Accurate-Effacement-Tempo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

974

Trades

986

lifetime

Volume

$9.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 08-07 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$20	22	+22	Down	+$2	05-23 07:35
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 03:40 UTC	2	$20	23	+23	Down	+$3	07-05 03:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 00:25 UTC	2	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	07-05 00:30
Solana Up or Down - June 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	06-30 13:05
XRP Up or Down - June 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	06-30 13:05
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 16:15 UTC	2	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	06-30 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	06-12 19:10
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$20	21	+21	Down	+$1	06-06 00:45
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 21:05 UTC	2	$20	21	+21	Down	+$1	07-17 21:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:15 UTC	2	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	07-01 14:20
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 09:10 UTC	2	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	07-19 09:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 03:05 UTC	2	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	06-23 03:10
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$10	25	+25	Up	+$15	07-29 09:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:35 UTC	1	$10	20	+20	Down	+$10	08-03 23:40
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:35 UTC	1	$10	25	+25	Down	-$10	08-07 12:40
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 11:45 UTC	1	$10	20	+20	Up	-$10	07-24 12:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 09:50 UTC	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	07-19 09:55
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:35 UTC	1	$10	1,000	+1,000	Down	-$10	08-07 12:40
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 08:20 UTC	1	$10	13	+13	Down	+$3	06-06 08:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:10 UTC	1	$10	12	+12	Down	+$2	07-19 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$10	12	+12	Up	+$2	06-01 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Up	+$10	05-18 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 02:15 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	07-24 02:20
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 03:15 UTC	1	$10	24	+24	Up	-$10	07-10 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Up	+$1	05-30 10:45
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:15 UTC	1	$10	14	+14	Up	-$10	07-24 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Up	+$1	06-18 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$10	15	+15	Up	+$5	05-18 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-25 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-23 01:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 12:40:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x51e0cf…
08-07 12:40:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x3c2866…
08-06 22:10:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x147dcf…
08-06 14:25:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x156be6…
08-06 04:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x857fc2…
08-06 03:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7f1e53…
08-06 01:15:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc5418c…
08-05 21:40:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x669209…
08-05 14:35:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe0cd39…
08-05 13:55:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe58fcb…
08-05 13:20:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x09b719…
08-04 22:00:02	XRP Up or Down - August 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x20e8f6…
08-04 20:00:02	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc44b36…
08-04 17:35:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcc38a5…
08-04 09:55:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x72b092…
08-04 08:00:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6d28df…
08-03 23:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2c2025…
08-03 22:30:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbc40f4…
08-03 19:15:02	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e11b5…
08-03 18:20:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xba5126…
08-03 15:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4ee33…
08-03 14:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4ebe12…
08-03 10:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9b963b…
08-03 05:30:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd04fbe…
08-03 05:25:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4986f8…
08-02 23:45:02	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x62d825…
08-02 11:30:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x38d9b7…
08-02 08:55:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x644d1b…
08-02 07:15:02	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x007c63…
08-02 03:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x377754…
08-01 18:00:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf99137…
08-01 10:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc71834…
08-01 08:55:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x276f19…
08-01 07:25:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1f52e5…
08-01 05:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5273d3…
08-01 02:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc74e0c…
07-31 23:45:02	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x603b9b…
07-31 19:25:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x018313…
07-31 17:05:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdf34be…
07-31 10:00:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e10e4…
07-31 08:15:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2a029a…
07-31 07:20:00	XRP Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4c3b14…
07-31 06:10:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8118e7…
07-31 06:05:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6943b2…
07-31 05:40:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf07bdd…
07-31 04:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa21a67…
07-31 02:15:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4823a0…
07-31 01:25:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d1e40…
07-30 08:10:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x815887…
07-30 06:00:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0dad62…
07-30 04:15:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4e9dcf…
07-29 22:15:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf5b6de…
07-29 22:10:00	XRP Up or Down - July 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf48357…
07-29 21:15:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5ad070…
07-29 20:45:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xec8ec1…
07-29 20:25:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc17ae8…
07-29 20:25:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xade309…
07-29 18:49:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x027e75…
07-29 16:30:00	XRP Up or Down - July 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7f57b4…
07-29 14:25:00	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf6f910…
07-29 09:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xdcd43e…
07-29 03:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfc31b1…
07-29 03:25:00	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xef1b9c…
07-28 08:10:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x053260…
07-28 08:00:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x413cd0…
07-28 07:00:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc0156a…
07-28 06:15:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb700df…
07-27 23:40:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1c3868…
07-27 23:10:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x10dcb8…
07-27 21:05:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7a1585…
07-27 15:30:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xdaaf88…
07-27 15:15:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xccf40e…
07-27 06:10:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb37af4…
07-27 01:35:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x508aad…
07-26 20:45:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa20181…
07-26 19:45:01	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4f2ee5…
07-26 19:05:00	Solana Up or Down - July 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7be172…
07-26 15:15:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf814b8…
07-26 05:25:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf24f3a…
07-26 04:45:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf3a149…
07-26 03:00:00	XRP Up or Down - July 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e4c1e…
07-26 02:20:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x824351…
07-26 01:55:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x340f86…
07-26 00:00:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x89b6d2…
07-26 00:00:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4ff248…
07-25 23:55:01	XRP Up or Down - July 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xefd262…
07-25 21:10:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x17a806…
07-25 20:15:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbcc1e4…
07-25 18:40:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x747f44…
07-25 16:50:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0019c2…
07-25 13:50:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf1f27f…
07-25 12:10:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x6541eb…
07-25 11:10:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5b8374…
07-25 10:10:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x73da08…
07-25 09:15:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc46a85…
07-25 09:05:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc2cd27…
07-25 08:50:00	Solana Up or Down - July 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe0a10d…
07-25 07:45:00	Solana Up or Down - July 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb6a818…
07-25 06:00:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x86556c…
07-25 05:00:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x96934e…