Disguised-Crazy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

Trades

557

lifetime

Volume

$5.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-01 18:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 58% $-81

Politics

9% — —

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$390	523	523	+0	Down	$-3	05-08 17:42
btc updown 15m 1770659100	8	$280	336	332	+3	open	—	02-09 17:56
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	2	$279	150	150	+0	open	—	06-02 20:02
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	2	$264	135	135	+0	open	—	06-01 18:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$250	129	129	+0	open	—	06-01 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$220	121	121	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	15	$212	118	118	+0	open	—	05-15 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$209	229	229	+0	open	—	05-15 15:36
btc updown 15m 1770658200	4	$177	486	85	+400	open	—	02-09 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	6	$138	192	88	+104	Down	+$12	05-06 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$110	122	0	+122	Up	+$12	05-08 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	11	$98	326	0	+326	open	—	05-15 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$98	143	143	+0	Down	+$8	05-08 17:52
btc updown 15m 1770667200	1	$92	111	0	+111	open	—	02-09 20:03
btc updown 15m 1770665400	4	$90	397	396	+1	open	—	02-09 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	5	$75	86	0	+86	Down	+$11	05-07 05:49
btc updown 15m 1767798000	6	$75	124	124	+0	open	—	01-07 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	5	$74	65	65	+0	open	—	05-15 15:08
btc updown 15m 1767813300	2	$70	48	47	+1	open	—	01-07 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$70	108	0	+108	Down	+$38	05-08 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$69	72	31	+41	Up	$-26	05-08 18:23
btc updown 15m 1770666300	3	$62	66	36	+29	open	—	02-09 19:49
btc updown 15m 1767797100	3	$57	80	52	+28	open	—	01-07 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	5	$55	33	33	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 19:35
xrp above 1pt3 on february 12	8	$51	32	32	+0	open	—	02-09 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	4	$51	119	0	+119	Up	$-51	05-07 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$50	263	0	+263	Up	$-50	05-08 17:46
btc updown 5m 1784804100	7	$47	47	21	+26	open	—	07-23 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	5	$44	69	51	+19	open	—	05-15 16:12
btc updown 15m 1767801600	2	$43	27	26	+0	open	—	01-07 16:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 21:58:44	hype updown 15m 1785620700	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xb37bb2…
08-01 21:42:51	xrp updown 15m 1785619800	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x919331…
08-01 21:42:51	sol updown 15m 1785619800	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x857728…
08-01 21:27:59	btc updown 15m 1785618900	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x96e6d9…
08-01 21:27:50	sol updown 15m 1785618900	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xc73b24…
08-01 21:12:59	eth updown 15m 1785618000	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x60a77b…
08-01 21:12:57	sol updown 15m 1785618000	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xee67fc…
08-01 20:42:51	btc updown 15m 1785616200	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa12f4b…
08-01 20:27:51	xrp updown 15m 1785615300	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc68839…
08-01 20:27:50	btc updown 15m 1785615300	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x099399…
08-01 20:12:50	sol updown 15m 1785614400	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xc08440…
08-01 20:12:50	xrp updown 15m 1785614400	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x107cc6…
08-01 19:57:50	eth updown 15m 1785613500	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x948c7f…
08-01 19:42:53	eth updown 15m 1785612600	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x21c52f…
08-01 19:42:51	btc updown 15m 1785612600	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xbe1cc1…
08-01 19:27:53	xrp updown 15m 1785611700	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xc7a3fc…
08-01 19:24:18	sol updown 4h 1785600000	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x25fac1…
08-01 18:28:39	xrp updown 15m 1785608100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xed875a…
08-01 18:14:26	xrp updown 15m 1785607200	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x9b6330…
08-01 18:12:51	xrp updown 15m 1785607200	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xeedafb…
08-01 18:12:50	btc updown 15m 1785607200	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x0c99d1…
08-01 17:43:15	btc updown 15m 1785605400	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8b7a79…
08-01 17:43:02	xrp updown 15m 1785605400	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xaa1da2…
08-01 17:28:03	xrp updown 15m 1785604500	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x74f51b…
08-01 17:13:42	xrp updown 15m 1785603600	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x0c4c3e…
08-01 17:13:41	btc updown 15m 1785603600	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x95e2e5…
08-01 15:56:45	btc updown 4h 1785585600	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb238c3…
08-01 15:51:24	btc updown 4h 1785585600	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x222d68…
08-01 15:50:18	btc updown 4h 1785585600	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xe0c178…
08-01 15:38:06	doge updown 4h 1785585600	Up	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x87f84c…
08-01 15:31:12	eth updown 4h 1785585600	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa50a0c…
08-01 15:31:09	doge updown 4h 1785585600	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x592b69…
08-01 11:43:12	bnb updown 15m 1785583800	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd19c10…
08-01 11:43:11	btc updown 15m 1785583800	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xd020a2…
08-01 10:57:36	sol updown 15m 1785581100	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2df3da…
08-01 10:55:35	doge updown 15m 1785581100	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb7ee52…
08-01 10:53:36	bnb updown 5m 1785581400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x263411…
08-01 10:53:35	doge updown 5m 1785581400	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x8b274b…
08-01 10:48:36	bnb updown 5m 1785581100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf15cb7…
08-01 10:48:35	sol updown 5m 1785581100	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc6f49b…
08-01 10:43:36	doge updown 5m 1785580800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x30b39e…
08-01 10:43:35	xrp updown 15m 1785580200	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfa295c…
08-01 10:33:35	hype updown 5m 1785580200	Up	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x812b9d…
08-01 10:26:35	btc updown 15m 1785579300	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x774145…
08-01 10:25:44	xrp updown 15m 1785579300	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x7e038a…
08-01 10:23:35	hype updown 5m 1785579600	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x023f20…
08-01 10:18:36	xrp updown 5m 1785579300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x94f1d6…
08-01 10:18:35	sol updown 5m 1785579300	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x76805a…
08-01 03:35:42	xrp updown 4h 1785542400	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xda4fa2…
08-01 03:33:36	eth updown 5m 1785555000	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xd841a3…
08-01 03:33:35	doge updown 5m 1785555000	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x7e1bfc…
08-01 03:25:36	eth updown 15m 1785554100	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xd2abb3…
08-01 03:23:35	eth updown 5m 1785554400	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x83f751…
08-01 03:19:20	btc updown 4h 1785542400	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xd900ea…
08-01 00:26:56	btc updown 15m 1785543300	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb72b2e…
08-01 00:26:54	eth updown 15m 1785543300	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x2cbe5a…
08-01 00:23:56	doge updown 5m 1785543600	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xb64074…
08-01 00:23:54	xrp updown 5m 1785543600	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xe7c234…
08-01 00:18:54	xrp updown 5m 1785543300	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x49cb38…
08-01 00:09:57	eth updown 15m 1785542400	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xaebd82…
08-01 00:09:56	xrp updown 15m 1785542400	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x021c6d…
08-01 00:08:54	sol updown 5m 1785542700	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x311417…
08-01 00:03:54	btc updown 5m 1785542400	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x668127…
08-01 00:01:09	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 31	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x0cfa2c…
07-31 21:10:33	xrp updown 15m 1785531600	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbfabf5…
07-31 21:08:35	sol updown 5m 1785531900	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xe66f4b…
07-31 21:08:33	btc updown 5m 1785531900	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x39cde8…
07-31 21:03:35	eth updown 5m 1785531600	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xafcb8b…
07-31 21:03:33	doge updown 5m 1785531600	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x1f5899…
07-31 20:55:57	xrp updown 15m 1785530700	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x488017…
07-31 20:55:32	eth updown 15m 1785530700	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xae4bb4…
07-31 20:53:41	xrp updown 5m 1785531000	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xba68c9…
07-31 20:53:41	xrp updown 5m 1785531000	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x24650b…
07-31 20:53:36	sol updown 5m 1785531000	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa84598…
07-31 20:53:36	sol updown 5m 1785531000	Up	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x0d427d…
07-31 20:40:35	btc updown 15m 1785529800	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x1d2777…
07-31 20:40:33	sol updown 15m 1785529800	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xe5a8a8…
07-31 20:38:33	sol updown 5m 1785530100	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc67491…
07-31 20:33:33	doge updown 5m 1785529800	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf70ad2…
07-31 20:18:33	eth updown 5m 1785528900	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x4991a0…
07-31 20:10:33	xrp updown 15m 1785528000	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x7feb42…
07-31 20:03:33	xrp updown 5m 1785528000	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xa1774b…
07-31 19:53:50	eth updown 5m 1785527400	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x9db17b…
07-31 19:43:59	xrp updown 4h 1785513600	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x2752b3…
07-31 19:39:51	btc updown 15m 1785526200	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x037bfc…
07-31 19:38:53	eth updown 5m 1785526500	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x9387fa…
07-31 19:38:51	xrp updown 5m 1785526500	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0640d6…
07-31 19:33:51	doge updown 5m 1785526200	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa0b3fb…
07-31 19:33:50	btc updown 5m 1785526200	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2f1fb3…
07-31 19:25:50	xrp updown 15m 1785525300	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xe58e75…
07-31 19:24:53	sol updown 15m 1785525300	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x66e467…
07-31 19:24:06	xrp updown 5m 1785525600	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xe38d5f…
07-31 19:19:59	eth updown 4h 1785513600	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5769db…
07-23 10:59:48	btc updown 5m 1784804100	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9739ea…
07-23 10:59:46	btc updown 5m 1784804100	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x58997a…
07-23 10:59:46	btc updown 5m 1784804100	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x05c5e5…
07-23 10:59:45	btc updown 5m 1784804100	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7b4e52…
07-23 10:59:45	btc updown 5m 1784804100	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x281a7e…
07-23 10:58:55	btc updown 5m 1784804100	Up	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0xc3d2dd…
07-23 10:58:39	btc updown 5m 1784804100	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x17e9ae…