Prudent-Advance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.06K

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

1,252

Trades

1,767

lifetime

Volume

$103.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-18 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 183 days

Categories

Other

62% 75% -$4,084

Politics

18% 84% -$16

Crypto

18% 53% -$3,116

Sports

2% 66% +$151

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+24	$10	3¢	$1	-$9	07-23 13:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	9	$3.1K	3,442	3,442	+0	No	-$16	07-21 14:25
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	23	$2.7K	3,501	3,501	+0	No	-$32	07-17 20:17
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	4	$2.1K	1,039	1,039	+0	No	+$6	01-26 06:04
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	5	$2.0K	1,279	1,278	+0	Yes	-$53	07-24 19:11
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	4	$1.5K	1,023	511	+512	No	+$4	01-27 00:45
spx up or down on january 21 2026	2	$1.5K	732	732	+0	Up	+$4	01-21 20:06
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	2	$1.4K	687	687	+0	No	-$1	02-05 02:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 17:15 UTC	4	$1.3K	656	656	+0	Down	+$3	02-04 17:30
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	2	$1.3K	638	638	+0	No	+$2	02-04 03:39
cdr alb fcb 2026 02 03 fcb	3	$1.3K	635	635	+0	Yes	+$1	02-03 21:59
sea bol mil 2026 02 03 mil	4	$1.3K	638	638	+0	Yes	+$9	02-03 21:41
efl mnc new 2026 02 04 mnc win	2	$1.2K	592	592	+0	Yes	+$8	02-04 22:17
ucl vil1 aja 2026 01 20 total 4pt5	3	$1.1K	572	572	+0	Under	+$23	01-20 21:57
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$1.1K	548	548	+0	No	+$1	01-17 07:17
ucl kai1 bru1 2026 01 20 bru1	4	$1.1K	560	560	+0	Yes	+$6	01-20 17:10
ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 bog1	2	$1.1K	552	552	+0	Yes	+$11	01-20 19:31
lal rea lev 2026 01 17 rea	4	$1.1K	543	543	+0	Yes	+$4	01-17 14:58
ucl slp fcb1 2026 01 21 fcb1	5	$1.1K	588	588	+0	Yes	+$71	01-21 21:59
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	4	$1.1K	537	537	+0	No	+$0	01-16 06:19
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	2	$1.1K	535	535	+0	No	+$5	01-18 06:28
fl1 asm lor 2026 01 16 total 4pt5	3	$1.1K	531	531	+0	Under	+$1	01-16 19:55
epl mun mac 2026 01 17 mun	2	$1.0K	521	521	+0	Yes	+$1	01-17 14:23
fl1 tou rcl 2026 01 02 rcl	2	$1.0K	857	857	+0	Yes	+$437	01-02 21:06
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	2	$1.0K	519	519	+0	No	+$1	01-20 05:37
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$1.0K	519	519	+0	No	+$4	01-19 06:29
another us strike on venezuela by january 10	2	$1.0K	517	517	+0	No	+$0	01-11 07:55
sea tor rom 2026 01 18 rom	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	Yes	+$1	01-18 19:02
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	2	$1.0K	517	517	+0	No	+$4	01-22 22:56
epl che bre 2026 01 17 che	3	$1.0K	512	512	+0	Yes	+$1	01-17 16:56
lal bar ovi 2026 01 25 bar	3	$1.0K	509	509	+0	Yes	+$1	01-25 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 10:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1e142d…
08-12 05:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2ca2eb…
08-11 07:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x577fb1…
08-10 05:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x4ba8e9…
08-09 07:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xebd950…
08-08 08:28:31	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2,404	21¢	$514	0x42df90…
08-08 08:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0df8e3…
08-08 08:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x45d7a2…
08-07 07:38:21	wen quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 07 2026 0pt16	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4a95f3…
08-07 07:36:30	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	8¢	$4	0x3f2949…
08-04 16:46:27	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2,404	21¢	$500	0x3fb0e4…
07-30 18:07:54	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0x72c0c0…
07-30 15:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x68c0e6…
07-29 15:56:11	meta quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 7pt2	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xa25513…
07-28 17:58:34	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x03c2a6…
07-27 14:33:16	pypl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 1pt28	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd7b987…
07-27 14:32:49	wwd quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 27 2026 2pt42	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcbdebb…
07-26 07:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 27?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x072e05…
07-25 11:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc695fb…
07-24 19:11:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	188	72¢	$136	0x5ea80d…
07-24 19:10:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	592	73¢	$432	0xa54c1b…
07-24 19:05:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	780	79¢	$616	0x1ff98d…
07-24 18:53:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	498	80¢	$399	0x20692e…
07-24 18:53:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	499	81¢	$404	0x71504e…
07-23 13:38:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x5bf517…
07-22 13:36:07	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe175cd…
07-21 18:32:57	t quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt59	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xc80f35…
07-21 18:32:13	cme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt96	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe5a30f…
07-21 14:25:48	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,507	42¢	$638	0x3044c0…
07-21 14:25:07	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,507	43¢	$648	0x818f01…
07-21 14:16:01	ibkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 21 2026 0pt62	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcdc220…
07-20 13:46:18	wtfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 20 2026 3pt16	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x38476c…
07-20 13:31:42	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,408	47¢	$659	0xaa8bb0…
07-20 13:30:19	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,408	47¢	$662	0x78a183…
07-19 18:38:54	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xe73908…
07-19 10:57:48	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	518	46¢	$237	0xe87418…
07-19 10:57:31	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$93	0xd3adec…
07-19 10:56:15	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	318	46¢	$148	0xbbb786…
07-18 12:13:48	Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?	Yes	SELL	265	33¢	$88	0xee83c2…
07-18 12:11:21	Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xb67df8…
07-18 12:10:42	Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?	Yes	BUY	245	33¢	$81	0xc2178c…
07-18 08:25:27	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x3bf15e…
07-18 08:19:33	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xe974ff…
07-17 20:17:51	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2,032	32¢	$656	0xaebdcc…
07-17 20:16:28	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,061	33¢	$350	0xea9147…
07-17 20:16:28	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	971	33¢	$320	0x2ae7af…
07-16 19:11:55	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	399	36¢	$145	0x78a72e…
07-16 19:09:41	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	399	36¢	$144	0xc15a1b…
07-16 18:22:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x0994bb…
07-16 18:21:50	mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 17 2026 2pt24	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x786646…
07-15 13:36:49	ual quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 15 2026 1pt77	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf442dd…
07-15 13:22:34	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x12ed8b…
07-14 20:24:11	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x394276…
07-14 19:42:20	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$21	0x55fcd3…
07-14 19:42:01	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	82	42¢	$34	0x04d3ce…
07-14 19:38:41	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	128	42¢	$54	0x051c4a…
07-14 19:38:29	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x8a6851…
07-14 18:57:43	jnj quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 15 2026 2pt85	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x4fd955…
07-14 13:42:17	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc1353b…
07-13 13:37:47	jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 14 2026 5pt68	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x066e5e…
07-12 08:24:50	gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 14 2026 14pt12	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x47bead…
07-12 08:14:34	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	101	46¢	$46	0x809fd3…
07-12 08:13:56	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	101	46¢	$46	0x864793…
07-11 12:29:11	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	35	44¢	$15	0x6ffd3b…
07-11 12:28:50	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xf2fffb…
07-11 12:28:49	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x3cfd66…
07-11 12:16:47	val 100t1 ns1 2026 07 11	100 Thieves	SELL	11	86¢	$9	0x84e3e2…
07-11 12:16:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x1cad79…
07-11 12:13:22	val 100t1 ns1 2026 07 11	100 Thieves	BUY	11	88¢	$9	0x6985ab…
07-11 12:12:05	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3c7701…
07-11 12:04:44	val 100t1 ns1 2026 07 11	100 Thieves	SELL	134	72¢	$96	0xf9e9f8…
07-11 12:03:50	val 100t1 ns1 2026 07 11	100 Thieves	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0xc46711…
07-11 12:03:47	val 100t1 ns1 2026 07 11	100 Thieves	BUY	109	72¢	$78	0x4c9252…
07-11 08:12:34	cs2 9z all 2026 07 11	9z	SELL	199	68¢	$135	0x39c174…
07-11 08:11:17	cs2 9z all 2026 07 11	9z	BUY	199	67¢	$133	0x3972fe…
07-10 19:35:50	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x536bc0…
07-10 19:35:41	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdf13be…
07-10 19:00:13	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	500	43¢	$215	0x060caf…
07-10 18:59:49	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	500	46¢	$231	0x539931…
07-10 16:27:53	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	300	61¢	$183	0x47d5e4…
07-10 15:28:16	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x16636f…
07-10 15:27:04	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	194	61¢	$119	0xe32254…
07-10 15:26:19	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$31	0xe2945b…
07-10 15:26:17	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0xa0a991…
07-10 13:53:34	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc02b6f…
06-24 05:45:41	payx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 24 2026 1pt31	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x140b4a…
06-23 05:57:38	fdx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 23 2026 5pt91	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x4a35ed…
06-22 05:28:32	ccl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 22 2026 0pt34	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc117a5…
06-18 05:32:02	acn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 18 2026 3pt69	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc10082…
06-16 09:54:48	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb6c7b0…
06-16 09:54:27	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xdaecc9…
06-14 06:06:01	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x44ab72…
06-13 17:52:18	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x679562…
06-13 17:51:39	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x94f34e…
06-12 14:43:54	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x52ff2a…
06-11 13:12:04	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2e072e…
06-09 13:09:51	casy quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 09 2026 3pt32	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf4cc39…
06-08 13:07:49	play quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 08 2026 0pt66	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1da317…
06-07 06:13:54	cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 08 2026 0pt48	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xda69a7…
06-07 06:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf2178a…