Sneaky-Person — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

116

Trades

271

lifetime

Volume

$1.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 03:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

97% 53% -$8

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-20 18:30
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 19:08
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 07:47
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	06-28 17:59
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5?	2	$26	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 15:15
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 12:53
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	2	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	08-31 03:30
Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-11 00:51
will trump meet with kim jong un in june 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-29 02:44
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-12 14:01
Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-09 04:13
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-14 00:55
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	06-02 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 9?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-09 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-06 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-19 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 11?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 23:58
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-02 19:09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 13?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 12:12
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 12?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-11 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-26 16:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 27?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 03:30
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 17?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 23:24
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 11?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-10 18:25
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 22?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-22 02:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:30:33	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3ab38b…
08-31 03:28:25	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdedfe2…
06-29 02:44:28	will trump meet with kim jong un in june 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf5f5b1…
06-29 00:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd38a36…
06-29 00:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5c48db…
06-28 17:59:14	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3db7dc…
06-28 07:32:28	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x8fa1eb…
06-28 04:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0d9777…
06-27 17:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on June 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xffe48d…
06-26 16:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x989f18…
06-26 13:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 27?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfff48d…
06-25 17:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4f43d4…
06-25 17:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xacbe26…
06-25 17:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x6d3739…
06-25 12:53:19	State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa39a4c…
06-25 12:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 26?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0a7881…
06-24 17:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xac6123…
06-24 12:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 25?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x2633da…
06-23 07:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xfee08d…
06-23 07:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x1320b9…
06-22 03:40:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xaff9fd…
06-22 03:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xfa7b1e…
06-22 02:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x1ec80b…
06-22 02:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa2503a…
06-22 01:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 22?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x2954be…
06-20 18:30:46	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xec6171…
06-20 13:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x5f9a4e…
06-20 13:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 21?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xead3af…
06-19 08:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x74608a…
06-19 08:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa274fe…
06-17 06:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x5b7168…
06-17 03:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 17?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xefbaf0…
06-17 02:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 17?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x42edaf…
06-17 02:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 17?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x21afe6…
06-17 02:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x348c13…
06-15 20:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xa7ba50…
06-15 20:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x06f4fd…
06-15 19:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9c957e…
06-15 18:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 16?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xdd87ac…
06-15 07:47:48	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xce18ad…
06-14 12:03:57	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x2dff78…
06-14 00:55:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x13b079…
06-13 20:14:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc179a9…
06-13 05:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x29174a…
06-13 04:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 13?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc5e673…
06-12 06:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xfd19ee…
06-12 06:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x553b2b…
06-12 02:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x142aeb…
06-12 02:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc4619b…
06-12 02:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x3cf28f…
06-11 12:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x97aa1a…
06-10 18:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xda3e6e…
06-10 17:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb73ac2…
06-10 17:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x525d7d…
06-10 12:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 11?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0929bf…
06-08 17:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x3d8a97…
06-08 16:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x7dccf7…
06-08 01:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x91855d…
06-08 01:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xec52a9…
06-08 00:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 8?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x3bbc60…
06-07 09:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xf2859f…
06-07 09:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xef5fd8…
06-07 08:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 7?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x9d06b9…
06-06 15:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xfdb93a…
06-06 13:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc23bd2…
06-05 18:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x775b50…
06-05 06:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xf955b0…
06-05 06:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x24a5b4…
06-05 05:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 5?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x20ab5a…
06-04 15:15:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xa0ff22…
06-04 08:46:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x44f9ae…
06-02 19:09:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x9a82aa…
06-02 19:06:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 3?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0f7b41…
06-02 14:07:07	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd7e23e…
06-02 10:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xc1728e…
06-02 09:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x67d452…
06-02 06:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xeb81d3…
06-02 06:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x013487…
06-01 22:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb1444b…
06-01 12:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x76c7f2…
06-01 12:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa2909f…
05-31 23:04:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x6ce282…
05-31 23:03:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4b2f92…
05-31 23:02:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x445714…
05-31 22:28:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x007a41…
05-31 12:44:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xe094f8…
05-31 10:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x940588…
05-30 19:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0cbfd3…
05-30 19:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0f67a4…
05-30 19:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x67ea9a…
05-30 19:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd5fc55…
05-30 18:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x549b7c…
05-30 08:45:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x783e0e…
05-30 08:40:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7b73cf…
05-30 00:55:38	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x5e7c39…
05-29 17:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x35328a…
05-29 17:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x4b9736…
05-29 17:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xaf99b1…
05-29 17:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xecf138…
05-29 16:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x12cd20…