Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.74K

Unrealized P&L

+$52

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

Trades

507

lifetime

Volume

$63.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$126

Open exposure

$6.09K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-01 17:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 55% +$1,288

Other

36% 40% +$2,346

Politics

10% 50% +$110

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-23,870	-$3,628	18¢	$-4332	-$704	06-16 00:07
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+9,305	$2,107	6¢	$512	-$1,595	10-01 17:27
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	No	-510	-$474	96¢	$-490	-$16	06-15 07:28
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	-13,437	-$1,976	3¢	$-396	+$1,579	07-19 21:48
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-12,280	-$1,144	3¢	$-356	+$788	08-26 17:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	2	$11.5K	0	12,022	-12,022	No	-$533	01-20 13:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	16	$7.5K	7,267	7,076	+190	No	+$3,728	04-08 14:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	35	$6.9K	4,611	5,199	-588	Yes	+$2,846	05-14 10:08
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	48	$5.3K	7,459	0	+7,459	No	+$2,152	02-15 23:06
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	128	$3.6K	0	23,870	-23,870	open	—	06-16 00:07
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?	4	$2.8K	0	2,895	-2,895	No	-$64	06-09 22:55
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	2	$2.6K	13,156	0	+13,156	80k	-$2,584	01-09 16:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	5	$2.4K	3,363	3,254	+109	Yes	+$1,198	04-08 14:43
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	6	$2.1K	9,305	0	+9,305	open	—	10-01 17:27
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	170	$2.0K	0	13,437	-13,437	open	—	07-19 21:48
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.9K	2,800	15,080	-12,280	open	—	08-26 17:09
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	4	$1.5K	1,235	1,235	+0	No	+$363	02-10 15:24
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	1	$1.5K	0	2,292	-2,292	Yes	-$779	06-11 13:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	9	$1.4K	9,000	12,500	-3,500	No	-$253	01-26 09:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$553	06-02 08:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$1.3K	2,322	0	+2,322	No	+$1,011	04-07 13:19
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.0K	5,460	2,730	+2,730	Yes	-$82	02-10 15:19
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	23	$901	0	1,186	-1,186	Yes	-$285	06-09 16:03
spx up or down on january 22 2026	9	$884	2,600	0	+2,600	Up	-$84	01-22 16:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	3	$815	919	0	+919	Yes	+$104	04-08 13:11
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	4	$806	8,136	0	+8,136	No	-$806	01-07 13:51
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	5	$505	402	429	-27	No	+$68	01-18 17:12
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	3	$474	0	510	-510	open	—	06-15 07:28
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase february 10 16	4	$437	568	0	+568	No	+$131	02-10 15:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	3	$419	13,432	263	+13,169	No	-$381	04-18 01:36
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 6 12	2	$375	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	-$375	01-07 16:07
will microstrategy announce holding 680k btc by january 31	1	$366	1,614	0	+1,614	Yes	-$366	01-07 13:46
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$308	0	2,200	-2,200	Yes	-$1,892	06-09 13:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	1	$200	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$200	04-07 13:21
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	3	$152	0	1,165	-1,165	No	+$152	06-02 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 17:27:47	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,394	17¢	$237	0xf6664f…
09-30 10:28:47	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	411	17¢	$70	0xbdcfcf…
09-28 23:52:21	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	170	24¢	$41	0xfdea45…
09-28 23:32:02	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	24¢	$1,200	0x50cea2…
09-28 23:30:48	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,830	24¢	$439	0xd7ebeb…
08-26 17:09:04	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13,316	10¢	$1,332	0xde81f2…
08-22 05:00:04	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,765	10¢	$176	0xb29c05…
07-19 21:48:24	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,975	14¢	$557	0x8b0f38…
06-16 00:07:28	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2,267	15¢	$345	0x1f707f…
06-15 22:16:30	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	225	15¢	$34	0x4efe4a…
06-15 07:28:18	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	No	SELL	432	93¢	$402	0x1f084d…
06-15 05:44:46	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xe200f9…
06-15 04:24:54	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	329	15¢	$50	0x301a6d…
06-15 04:23:24	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x355427…
06-15 03:56:18	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	302	15¢	$46	0xe6b920…
06-15 02:43:46	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	99	15¢	$15	0x1f700a…
06-15 01:53:48	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3,114	15¢	$473	0xcdedc4…
06-15 01:50:52	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x803d76…
06-14 03:05:21	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	185	15¢	$28	0x6fe071…
06-14 02:23:19	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	15¢	$304	0xd25841…
06-14 02:01:31	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	537	15¢	$82	0x7977c0…
06-14 00:33:58	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x81620d…
06-13 23:35:45	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	499	15¢	$76	0x4fd1e7…
06-13 21:51:42	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	333	15¢	$51	0x8c1106…
06-13 21:06:25	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xc1ad89…
06-13 21:04:27	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x626427…
06-13 20:26:07	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x49e3d0…
06-13 19:59:22	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x4a2339…
06-13 19:57:21	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x4c7b09…
06-13 19:25:40	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	492	15¢	$75	0x4a5ef9…
06-13 17:33:24	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x567e92…
06-13 16:05:42	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x415af4…
06-13 15:22:46	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x6833b1…
06-13 14:35:36	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	284	15¢	$43	0x5d1d16…
06-13 13:02:31	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	170	15¢	$26	0xc04141…
06-13 12:17:55	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	308	15¢	$47	0x3e9790…
06-13 12:13:46	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xd08f73…
06-13 12:04:21	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x3bd9ef…
06-13 11:46:15	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x0a4132…
06-13 11:32:39	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x061385…
06-13 10:35:27	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x1ce2c3…
06-13 09:59:31	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	105	15¢	$16	0xb36bb7…
06-13 09:27:33	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	66	15¢	$10	0x2ec4ba…
06-13 09:20:15	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	No	SELL	65	93¢	$60	0x4ccaa8…
06-13 09:17:46	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	231	15¢	$35	0x7962e8…
06-13 09:12:12	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xb22345…
06-13 08:57:45	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	145	15¢	$22	0x234193…
06-13 08:46:27	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x56c94b…
06-13 07:17:51	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	96	15¢	$15	0xdc172b…
06-13 07:05:33	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xb8aa01…
06-13 06:54:18	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	339	15¢	$52	0x0a9fdb…
06-13 04:51:13	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	37	15¢	$6	0x48ddd8…
06-13 03:52:09	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	176	15¢	$27	0x33d766…
06-12 22:02:34	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0xe9d132…
06-12 22:02:15	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x788b07…
06-12 21:53:25	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	273	15¢	$41	0x1d8788…
06-12 21:33:01	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xfb7d35…
06-12 21:14:31	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	112	15¢	$17	0x679e89…
06-12 20:54:24	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	118	15¢	$18	0x6087dc…
06-12 20:45:25	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	112	15¢	$17	0x621531…
06-12 20:42:39	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x53e082…
06-12 20:42:28	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x2db2fa…
06-12 20:42:19	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xeb3e80…
06-12 20:07:46	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x897470…
06-12 20:07:21	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xb99685…
06-12 20:05:03	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	112	15¢	$17	0xba1f04…
06-12 20:04:25	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x1e294f…
06-12 20:02:28	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xdc0adc…
06-12 19:59:07	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0xcbd3a5…
06-12 19:54:54	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	252	15¢	$38	0x64e099…
06-12 19:49:54	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	281	15¢	$43	0xb5a477…
06-12 19:37:24	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	310	15¢	$47	0x3fac65…
06-12 19:32:54	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	253	15¢	$38	0xcf7dca…
06-12 19:31:01	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	46	15¢	$7	0x17d902…
06-12 19:30:40	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	66	15¢	$10	0xc467d5…
06-12 19:30:28	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	59	15¢	$9	0x223c35…
06-12 19:28:39	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xba1f77…
06-12 19:27:13	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x5de611…
06-12 19:25:24	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	315	15¢	$48	0x57f30b…
06-12 19:12:54	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xc68eab…
06-12 19:10:24	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	252	15¢	$38	0x9f81c1…
06-12 19:07:18	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x8cdc16…
06-12 19:04:54	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	253	15¢	$38	0x8632e7…
06-12 19:04:01	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	118	15¢	$18	0xa55b85…
06-12 18:49:54	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	258	15¢	$39	0x6e683b…
06-12 18:46:34	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	66	15¢	$10	0x46b75b…
06-12 18:46:21	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	164	15¢	$25	0xc7ab15…
06-12 18:45:24	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xf8ae91…
06-12 18:44:37	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	66	15¢	$10	0x628547…
06-12 18:36:52	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	252	15¢	$38	0xc6eb0e…
06-12 18:32:52	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	256	15¢	$39	0x3c4902…
06-12 18:23:55	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xd3c0aa…
06-12 18:23:52	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	368	15¢	$56	0xc371cf…
06-12 18:23:16	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	99	15¢	$15	0x6737cc…
06-12 18:04:52	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	286	15¢	$43	0x93eb84…
06-12 17:54:06	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	122	15¢	$18	0x8df190…
06-12 17:48:22	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	250	15¢	$38	0x437cdb…
06-12 17:47:13	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	118	15¢	$18	0xd73d3a…
06-12 17:43:52	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	499	15¢	$76	0x645948…
06-12 17:36:52	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	348	15¢	$53	0xbcda87…