Calculating-Engineering — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$268

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$317

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 07-19 22:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

76% 0% -$228

Crypto

9% 31% -$10

Sports

9% 0% -$24

Other

6% 0% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$129	57,981	0	+57,981	Yes	-$129	04-09 20:04
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	8	$74	74,050	0	+74,050	No	-$74	04-06 23:58
nba okc lal 2026 04 07	1	$20	333	0	+333	Thunder	-$20	04-07 23:23
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$17	4,908	0	+4,908	No	-$17	04-29 21:41
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	2	$14	196	196	+0	No	-$1	04-11 00:35
will trump attend ufc 327	3	$8	71	71	+0	Yes	-$4	04-11 14:34
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in April?	5	$7	292	292	+0	Yes	-$1	04-08 14:19
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$6	200	200	+0	No	-$4	05-17 17:03
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$4	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-11 18:08
will mrbeast say lock in during his next video	2	$4	3,800	0	+3,800	No	-$4	04-05 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-17 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:45 UTC	3	$4	12	12	+1	Down	$0	04-11 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-17 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$3	300	0	+300	Down	-$3	05-01 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$3	300	0	+300	Up	-$3	05-01 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 22:20 UTC	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	07-19 22:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:50 UTC	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	04-11 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$2	104	4	+100	Up	-$2	05-17 17:24
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$2	04-11 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	05-03 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	05-03 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	-$1	05-03 00:59
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	04-05 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	05-01 00:59
will mrbeast say contestant during his next video	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	04-05 21:55
will mrbeast say beast games during his next video	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	04-05 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	-$1	05-17 17:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:22:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 22:20 UTC	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xf4eb4c…
07-19 22:21:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf1a117…
05-17 17:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x74d38a…
05-17 17:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xa91317…
05-17 17:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4a727d…
05-17 17:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xff1c4c…
05-17 17:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6791cd…
05-17 17:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb70140…
05-17 17:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x341523…
05-17 17:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x150d8d…
05-17 17:03:23	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x2d77bd…
05-03 00:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd8ebf0…
05-03 00:57:58	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x92b0b5…
05-03 00:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc8b532…
05-03 00:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3cd032…
05-01 01:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x078dd3…
05-01 00:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcbc771…
05-01 00:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x07b03f…
04-29 21:41:56	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xad7ac0…
04-29 01:32:00	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2,408	0¢	$7	0xd3ed54…
04-11 18:10:11	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xd2c7c3…
04-11 18:08:29	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x77133e…
04-11 17:43:25	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xa84ca6…
04-11 14:34:25	will trump attend ufc 327	No	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0x3a4765…
04-11 00:58:21	will trump attend ufc 327	No	BUY	45	10¢	$4	0x400512…
04-11 00:56:05	will trump attend ufc 327	No	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0xbb4169…
04-11 00:52:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x816272…
04-11 00:51:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x10a454…
04-11 00:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xbc5474…
04-11 00:47:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1d8127…
04-11 00:46:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xeeea5e…
04-11 00:35:09	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	SELL	196	3¢	$7	0xb638b2…
04-11 00:34:05	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	196	4¢	$8	0x9da4a3…
04-09 20:04:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	25,500	0¢	$26	0x77a00f…
04-09 12:06:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	8,195	0¢	$16	0xdd5c0f…
04-09 10:50:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	18,833	0¢	$56	0xabeb67…
04-08 16:32:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,549	1¢	$11	0xbaa570…
04-08 16:04:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	3,704	0¢	$19	0xbda96b…
04-08 15:33:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xe51257…
04-08 14:19:25	Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in April?	No	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0xa56801…
04-07 23:23:07	nba okc lal 2026 04 07	Lakers	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xf170e1…
04-07 23:07:39	Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in April?	No	BUY	76	2¢	$1	0xc19dce…
04-07 23:06:13	Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in April?	No	SELL	216	1¢	$3	0xba7ca1…
04-07 22:59:49	Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in April?	No	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0xd140de…
04-07 22:59:45	Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in April?	No	BUY	131	1¢	$2	0x24f9fa…
04-06 23:58:39	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	1,720	0¢	$2	0x997a84…
04-06 22:25:41	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	9,000	0¢	$9	0xe08f7c…
04-06 17:36:23	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	13,040	0¢	$13	0x862d23…
04-06 02:04:59	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	18,600	0¢	$19	0xaeff49…
04-06 00:47:09	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x26bc1d…
04-06 00:46:31	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$15	0x64d883…
04-06 00:35:03	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	10,690	0¢	$11	0xa8278a…
04-05 22:01:11	will mrbeast say lock in during his next video	Yes	BUY	2,800	0¢	$3	0xea6ccf…
04-05 21:55:33	will mrbeast say beast games during his next video	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x8d6246…
04-05 21:55:05	will mrbeast say contestant during his next video	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2f221c…
04-05 21:43:09	will mrbeast say lock in during his next video	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2207f3…
04-05 21:40:43	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x70acdf…
04-05 21:39:35	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x974ec6…