Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$208

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$813

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-19

last 09-24 05:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

66% 40% -$32

Other

34% 22% -$176

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+59	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	09-19 10:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	2	$274	164	164	+0	Yes	+$30	09-22 04:37
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$160	200	0	+200	Yes	+$40	09-20 07:11
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	1	$60	150	0	+150	No	-$60	09-20 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 24?	9	$60	156	0	+156	No	-$7	09-24 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 21?	9	$47	100	0	+100	No	-$47	09-21 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24?	6	$43	68	0	+68	Yes	-$32	09-24 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?	8	$40	63	0	+63	Yes	-$40	09-24 05:09
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	4	$34	120	0	+120	No	-$34	09-20 14:26
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	2	$26	150	0	+150	No	-$26	09-21 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	2	$20	27	0	+27	Yes	-$20	09-24 04:28
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	2	$16	150	0	+150	No	-$16	09-21 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 24?	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	09-24 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 24?	1	$10	17	0	+17	No	+$7	09-24 04:38
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	1	$9	20	0	+20	No	-$9	09-21 03:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	1	$5	59	0	+59	open	—	09-19 10:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 05:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0xdec6bc…
09-24 04:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x944434…
09-24 04:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x95e52c…
09-24 04:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xd9eba7…
09-24 04:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0x3b1d55…
09-24 04:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xfc66eb…
09-24 04:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0xfbdb94…
09-24 04:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x01f6e6…
09-24 04:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0xc6c7f7…
09-24 04:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 24?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x1e328b…
09-24 04:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xca636e…
09-24 04:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xfa8e62…
09-24 04:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x971464…
09-24 04:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xca91a2…
09-24 04:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7b8d9b…
09-24 04:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x035e30…
09-24 04:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x81d5b6…
09-24 03:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa9fc69…
09-24 03:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xcbe4b1…
09-24 03:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x82ab41…
09-24 03:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x890df2…
09-24 03:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xbf0981…
09-24 03:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x47578a…
09-24 02:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x702f50…
09-24 02:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb4b6cf…
09-24 02:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x573a6e…
09-24 02:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x060081…
09-22 04:37:13	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	164	92¢	$152	0x22ebde…
09-21 04:05:31	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	164	74¢	$122	0x1d05ff…
09-21 03:35:25	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe23cba…
09-21 03:30:13	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	140	11¢	$15	0xa00d69…
09-21 03:30:10	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x32a5b5…
09-21 03:28:01	Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	148	17¢	$26	0xd17e09…
09-21 03:27:59	Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x49874f…
09-21 03:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xf49ac1…
09-21 03:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xdc869f…
09-21 03:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xbb2f5e…
09-21 03:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x912b1e…
09-21 03:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x606604…
09-21 03:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x301eb6…
09-21 03:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x93528d…
09-21 03:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6d9539…
09-21 03:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xdc4088…
09-20 14:26:33	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xeca7f7…
09-20 14:26:33	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0x712003…
09-20 14:23:03	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xa83b9b…
09-20 14:20:40	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xcb9b67…
09-20 12:45:06	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0xf20a4a…
09-20 07:11:09	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x901a0c…
09-19 10:28:59	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x3926d6…