Gullible-Regulator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

259

Trades

266

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-28 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Other

100% 99% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 29?	2	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	05-29 12:43
highest temperature in paris on april 10 2026 18corbelow	1	$16	16	+16	Yes	+$0	04-10 16:44
highest temperature in nyc on april 8 2026 50 51f	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	04-08 21:12
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 19c	1	$15	16	+16	No	+$0	04-08 10:52
highest temperature in nyc on april 7 2026 52 53f	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	04-07 20:25
highest temperature in nyc on april 9 2026 48 49f	1	$15	16	+16	Yes	+$0	04-09 20:35
highest temperature in shanghai on april 7 2026 18c	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	04-07 08:41
highest temperature in paris on april 12 2026 14c	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	04-12 18:39
highest temperature in nyc on april 5 2026 68 69f	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	04-05 20:34
highest temperature in tokyo on april 14 2026 23c	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	04-14 14:19
highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 24c	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	04-05 12:18
highest temperature in dallas on april 4 2026 74 75f	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	04-04 22:22
highest temperature in shanghai on april 4 2026 20c	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	04-04 08:36
highest temperature in paris on april 3 2026 16c	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	04-03 14:13
highest temperature in dallas on april 2 2026 82 83f	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	04-03 00:19
highest temperature in beijing on april 2 2026 19c	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:23
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 1 2026 29c	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	04-01 21:00
highest temperature in lucknow on april 1 2026 38c	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	04-01 10:58
highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 14c	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	03-30 19:21
highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 23corhigher	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	03-30 09:30
highest temperature in nyc on march 29 2026 54 55f	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	03-29 20:11
highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 23c	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	03-29 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	06-09 05:43
highest temperature in lucknow on april 13 2026 36c	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	04-13 14:31
highest temperature in munich on march 28 2026 8c	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	03-28 17:19
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 2?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	06-02 08:39
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 3?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	06-03 07:32
highest temperature in paris on march 27 2026 11c	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	03-27 16:40
highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 13c	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	04-09 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 1?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	06-01 20:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 22:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbffc0…
10-22 09:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x34362c…
10-20 05:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed6871…
10-16 07:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5aa3bf…
10-14 15:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 14?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf9fafa…
10-10 10:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe5eeca…
10-09 11:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 9?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3776e5…
10-01 16:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C or below on October 2?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x83a4d2…
09-30 16:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C or below on October 1?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfedada…
09-24 13:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 24?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf75dd8…
09-24 00:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 23?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8f59bb…
09-21 05:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 21?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd9d3d8…
09-20 10:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa86368…
09-19 20:11:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on September 19?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2d1ecd…
09-09 02:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x32de8a…
09-08 07:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0568f8…
09-07 13:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdbae51…
09-06 08:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	No	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x15360e…
09-06 07:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8bbfa0…
09-05 21:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 5?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe3eeba…
09-04 22:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 16°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6bcf1f…
09-03 21:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0af8b1…
09-01 01:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd2dc12…
08-28 13:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x768eda…
08-27 20:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbbc6eb…
08-23 13:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9979e3…
08-19 17:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x839daf…
08-19 01:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6e55cb…
08-14 11:43:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xedb5c1…
08-12 10:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37550c…
08-10 19:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe88fe2…
08-09 11:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd41fcb…
08-06 22:50:41	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on August 7?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x73e0f3…
08-06 06:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe8e2c5…
08-03 19:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x91bf71…
08-01 18:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa7d56e…
07-31 15:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04aff6…
07-28 19:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3a807c…
07-27 03:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a5237…
07-26 15:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf2c33…
07-25 11:25:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca5fb4…
07-24 14:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 24?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xefe05f…
07-22 13:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc3aad0…
07-20 23:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41406a…
07-20 05:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d6d8f…
07-19 16:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7281f…
07-18 10:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 18?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b996b…
07-17 09:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf3b725…
07-16 09:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaedf44…
07-15 14:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14e1ef…
07-15 00:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe095ac…
07-14 10:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93dbbe…
07-13 15:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 13?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfc4fda…
07-11 14:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on July 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x546804…
07-10 06:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on July 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2667e6…
07-09 15:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x220643…
07-08 13:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x271131…
07-08 02:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc3252…
07-07 15:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x108c52…
07-06 22:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 7?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26920f…
07-06 11:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x73ac1c…
07-05 20:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa051d9…
07-05 04:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on July 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6f1486…
07-04 22:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x301960…
07-04 13:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4eeacf…
07-03 22:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9c96b4…
07-03 03:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x44bae2…
07-02 15:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x263a05…
07-01 18:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 1?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9a7c2c…
07-01 06:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on July 1?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9c3896…
06-30 16:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on June 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x779646…
06-29 22:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x418c5c…
06-29 16:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40ec4c…
06-28 22:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x075f94…
06-28 11:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on June 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe4e123…
06-27 19:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa1d62c…
06-27 04:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on June 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf75c89…
06-26 10:00:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe62fe3…
06-25 21:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xab9d31…
06-25 08:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x40b81c…
06-24 17:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 24?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c44f2…
06-24 04:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 24?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x64a3e8…
06-23 21:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbb0c8…
06-22 19:10:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 22?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1e724b…
06-22 10:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa0a729…
06-21 13:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on June 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0e9ffc…
06-21 06:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x66286d…
06-20 18:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe74f49…
06-20 18:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5676fc…
06-19 16:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x672baf…
06-19 04:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x501fa5…
06-19 02:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78110b…
06-18 16:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x56f5a9…
06-17 23:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcb30dc…
06-17 16:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x54712c…
06-17 15:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeb29f6…
06-17 14:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x602038…
06-16 16:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0355f6…
06-16 00:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec35dc…
06-13 03:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 13?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb2ad65…