Showy-Retrospectivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

668

Trades

695

lifetime

Volume

$6.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 10-31 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Other

80% 97% -$4

Sports

14% 99% +$1

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	TheMongolz	+$0	05-27 17:22
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	1	$10	10	0	+10	Adrian Mannarino	+$0	10-07 06:29
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	09-17 20:00
atp trungel hanfman 2026 07 22 set 2 winner Trungelliti vs Hanfmann	1	$10	10	0	+10	Hanfmann	+$0	07-22 12:52
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$10	10	0	+10	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$10	10	0	+10	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25
atp kjaer gueymar 2026 07 20 first set winner Kjaer vs Gueymard Wayenburg	1	$10	10	0	+10	Gueymard-Wayenburg	+$0	07-21 14:18
Bengals vs. Dolphins	1	$10	10	0	+10	Bengals	+$0	10-11 20:16
ucl pet egn 2026 07 08 total 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Over	+$0	07-08 18:57
lol blg ly 2026 07 05 game1 kill over 27pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	07-06 04:27
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	08-30 17:03
rou1 fcb fcr 2026 07 27 btts	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-27 20:54
Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	09-11 19:25
wta avdeeva akugue 2026 08 03	1	$10	10	0	+10	Noma Noha Akugue	+$0	08-03 10:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:00:25	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1acc23…
10-30 16:24:40	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3970cd…
10-29 15:14:14	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x113c21…
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52796c…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad20a5…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x75bc7f…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc3bf3c…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb1d12…
10-23 07:21:20	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b740d…
10-23 06:10:06	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x30eb36…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b1431…
10-20 18:42:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xda869e…
10-20 18:42:23	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x435f7a…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47880e…
10-15 20:32:48	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xffdfdd…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e8cdb…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeac535…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8e851…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ab810…
10-13 21:37:33	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fec79…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33d098…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65949e…
10-12 09:20:58	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84ec27…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x477909…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2f3aea…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0b108…
10-11 04:54:54	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe225b7…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16b5f3…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa7bf91…
10-09 02:10:02	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadd77c…
10-08 19:36:26	Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic	Vilius Gaubas	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24b47d…
10-07 14:42:13	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfe324f…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05bedc…
10-07 05:49:08	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1a28a8…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6c0d2…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd11006…
10-06 13:20:16	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x68a828…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc29f63…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3075ed…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x570053…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa44b00…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3ee881…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18cd4d…
10-02 14:15:30	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb41038…
10-02 14:12:33	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c8eaf…
10-01 22:23:56	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb26f22…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x301679…
10-01 20:36:08	Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa15e59…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe7ec6d…
10-01 12:05:03	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40663c…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5a8767…
10-01 06:03:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x692260…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf6036…
10-01 04:48:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x598e7c…
09-30 23:54:45	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6cd906…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95bd75…
09-29 13:58:53	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcceb98…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xff6c6a…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdc8b4…
09-29 00:54:09	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x06d603…
09-28 16:53:26	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1107d8…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5db5c…
09-27 20:20:11	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf13aaa…
09-27 14:05:50	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa02b1c…
09-27 13:31:20	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0afae…
09-27 12:24:53	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73460a…
09-27 00:30:42	atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf16829…
09-26 23:23:51	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe111dc…
09-26 19:53:26	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7487d…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabe600…
09-25 22:57:44	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9f636b…
09-25 10:14:42	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf33f76…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e3e38…
09-24 09:44:05	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9fa2d…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45e6e8…
09-23 16:19:06	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3410e…
09-23 04:45:10	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8119b…
09-21 19:09:01	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06fa89…
09-21 18:44:34	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7370a3…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x564dea…
09-20 12:44:49	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e3cfe…
09-20 12:23:12	Counter-Strike: Color vs UPGRADE - Map 1 Winner	Color	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaae88d…
09-20 09:13:46	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3248c…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x730408…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9aac2…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd48dc5…
09-19 01:39:48	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a2481…
09-17 20:00:09	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0426cf…
09-17 19:33:09	cs2 ence kamui 2026 09 17	KAMUI	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2563e4…
09-17 17:27:45	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6633e…
09-17 14:00:51	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f65ba…
09-17 00:30:46	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf9f37…
09-16 12:24:46	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x795e56…
09-16 01:20:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90a341…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x138c84…
09-13 20:06:00	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2fd6c4…
09-13 14:59:07	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66b397…
09-13 14:16:07	Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaded82…
09-13 02:51:27	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90201a…
09-12 19:48:07	Oklahoma vs. Michigan	Michigan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0273fa…