Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$131

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-09

last 10-21 13:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

80% 59% +$1

Politics

17% 80% +$12

Tech

3% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	4	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	10-12 09:04
spy up or down on september 23 2026	2	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	09-23 08:19
will trump say supreme court during remarks in new york 20260811183234696	2	$3	6	0	+6	No	$0	08-12 09:52
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	10-12 09:03
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	10-21 13:06
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	10-12 09:04
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	10-12 09:05
Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	10-12 09:05
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	10-18 11:20
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	10-20 05:21
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	10-21 13:06
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 12 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	10-12 09:05
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	10-12 09:04
Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	10-12 09:05
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	10-12 09:04
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-23 18:21
Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-16 02:17
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:41
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 05:12
will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	1	$1	6	0	+6	Yes	+$4	09-23 10:01
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	09-11 12:00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	09-20 21:36
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-21 06:07
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	09-22 15:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-21 14:25
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	09-09 01:48
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-09 23:45
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-17 06:22
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	09-22 23:44
will ewy dip to 181 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-17 23:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 13:06:21	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x531dcb…
10-21 13:06:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xdc3ac9…
10-20 07:24:37	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdeac2a…
10-20 05:21:42	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x29c3f5…
10-18 23:23:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x20de44…
10-18 11:20:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xcfaa70…
10-18 00:05:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3633e5…
10-17 15:52:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9e91e1…
10-13 22:59:06	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe84603…
10-12 09:05:46	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x9d2714…
10-12 09:05:36	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x9a9bea…
10-12 09:05:22	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x01a317…
10-12 09:05:10	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd46c98…
10-12 09:04:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xae9df2…
10-12 09:04:39	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x476b70…
10-12 09:04:21	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xafe432…
10-12 09:04:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x08871d…
10-12 09:03:57	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x3b956b…
10-12 09:03:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xe81d8a…
10-12 02:29:08	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdd8423…
10-11 18:25:58	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc8339d…
10-11 09:45:36	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x167900…
10-11 08:30:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7afb99…
10-10 21:58:34	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb62583…
10-10 11:51:19	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4e7083…
10-09 15:27:31	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x030a94…
10-09 15:27:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xeba2d1…
10-09 06:27:00	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x379692…
10-08 22:26:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0a23ad…
10-08 13:09:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbd16e9…
10-08 04:17:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x28d58a…
10-07 18:25:18	will wti reach 90 by october 5 2026 from october 7	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb48d11…
10-07 10:24:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4cc29f…
10-07 02:23:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbb34f8…
10-06 18:23:36	will coin reach 192 50 by october 5 2026 from october 6	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5bb402…
10-06 10:22:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9929a3…
10-06 02:10:05	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3a529f…
10-05 15:12:22	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2af914…
10-04 23:38:16	will mu dip to 1020 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x82890c…
10-02 07:39:08	will wti dip to 90 by september 28 2026 from october 1	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe90429…
10-01 18:59:50	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026 from october 1	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x90b355…
10-01 10:48:03	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x420b8f…
10-01 02:38:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2ce3fc…
09-30 18:30:57	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x28c3fa…
09-30 07:04:21	will ewy reach 188 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x71664b…
09-29 23:04:14	will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x41bb7f…
09-29 15:02:12	will googl dip to 335 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x452eef…
09-29 06:06:47	will mu reach 1080 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaccefe…
09-29 06:06:44	will meta reach 740 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xce6593…
09-28 22:06:09	will nvda reach 232 by september 28 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7fb972…
09-28 14:02:17	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0bb470…
09-28 05:07:41	will aapl reach 344 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x878963…
09-27 21:07:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf3ad20…
09-27 05:32:44	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xac2c50…
09-26 21:29:06	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe16bd7…
09-26 07:29:00	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x615281…
09-25 20:59:36	will googl dip to 340 in september 2026 from september 24	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x29d7a1…
09-25 12:55:35	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb4c043…
09-25 03:33:38	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3020c1…
09-24 19:27:05	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd0f3b7…
09-24 19:26:11	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb2177b…
09-24 11:08:30	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x17535c…
09-24 03:07:01	will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x5f5add…
09-23 18:21:10	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x327242…
09-23 10:01:22	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x25920b…
09-23 08:19:47	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x421680…
09-23 07:49:08	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x857e8c…
09-22 23:44:49	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x91a5a9…
09-22 15:25:54	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0x8d9804…
09-22 06:43:51	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xb1b6a4…
09-21 22:26:58	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xd4474a…
09-21 14:25:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf147a8…
09-21 06:08:23	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6a60d3…
09-21 06:07:41	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0cfdc6…
09-20 21:36:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x948033…
09-19 07:41:10	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xacc98d…
09-17 23:13:13	will ewy dip to 181 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcf6edc…
09-17 06:22:30	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x009a61…
09-16 10:19:04	spy up or down on september 16 2026	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x019a68…
09-16 02:17:58	Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcb4887…
09-11 12:00:27	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xc63af5…
09-09 23:45:36	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb53ff9…
09-09 01:48:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xf69b8c…
09-08 05:12:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x5a1bce…
09-07 16:34:45	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xc16d54…
09-07 08:23:37	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x8c9d7f…
09-03 16:53:18	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xc82c98…
09-02 18:03:33	will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x4f59a5…
09-01 11:13:54	Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x04926d…
08-29 13:45:45	will pltr reach 192 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xa912b0…
08-25 01:51:58	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xd582eb…
08-24 17:26:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x2d014a…
08-24 08:37:45	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x945aa0…
08-24 00:29:40	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x110a5e…
08-23 09:25:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0xcbc410…
08-22 03:19:25	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x5969e0…
08-19 06:35:09	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xb2e6a6…
08-17 04:23:01	will coin dip to 142 50 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x828039…
08-17 03:53:06	will rklb dip to 78 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x7f3008…
08-12 09:52:55	will trump say supreme court during remarks in new york 20260811183234696	No	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xab3cf7…