Focused-Scrambled — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$291

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

222

Trades

534

lifetime

Volume

$2.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 10-27 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 33% -$44

Other

19% 14% -$238

Politics

5% 20% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+35	$9	50¢	$18	+$9	10-27 18:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:40 UTC	6	$109	97	97	+0	Up	+$83	09-22 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:25 UTC	10	$90	77	77	+0	Up	+$62	08-25 23:30
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$90	213	0	+213	Spain	-$90	07-19 19:08
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$73	58	58	+0	Yes	+$43	07-15 21:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 02:50 UTC	3	$67	54	44	+10	Up	+$20	03-02 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:20 UTC	6	$61	40	39	+1	Up	+$17	03-01 10:25
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	1	$56	143	0	+143	No	-$56	03-10 20:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:45 UTC	9	$47	51	50	+1	Down	-$2	03-01 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:40 UTC	3	$47	33	33	+1	Down	+$17	03-01 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:30 UTC	4	$44	336	36	+300	Up	+$26	08-25 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:55 UTC	5	$40	32	29	+2	Up	+$18	03-01 08:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 09:00 UTC	5	$38	35	10	+25	Up	-$18	03-01 09:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 02:45 UTC	5	$37	67	9	+58	Down	-$19	03-02 02:50
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$36	117	117	+0	No	+$6	03-01 03:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:40 UTC	4	$34	36	22	+13	Down	+$11	03-01 07:46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	4	$33	83	0	+83	No	-$33	10-20 19:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 08:05 UTC	5	$32	45	22	+23	Up	$0	03-01 08:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:05 UTC	3	$31	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	03-01 10:10
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$26	356	356	+0	No	-$6	03-01 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 09:40 UTC	4	$26	16	15	+2	Down	+$4	03-01 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 02:00 UTC	6	$23	18	14	+3	Up	+$5	03-02 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 08:25 UTC	5	$22	23	22	+0	Down	+$0	03-01 08:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 02:15 UTC	4	$21	17	14	+4	Down	+$7	03-02 02:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 08:30 UTC	5	$20	29	28	+0	Down	-$5	03-01 08:34
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$18	99	0	+99	No	-$18	07-14 20:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 09:30 UTC	3	$18	20	8	+12	Down	-$2	03-01 09:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:50 UTC	3	$18	24	9	+16	Up	$0	03-01 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 08:55 UTC	5	$17	19	9	+9	Up	+$2	03-01 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 01:40 UTC	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$7	03-02 01:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 01:45 UTC	3	$16	11	10	+0	Down	+$5	03-02 01:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:00:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x526bd4…
10-26 01:23:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf607ef…
10-26 01:22:39	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x2b07c4…
10-26 01:22:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xf11202…
10-26 01:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x688127…
10-26 01:20:15	Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x030227…
10-26 01:17:44	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xaf0482…
10-26 01:16:51	Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xd46d04…
10-25 20:59:59	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0xb4bd87…
10-20 19:46:15	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe4a3a7…
10-20 19:35:36	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe45ee7…
10-20 19:17:48	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8e6655…
10-20 17:56:59	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x4e8bbc…
10-20 17:55:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0x12639a…
10-20 17:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x62cc94…
10-20 17:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc08dd4…
10-20 17:27:30	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xf0b2f4…
10-17 18:21:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x53b0ab…
10-17 18:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x78f328…
09-22 01:31:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xba7f82…
09-22 01:13:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0850d2…
09-22 01:13:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x79f498…
09-22 01:13:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x366c95…
09-22 01:12:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8b071f…
09-22 01:12:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8b36f5…
09-22 01:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc84845…
09-22 01:06:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4493be…
09-22 01:06:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4c396a…
09-22 01:06:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5a8491…
09-22 00:59:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x963880…
09-22 00:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5c4217…
09-22 00:56:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe4599e…
09-22 00:56:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcc1a5c…
09-22 00:56:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa4b133…
09-22 00:56:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x68f3f9…
09-22 00:55:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x48ede0…
09-22 00:55:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x729b4b…
09-22 00:52:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x1d74c8…
09-22 00:52:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xac4111…
09-22 00:52:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xa87c14…
09-22 00:51:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x980a8a…
09-22 00:51:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc7f100…
09-22 00:51:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd5657d…
09-22 00:50:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x72c71a…
09-22 00:48:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x304f4e…
09-22 00:48:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb9f1c6…
09-22 00:48:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9527fb…
09-22 00:47:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x178da4…
09-22 00:47:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa25749…
09-22 00:47:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x84bc5d…
09-22 00:47:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4e33c1…
09-22 00:47:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x90195e…
09-22 00:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x33d3d6…
09-22 00:46:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9a3225…
09-22 00:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0x826db5…
09-22 00:42:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x14e045…
09-22 00:42:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x69a620…
09-22 00:42:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x04e41b…
09-22 00:40:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3b1fdd…
09-22 00:40:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc26fd4…
09-22 00:34:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa5152a…
08-25 23:44:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x505924…
08-25 23:42:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd09c3e…
08-25 23:42:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1cef17…
08-25 23:42:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xae7f55…
08-25 23:42:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xacf676…
08-25 23:40:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0af63e…
08-25 23:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xaeb181…
08-25 23:37:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb64cad…
08-25 23:37:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x076949…
08-25 23:37:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x8d84be…
08-25 23:35:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xa89c3d…
08-25 23:34:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x18fde7…
08-25 23:34:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd3cec2…
08-25 23:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xaca3c3…
08-25 23:30:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:25 UTC	Up	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x117cc4…
08-25 23:27:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd27c33…
08-25 23:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x84ea1f…
08-25 23:26:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x6f4440…
08-25 23:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7eaf82…
08-25 23:25:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa23594…
08-25 23:25:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3b0344…
08-25 23:25:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6bb7fd…
08-25 23:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x934c20…
08-25 23:25:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xf561e6…
08-25 23:24:04	Athletic Club to score first vs. FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x817b28…
08-25 23:23:04	FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa00e6c…
08-25 23:21:57	lal bar bil 2026 08 27 ags fermin lopez	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x865700…
08-25 23:17:45	will trump say baby during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8f8f4e…
08-25 23:16:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x48c6d0…
08-25 23:13:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x3200a6…
08-25 23:13:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x006282…
08-25 23:11:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa76ae6…
08-25 23:10:04	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa8cf9d…
08-25 23:09:57	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb65b46…
08-04 17:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbac926…
08-04 17:08:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb78589…
08-04 17:08:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd85f45…
08-04 17:07:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x95df89…
08-03 19:01:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xec5e6f…