Pleasing-Prevention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$569

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

3,471

Trades

7,598

lifetime

Volume

$85.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-18 22:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 74% -$407

Politics

2% 65% -$151

Other

0% 46% -$1

Sports

0% 50% -$1

Tech

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	7	$390	510	476	+34	No	-$74	03-03 23:42
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	17	$333	559	459	+100	No	+$62	03-05 21:38
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	30	$312	1,537	1,537	+0	No	-$89	03-06 22:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:40 UTC	6	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	04-13 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 10:45 UTC	5	$290	305	5	+300	Up	+$11	04-15 10:49
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	20	$271	310	310	+0	Yes	+$24	03-03 19:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 13:55 UTC	7	$265	285	0	+285	Up	+$20	04-16 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 16:00 UTC	5	$256	300	0	+300	Up	+$44	04-09 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 07:50 UTC	5	$245	250	0	+250	Down	+$5	04-10 07:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 13:35 UTC	4	$242	250	0	+250	Down	+$8	04-15 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:25 UTC	7	$238	250	0	+250	Up	+$12	04-14 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 16:50 UTC	6	$232	265	63	+202	Down	-$25	04-13 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 13:50 UTC	4	$231	250	0	+250	Down	+$19	04-08 13:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:50 UTC	4	$230	238	0	+238	Up	+$8	04-13 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 12:25 UTC	3	$205	230	0	+230	Up	-$205	04-10 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:55 UTC	3	$198	210	0	+210	Down	+$12	04-07 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	05-11 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:00 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-12 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 11:50 UTC	2	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	04-15 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	05-11 06:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:50 UTC	2	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-12 12:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 08:45 UTC	3	$197	200	0	+200	Down	+$3	04-12 08:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 13:30 UTC	4	$196	200	0	+200	Down	+$4	04-15 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 05:55 UTC	3	$195	200	0	+200	Up	+$5	04-24 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:05 UTC	3	$195	200	0	+200	Up	+$5	04-07 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 11:25 UTC	2	$194	200	0	+200	Up	+$6	04-07 11:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:05 UTC	1	$194	200	0	+200	Down	+$6	04-16 17:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:40 UTC	7	$194	200	0	+200	Up	+$6	04-17 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:40 UTC	9	$194	200	0	+200	Up	+$6	04-09 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 12:00 UTC	4	$194	200	0	+200	Up	+$6	04-16 12:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 22:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x27964b…
10-18 22:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xf17704…
10-18 22:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x608e03…
10-18 22:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x383bb4…
10-18 22:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x3cff82…
10-18 22:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xdc3830…
10-18 22:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x5a86ae…
10-18 22:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x4a064f…
10-18 22:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x29e02a…
10-18 21:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7dd68b…
10-18 20:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x560352…
10-18 20:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbdaca8…
10-18 20:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x38b9fc…
10-18 20:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x690c48…
10-18 20:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x461a57…
10-18 20:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbd0b0c…
10-18 20:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7d3ccc…
10-18 20:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb3f015…
10-18 13:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf6276c…
10-18 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5ea666…
10-18 12:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd38468…
10-18 12:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x54dd6b…
10-18 12:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x11beab…
10-18 12:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2b4586…
10-18 12:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x98abf3…
10-18 12:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x0493fa…
10-18 12:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x85cbc4…
10-18 12:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc797a5…
10-18 12:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x734493…
10-18 12:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xb5e597…
10-18 12:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x91b360…
10-18 12:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe7761f…
10-18 12:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x1d61b9…
10-18 11:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x5c7804…
10-18 10:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xdc4aa4…
10-18 10:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcbe329…
10-18 10:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3428e6…
10-18 09:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x97c080…
10-18 09:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1ef584…
10-18 09:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0728de…
10-18 09:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x320c32…
10-18 09:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x389691…
10-18 09:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x851ff4…
10-18 08:41:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x536d65…
10-18 08:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe5b326…
10-16 14:48:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xda1705…
10-16 14:48:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x7b9d30…
10-16 14:08:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xeea90a…
10-16 14:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5313c7…
10-16 13:32:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xc5287a…
10-16 10:37:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xaea852…
10-16 06:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x19d2a8…
10-16 06:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x7a2b9b…
10-16 06:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe488e0…
10-16 06:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xb5d8b1…
10-16 06:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x4df944…
10-16 06:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4349b1…
10-14 12:33:00	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	85¢	$25	0xe8292b…
10-14 12:31:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0xa0ef09…
10-14 12:27:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xb4a674…
10-14 12:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x127645…
10-14 12:26:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5ee25f…
10-13 18:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x666034…
10-13 05:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x7c7899…
10-13 05:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x514a16…
10-13 05:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xddcd8e…
10-12 22:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8a890d…
10-12 21:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3343b1…
10-12 21:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x817b07…
10-12 21:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xeaddf6…
10-12 21:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa56035…
10-12 21:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3894b8…
10-12 21:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcde5db…
10-12 21:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xed92e9…
10-12 21:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x399fa2…
10-12 21:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe5721f…
10-12 20:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcbfd93…
10-12 20:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x7241da…
10-12 20:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe6e438…
10-12 20:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x697c07…
10-12 20:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x014068…
10-12 20:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5894d9…
10-12 20:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xda2e96…
10-12 20:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x93692b…
08-30 20:09:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe595e1…
08-30 20:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf58ae0…
08-24 20:21:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd6165c…
08-24 20:07:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc17dd6…
08-24 20:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0b7612…
08-23 18:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xab7b4f…
08-23 18:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdfc1fd…
08-23 18:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x4ce1b0…
08-23 18:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd7977f…
08-23 17:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2bce90…
08-23 17:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x401225…
08-23 17:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4778e2…
08-20 16:47:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfc33ae…
08-20 16:47:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x856d5e…
08-20 15:17:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1f77cd…
08-20 15:07:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x4cd243…