Monthly-Thermostat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$428

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-16 23:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 71% +$30

Politics

38% 0% -$148

Sports

5% 100% +$46

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:15 UTC	2	$92	81	77	+4	Up	+$36	04-09 02:19
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	2	$70	7,778	0	+7,778	No	-$70	04-12 19:30
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	1	$50	185	0	+185	Yes	-$50	04-12 02:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:30 UTC	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	04-09 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 01:15 UTC	2	$38	28	27	+1	Up	+$0	04-10 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:00 UTC	2	$28	19	19	+1	Down	+$9	04-09 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:10 UTC	2	$23	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	04-09 02:14
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11 ulberg win by ko tko	1	$23	68	0	+68	Yes	+$46	04-11 23:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	2	$22	114	114	+0	No	-$8	05-16 23:41
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	1	$10	62	0	+62	No	-$10	04-09 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:20 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	04-09 02:20
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	1	$10	125	0	+125	Yes	-$10	04-09 01:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:25 UTC	1	$10	32	0	+32	Up	-$10	04-09 02:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 23:41:28	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	114	7¢	$7	0xbac80b…
05-11 22:04:31	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	114	13¢	$15	0xeaa867…
04-12 19:30:03	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,556	1¢	$50	0x09ab33…
04-12 19:29:07	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,222	1¢	$20	0x758dcf…
04-12 02:30:43	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	No	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xf95bc3…
04-11 23:33:57	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11 ulberg win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	68	33¢	$23	0x5a55e2…
04-10 01:19:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 01:15 UTC	Up	SELL	27	69¢	$19	0xb0a645…
04-10 01:15:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0xfa2d74…
04-09 02:39:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x45c034…
04-09 02:35:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x7642dc…
04-09 02:33:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x29fec5…
04-09 02:27:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x8bd087…
04-09 02:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc17d7d…
04-09 02:19:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	77	80¢	$62	0x3de626…
04-09 02:15:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xea4de7…
04-09 02:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:10 UTC	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x194ba8…
04-09 02:11:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x2cb981…
04-09 02:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x8cedf1…
04-09 02:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa8e732…
04-09 01:52:13	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x789285…