Watery-Beet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

78.4%

Resolved

381

Trades

643

lifetime

Volume

$841.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.31K

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-29 15:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

65% 77% -$8,607

Sports

33% 76% -$3,869

Crypto

2% 88% -$1,143

Politics

0% 33% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes		+208	$4	1¢	$1	-$2	08-12 02:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	5	$21.5K	13,054	13,054	+0	Minnesota Twins	-$2,545	05-23 02:22
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$20.3K	10,347	10,347	+0	76ers	+$336	04-29 01:31
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders	2	$20.2K	10,856	10,856	+0	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$244	05-08 16:36
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$18.2K	10,204	10,204	+0	Chennai Super Kings	-$1,829	05-10 13:47
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	3	$17.5K	14,301	7,508	+6,793	Delhi Capitals	-$1,683	05-17 17:53
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	3	$16.7K	10,417	10,417	+0	Gujarat Titans	-$3,258	05-03 17:45
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	2	$14.4K	7,692	7,692	+0	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$438	05-20 18:08
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$13.2K	7,297	7,297	+0	Thunder	-$833	05-21 02:55
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 6pt5	14	$13.0K	13,269	0	+13,269	Under	+$269	07-10 10:46
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 6pt5	6	$13.0K	13,174	0	+13,174	Under	+$175	07-07 13:08
nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	6	$12.3K	9,521	9,418	+103	Hawks	-$2,305	04-24 01:43
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	2	$12.1K	6,129	6,129	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$123	05-11 00:16
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 6pt5	5	$12.0K	12,281	0	+12,281	Under	+$281	07-05 17:47
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 6pt5	4	$12.0K	12,238	0	+12,238	Under	+$238	07-06 09:22
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	11	$10.9K	6,062	5,103	+959	No	-$97	08-12 02:13
76ers vs. Knicks	3	$10.3K	10,657	556	+10,101	Knicks	+$29	05-07 01:47
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$10.2K	5,156	5,156	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$151	05-24 00:28
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$10.0K	10,101	0	+10,101	Knicks	+$101	05-09 01:34
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	1	$10.0K	10,204	0	+10,204	Gujarat Titans	+$204	05-09 17:04
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 3pt5	1	$10.0K	10,560	0	+10,560	Under	+$560	07-04 22:39
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	1	$10.0K	10,279	0	+10,279	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$279	04-29 17:50
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$10.0K	10,148	0	+10,148	Thunder	+$148	05-08 04:04
Celtics vs. 76ers	1	$10.0K	10,132	0	+10,132	76ers	+$132	05-01 02:00
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	1	$10.0K	10,133	0	+10,133	Gujarat Titans	+$133	04-30 17:09
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	1	$10.0K	10,417	0	+10,417	Delhi Capitals	+$417	05-01 17:45
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 16	2	$10.0K	10,363	0	+10,363	England	+$363	07-16 19:16
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$10.0K	10,206	0	+10,206	Atlanta Braves	+$206	05-10 02:50
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians	1	$10.0K	10,315	0	+10,315	Chennai Super Kings	+$315	05-02 17:06
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	1	$10.0K	10,132	0	+10,132	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$132	05-03 12:47
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	1	$10.0K	10,206	0	+10,206	Yes	+$206	07-07 01:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:44:26	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xe01ac5…
10-29 14:16:01	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0xb4716d…
10-29 10:59:02	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes	Melbourne Stars	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x635358…
10-29 10:54:11	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes	Melbourne Stars	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd6c2c2…
10-29 10:33:02	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xd4d641…
10-29 10:18:07	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes	Hobart Hurricanes	SELL	42	27¢	$11	0xc54922…
10-29 10:05:41	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xfa4f5c…
10-29 09:58:08	Nepal Premier League: Janakpur Bolts vs Kathmandu Gurkhas	Kathmandu Gurkhas	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x4e1ce2…
10-29 09:55:11	Nepal Premier League: Janakpur Bolts vs Kathmandu Gurkhas	Kathmandu Gurkhas	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xe81433…
10-29 09:07:49	Nepal Premier League: Janakpur Bolts vs Kathmandu Gurkhas	Kathmandu Gurkhas	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x319c92…
10-29 05:05:23	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Renegades vs Sydney Thunder	Melbourne Renegades	SELL	29	51¢	$15	0xd6bf9e…
10-29 04:39:55	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Renegades vs Sydney Thunder	Melbourne Renegades	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x9fea75…
10-25 12:51:59	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	SELL	28	43¢	$12	0xf3d239…
10-25 11:05:26	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x1a2da0…
10-22 16:03:41	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x460041…
10-22 15:18:15	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	SELL	51	32¢	$16	0x3b48ed…
10-22 15:08:20	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x12194c…
10-22 09:49:39	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	17	73¢	$13	0x94e8fc…
10-22 09:29:03	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1c63dc…
10-19 13:26:32	UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x466ff8…
10-14 16:34:42	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	India	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xdd14c7…
10-14 16:18:06	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	India	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xec9bc1…
10-14 16:02:28	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	India	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa3dcc2…
10-13 14:46:04	World Championship of Legends: South Africa Champions vs England Champions	South Africa Champions	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x65663d…
10-13 14:21:22	World Championship of Legends: South Africa Champions vs England Champions	South Africa Champions	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2efa29…
10-03 15:50:15	West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies	West Indies	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xb9d24a…
09-11 09:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	108	75¢	$80	0xd5c620…
09-11 06:29:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xb17250…
08-28 02:19:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0x00ebde…
08-22 16:08:03	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x3f632f…
08-22 15:58:52	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x36d6c2…
08-22 15:58:06	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x5c8679…
08-22 15:33:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	SELL	75	32¢	$24	0x410986…
08-22 15:09:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0x00ab9b…
08-22 03:36:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	SELL	332	77¢	$254	0x0fbc4a…
08-22 02:23:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	332	90¢	$300	0x437c4f…
08-18 16:16:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb139ff…
08-12 02:52:51	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0x0965f7…
08-12 02:13:45	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	SELL	959	96¢	$923	0xfdcb4a…
08-12 02:13:28	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	SELL	639	97¢	$617	0x7464fb…
08-12 02:13:12	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	SELL	852	97¢	$826	0xad8cba…
08-12 02:13:00	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	SELL	1,137	97¢	$1,103	0xc9e7db…
08-12 02:12:25	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	SELL	1,515	97¢	$1,476	0xfff184…
08-11 01:05:15	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1,013	99¢	$1,000	0x5dd9f6…
08-09 17:43:57	cricodc gla wor 2026 08 09	Glamorgan	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xf980c6…
08-09 17:42:10	cricodc gla wor 2026 08 09	Glamorgan	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x27239b…
08-09 14:32:30	crichundred sun wel 2026 08 09	Welsh Fire	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x3ab935…
08-09 14:01:36	crichundred sun wel 2026 08 09	Welsh Fire	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc007c6…
08-09 12:18:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x15cdc9…
08-09 09:33:10	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xbdbce4…
08-09 09:32:43	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x88b090…
08-09 04:06:46	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xa64f4a…
08-09 01:14:40	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1,009	99¢	$1,000	0x26a92d…
08-09 01:14:19	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1,009	99¢	$1,000	0x16e411…
08-08 17:27:30	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd2856d…
08-08 17:03:49	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd854c4…
08-08 16:57:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf20827…
08-08 16:52:30	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb07a92…
08-08 16:51:54	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa37765…
08-08 15:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	SELL	2,011	99¢	$1,991	0x2ab846…
08-08 11:06:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2,011	99¢	$2,000	0xfd3bc6…
08-07 17:01:00	cricodc yor der 2026 08 07	Yorkshire	BUY	513	98¢	$500	0x3086f2…
08-07 14:40:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	2,043	100¢	$2,041	0x127a48…
08-07 04:25:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2,043	98¢	$2,000	0xd0c056…
08-05 16:23:03	crichundredw tre bir 2026 08 05	Trent Rockets	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xe29586…
08-04 05:47:53	crint lka3 pak3 2026 08 04	Pakistan	SELL	34	76¢	$25	0xaab056…
08-04 04:42:26	crint lka3 pak3 2026 08 04	Pakistan	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0x0693b1…
08-03 00:50:05	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	3,056	96¢	$2,920	0x9726a5…
08-02 07:12:51	crint lka3 pak3 2026 08 02	Sri Lanka	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x4e0b29…
08-01 18:11:12	crichundred lon sou 2026 08 01	London Spirit	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x524ff4…
08-01 18:00:44	crichundred lon sou 2026 08 01	London Spirit	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xa64de4…
08-01 17:51:47	crichundred lon sou 2026 08 01	London Spirit	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xde30a4…
08-01 16:02:26	crichundred bir wel 2026 08 01	Welsh Fire	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0x2239b4…
08-01 15:11:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6d7c8a…
08-01 12:13:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x7a1d94…
08-01 12:06:51	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2,048	98¢	$2,000	0xf1b19d…
08-01 10:43:29	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb54d54…
08-01 09:58:38	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xb1c1e7…
08-01 09:44:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x184208…
08-01 07:59:50	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x2a94d3…
08-01 00:21:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	1,005	100¢	$1,000	0x27089b…
07-31 17:29:59	cricodc ken som 2026 07 31	Kent	BUY	576	97¢	$561	0x2ab31f…
07-31 17:04:27	cricodc ess ham 2026 07 31	Hampshire	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xb310f7…
07-31 16:54:42	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,024	98¢	$1,000	0x1822e1…
07-31 16:23:06	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,016	98¢	$1,000	0xebef0e…
07-31 16:22:36	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,017	98¢	$1,000	0x154b93…
07-31 08:57:44	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x1fd02c…
07-31 05:29:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,026	99¢	$2,000	0x2765d2…
07-30 12:27:30	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x325147…
07-30 07:19:35	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,031	97¢	$1,000	0x2e0d1e…
07-30 07:19:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,032	97¢	$1,000	0xd91e23…
07-30 01:57:47	cricgsl guy per 2026 07 29	Guyana Amazon Warriors	SELL	553	77¢	$426	0xac02a1…
07-30 01:55:48	cricgsl guy per 2026 07 29	Guyana Amazon Warriors	SELL	490	73¢	$357	0xb44b8c…
07-30 01:16:35	cricgsl guy per 2026 07 29	Guyana Amazon Warriors	BUY	1,043	96¢	$1,000	0xfee1e2…
07-29 17:11:11	cricodc yor wor 2026 07 29	Yorkshire	SELL	254	99¢	$252	0x12dabc…
07-29 17:10:59	cricodc dur gla 2026 07 29	Durham	SELL	1,033	100¢	$1,032	0xe15291…
07-29 16:59:36	cricodc dur gla 2026 07 29	Durham	BUY	1,033	97¢	$1,000	0x92ab8e…
07-29 16:44:23	crichundredw mi lon 2026 07 29	London Spirit	SELL	590	42¢	$248	0x181dc0…
07-29 16:40:33	crichundredw mi lon 2026 07 29	London Spirit	BUY	590	85¢	$500	0x5936b6…
07-29 16:17:38	cricodc yor wor 2026 07 29	Yorkshire	BUY	254	99¢	$250	0x8eca48…