	07-14 14:17
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?	2	$47	41	41	+0	Yes	+$34	06-21 15:30
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 27?	2	$45	39	39	+0	Yes	+$32	06-28 03:54
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 5?	2	$44	39	39	+0	Yes	+$34	07-04 20:11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?	6	$44	29	29	+0	No	+$14	06-04 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 4?	6	$43	29	29	+0	No	+$13	06-04 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 4?	9	$42	28	28	+0	No	+$12	06-04 06:30
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 14?	2	$41	37	37	+0	Yes	+$32	06-15 04:12
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 3?	2	$41	37	37	+0	Yes	+$32	07-04 03:56
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 10?	2	$40	33	33	+0	Yes	+$27	07-09 22:38
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$39	200	0	+200	No	-$39	09-18 12:24
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 23?	2	$39	34	34	+0	Yes	+$26	06-23 07:42
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 19?	2	$39	35	35	+0	Yes	+$30	07-19 14:07
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 23?	2	$38	34	34	+0	Yes	+$29	06-24 03:44
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 6?	3	$37	31	31	+0	Yes	+$24	07-06 14:12
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 10?	2	$34	30	30	+0	Yes	+$25	06-10 14:28
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 4?	5	$34	22	22	+0	No	+$10	06-04 10:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 11:45 UTC	6	$32	61	46	+15	Up	-$1	01-17 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 12:00 UTC	8	$32	37	23	+15	Up	-$1	01-17 12:15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 5?	9	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$7	06-05 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 4?	5	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$8	06-04 17:57
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 10?	2	$30	25	25	+0	Yes	+$21	07-11 01:45
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 20?	2	$28	24	24	+0	Yes	+$19	06-20 04:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 10:27:31	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0x7d0e04…
09-22 09:42:27	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	1,820	3¢	$53	0x978e96…
09-22 09:12:39	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	243	3¢	$7	0x292eab…
09-22 09:07:01	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	1,128	3¢	$33	0xb2647c…
09-22 07:53:15	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	517	3¢	$15	0xadce64…
09-22 07:52:45	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x8b03e5…
09-22 06:06:39	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	2,056	5¢	$95	0x76fb38…
09-22 06:05:49	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0xee97f5…
09-22 06:03:16	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$42	0x55f0a8…
09-22 05:31:49	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	683	94¢	$643	0x6acb7b…
09-18 12:43:47	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x768326…
09-18 12:24:50	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$39	0x17dc4e…
09-18 12:19:33	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	683	6¢	$40	0xed7b1e…
09-18 12:19:33	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	683	28¢	$191	0x7499f4…
09-18 12:19:30	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,675	23¢	$627	0xff17e4…
07-20 15:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xddf192…
07-20 14:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x595cc5…
07-20 14:06:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4c7a5e…
07-20 07:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xda43c2…
07-20 06:39:57	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	54	12¢	$6	0x3cd07f…
07-20 06:00:03	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	41	16¢	$6	0xabeb70…
07-20 02:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbdbe35…
07-20 02:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc68a31…
07-20 02:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf83d1d…
07-20 00:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3443d4…
07-19 23:10:33	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xa5456d…
07-19 22:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x644401…
07-19 18:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbad2ec…
07-19 17:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa88ff7…
07-19 17:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x16dcc0…
07-19 14:07:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0xfda0ce…
07-18 18:25:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	35	13¢	$4	0x0a43cd…
07-18 15:21:58	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	38	12¢	$4	0x7b4137…
07-18 06:00:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	52	12¢	$6	0x5cb203…
07-17 07:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc5ecaf…
07-17 06:39:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	31	15¢	$4	0x81dc71…
07-17 06:00:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	52	12¢	$6	0xedc150…
07-17 02:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa7202f…
07-17 01:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf5775a…
07-16 23:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7e7a8c…
07-16 17:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x539572…
07-16 15:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4b2c6e…
07-16 14:52:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0xb5a76f…
07-16 09:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x586c48…
07-16 06:00:07	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0x89dd3c…
07-16 06:00:07	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	38	17¢	$6	0x30ea02…
07-16 06:00:05	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xa6c74b…
07-16 06:00:04	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$4	0x3bb398…
07-16 03:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe20dc6…
07-16 01:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3515f6…
07-15 19:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcb51f5…
07-15 17:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x846c42…
07-15 12:59:31	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0xd915f7…
07-15 11:58:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1176e7…
07-15 10:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa7feed…
07-15 10:56:44	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	21	12¢	$3	0xcc7645…
07-15 10:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x46cf3c…
07-15 07:00:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xbf2ccc…
07-14 23:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x280f13…
07-14 14:17:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc772fc…
07-14 14:17:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xb912cf…
07-14 14:17:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xcfc82e…
07-14 11:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x45a47a…
07-14 07:10:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	36	18¢	$6	0x2a9375…
07-14 07:00:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	43	15¢	$6	0xc62ca6…
07-14 04:01:28	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on July 14?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe6b742…
07-13 21:29:31	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on July 14?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xd2e8a8…
07-13 19:57:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 14?	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0xbac6fb…
07-13 19:00:26	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 14?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xc0bbac…
07-13 09:15:35	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0x29d3b2…
07-12 21:28:04	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	34	19¢	$6	0xfddf97…
07-11 10:37:17	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x025c4a…
07-11 08:12:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0xe93c60…
07-11 01:45:17	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 10?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xbfa021…
07-10 15:21:10	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	44	15¢	$6	0x079d7d…
07-10 13:49:07	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0x1d76da…
07-10 13:00:59	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x056a81…
07-10 13:00:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0x5be62a…
07-10 10:14:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$4	0x693dee…
07-10 10:03:50	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	58	8¢	$4	0x368bee…
07-09 22:38:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x4e8934…
07-09 20:04:28	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	28	16¢	$4	0xca55f4…
07-09 19:01:01	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xb8c03d…
07-09 10:33:22	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	13	51¢	$6	0xb0ffca…
07-09 07:00:26	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	33	19¢	$6	0x34d251…
07-08 20:02:28	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xeed299…
07-08 16:59:22	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x081789…
07-08 14:52:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa92625…
07-08 13:00:55	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	33	14¢	$4	0xb45ec1…
07-08 10:54:59	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	51	9¢	$4	0x78fbc9…
07-08 06:00:41	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	24	19¢	$4	0x8bf0f2…
07-07 22:36:52	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc7bf63…
07-07 22:05:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x19a013…
07-07 20:01:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$4	0x31fd65…
07-07 08:16:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x734eb5…
07-07 06:43:34	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x50ac8e…
07-06 17:28:25	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$4	0xdd8cc6…
07-06 14:12:32	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x790dd7…
07-06 14:03:46	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6696d5…
07-06 11:16:40	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	38	12¢	$4	0x040bc2…