Fair-Breakfast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$245

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

321

Trades

635

lifetime

Volume

$4.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-16 05:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 55% -$151

Other

11% 31% +$40

Sports

7% 18% -$101

Politics

1% 0% -$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:20 UTC	9	$249	968	281	+687	Down	-$1	08-21 05:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 05:30 UTC	8	$228	285	161	+124	Up	-$6	01-31 05:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 06:15 UTC	2	$166	130	128	+2	Down	+$38	01-31 06:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:00 UTC	6	$150	124	122	+2	Down	$0	08-21 05:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 04:30 UTC	2	$149	91	90	+1	Up	+$9	02-19 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:50 UTC	2	$126	75	74	+2	Up	+$21	04-17 05:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 06:50 UTC	3	$122	148	65	+84	Up	-$10	02-21 06:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 05:45 UTC	4	$119	155	126	+28	Down	+$35	01-31 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 06:55 UTC	3	$116	134	83	+51	Up	+$26	02-21 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:10 UTC	6	$112	335	235	+100	Up	+$8	08-21 05:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 06:40 UTC	2	$102	62	62	+0	Up	+$3	02-21 06:41
solana up or down march 7 3am et	4	$93	84	84	+1	Up	+$53	03-07 08:59
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	4	$93	169	36	+133	Seahawks	-$43	02-07 07:30
cbb kan txtech 2026 02 02	2	$88	88	88	+0	Kansas Jayhawks	+$68	02-03 04:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:40 UTC	2	$83	100	100	+0	Up	+$33	08-21 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 04:35 UTC	1	$82	136	0	+136	Up	-$82	02-19 04:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:55 UTC	1	$73	147	0	+147	Down	-$73	04-17 05:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 05:00 UTC	2	$60	41	40	+1	Up	+$20	01-31 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$59	42	42	+0	Down	+$9	10-16 05:37
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$58	66	66	+0	Yes	+$46	06-06 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$54	83	83	+0	Down	+$4	10-16 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:20 UTC	15	$53	58	58	+0	Down	+$17	08-21 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$52	31	31	+0	Down	+$2	10-16 05:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:05 UTC	2	$51	56	56	+0	Up	+$1	08-21 05:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 04:20 UTC	2	$49	31	31	+0	Down	+$10	02-19 04:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 06:45 UTC	2	$47	31	30	+0	Down	+$7	02-21 06:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 05:15 UTC	4	$46	92	29	+63	Down	-$3	01-31 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 04:25 UTC	2	$45	27	27	+0	Up	+$5	02-19 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:30 UTC	4	$41	58	58	+1	Down	+$2	03-07 08:33
wta sabalen bejlek 2026 08 19	9	$37	30	30	+0	Sara Bejlek	+$10	08-20 04:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 05:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x04c301…
10-16 05:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	42	82¢	$34	0x6774a4…
10-16 05:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x1a747a…
10-16 05:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	83	35¢	$29	0x55c320…
10-16 05:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x506d4f…
10-16 05:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	31	88¢	$28	0x3733ae…
10-16 05:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xd07000…
10-15 04:17:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	9	87¢	$7	0xdf5df3…
10-15 04:16:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4ed52d…
10-15 04:07:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:05 UTC	Down	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xee767b…
10-15 04:06:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x980f1f…
10-15 03:49:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5ed8d2…
10-15 03:28:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf59cec…
10-15 03:19:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6206bd…
10-15 02:18:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x432f6e…
10-15 02:18:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xb3e1c7…
10-14 07:24:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:20 UTC	Up	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x647211…
10-14 07:23:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1ad7fe…
10-14 06:52:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0xde4268…
10-14 06:52:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x01149e…
10-14 06:52:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7fa725…
10-14 06:51:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x104325…
10-14 06:46:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbed3f9…
10-14 06:42:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0x11fe73…
10-14 06:42:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3270a5…
10-14 06:41:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0x19c223…
10-14 06:41:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xef4526…
10-14 06:38:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xaf0c0f…
10-14 06:33:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xcecdac…
10-14 05:38:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xcb5a6b…
10-13 15:38:52	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2c6630…
10-10 12:52:15	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Colts	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5e7b63…
10-10 11:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 10?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1fb18d…
10-10 09:12:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 10?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3a2d98…
10-10 06:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x038c08…
10-10 05:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x50a26b…
10-10 04:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xd5d48a…
10-10 03:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7674bd…
10-08 21:40:41	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x625d95…
10-08 21:21:24	Spread: Liberty (-14.5)	Liberty	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x66e7d6…
10-08 19:55:12	Arizona vs. West Virginia: O/U 59.5	Under	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe7afcf…
10-08 19:26:54	Spread: Ohio State (-34.5)	Maryland	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb0f724…
10-08 18:46:59	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 55.5	Under	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x50a3f5…
10-08 15:54:48	Hawks vs. Spurs	Hawks	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x15d54a…
10-08 15:26:51	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x178dc7…
10-08 14:37:26	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	1WIN	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xa67183…
10-08 13:39:14	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa41ef5…
10-08 12:58:59	Georgia vs. Alabama: O/U 51.5	Over	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x56a55d…
10-08 03:27:13	Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x047ab4…
10-07 04:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xc23a14…
10-07 04:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xbbdcf4…
10-07 04:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x21fc9c…
10-07 04:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x26dbd4…
10-06 06:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8238b6…
10-06 06:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x7bf189…
10-06 06:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x277057…
10-06 06:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9ff169…
10-06 06:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x81a7da…
10-06 05:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x90477f…
10-06 05:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x0f43c9…
10-06 05:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x031dca…
10-06 05:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x7b3e0f…
10-06 05:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb1cad5…
10-06 05:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x35defb…
10-03 11:36:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x4b1db8…
10-03 11:35:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:35 UTC	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x0cb54c…
10-03 11:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7f199c…
10-03 11:33:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x535832…
10-03 11:32:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x48d656…
10-03 11:28:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7ec975…
10-03 11:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x737df9…
10-03 11:15:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9139ab…
10-03 11:13:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x743d7e…
10-02 05:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0a1dae…
10-02 05:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x724d6f…
10-02 05:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xc29018…
10-02 05:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x230472…
10-02 05:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x142b6e…
10-02 05:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x04b3bd…
10-02 05:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x39c404…
10-02 04:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x183130…
10-02 04:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x993cf3…
10-02 04:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xe207e1…
10-02 04:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd46d61…
10-02 04:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xbb55f3…
10-02 04:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xaf5800…
10-02 04:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfab578…
10-02 04:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xca1b14…
10-02 04:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xffdd99…
09-30 06:31:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x410872…
09-30 06:25:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x43fb82…
09-30 06:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x670412…
09-30 06:15:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x132535…
09-30 06:11:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xfd3f45…
09-30 06:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x121bc9…
09-30 06:00:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x37019e…
09-30 05:57:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1e72ab…
09-30 05:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xdcb19a…
09-30 05:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x46e092…
09-30 05:21:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x38b04e…