Realized P&L
-$15.2K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
52.7%
Resolved
345
Trades
1,637
lifetime
Volume
$438.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$268
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-19 18:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Politics
49%
58%
+$5,921
Other
35%
49%
-$15,926
Crypto
15%
41%
-$5,109
Sports
0%
0%
-$111
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 29 | $30.5K | 59,730 | 59,730 | +0 | No | -$5,507 | 04-12 19:17 |
| will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | 25 | $29.0K | 138,728 | 138,728 | +0 | No | -$5,854 | 01-15 06:22 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 12 | $28.5K | 72,469 | 72,469 | +0 | No | -$3,401 | 03-09 17:00 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 5 | $15.0K | 10,189 | 10,189 | +0 | Yes | +$3,133 | 02-28 09:34 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31 | 3 | $11.7K | 6,448 | 6,448 | +0 | No | +$1,126 | 04-02 10:35 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | 2 | $11.4K | 7,394 | 7,394 | +0 | Yes | +$3,387 | 02-28 08:29 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 9 | $10.8K | 18,911 | 18,911 | +0 | No | -$514 | 01-14 22:35 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 4 | $10.7K | 6,000 | 6,000 | +0 | Yes | +$612 | 04-01 20:49 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 8 | $10.2K | 8,578 | 8,578 | +0 | Yes | +$270 | 03-22 05:58 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 4 | $10.0K | 12,886 | 12,886 | +0 | Yes | -$2,018 | 02-26 19:54 |
| houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026 | 5 | $8.9K | 4,921 | 4,921 | +0 | No | +$901 | 03-16 20:21 |
| israel strikes iran by march 31 2026 | 5 | $8.2K | 11,747 | 3,986 | +7,761 | Yes | +$3,406 | 02-27 11:42 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 12 | $6.8K | 11,060 | 11,060 | +0 | Yes | -$4,336 | 04-17 13:30 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 4 | $6.5K | 4,247 | 4,247 | +0 | Yes | +$1,631 | 02-28 08:26 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 4 | $6.3K | 13,875 | 13,875 | +0 | No | +$632 | 01-27 12:43 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 16 | $6.3K | 4,348 | 4,348 | +0 | No | +$304 | 03-12 13:36 |
| houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026 | 3 | $5.8K | 4,343 | 4,343 | +0 | No | -$163 | 03-28 17:24 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 7 | $5.8K | 8,559 | 8,659 | -100 | Yes | -$1,891 | 02-28 20:56 |
| will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026 | 4 | $5.1K | 5,494 | 5,494 | +0 | Yes | -$1,647 | 03-04 10:57 |
| US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026? | 2 | $4.8K | 3,261 | 3,261 | +0 | Yes | +$1,758 | 02-28 08:26 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 2 | $4.7K | 3,704 | 3,704 | +0 | Yes | +$2,696 | 03-01 07:32 |
| will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656 | 4 | $4.6K | 2,637 | 2,637 | +0 | No | +$675 | 03-08 07:35 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 8 | $4.3K | 3,274 | 3,274 | +0 | Yes | +$92 | 04-08 17:06 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 14:50 UTC | 4 | $4.3K | 2,365 | 2,359 | +6 | Up | +$61 | 03-05 14:53 |
| usisrael strike yemen by march 31 | 15 | $4.1K | 3,074 | 3,074 | +0 | No | +$1,429 | 03-30 18:23 |
| uel pao1 cel4 2026 02 19 total 4pt5 | 2 | $4.0K | 2,150 | 2,150 | +0 | Under | +$261 | 02-19 21:31 |
| us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612 | 5 | $3.9K | 5,584 | 5,584 | +0 | No | -$239 | 01-15 06:27 |
| us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294 | 2 | $3.9K | 10,198 | 10,198 | +0 | No | -$2,595 | 02-01 11:57 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 4 | $3.6K | 5,329 | 5,329 | +0 | No | -$688 | 01-14 20:48 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15 | 2 | $3.6K | 2,269 | 2,269 | +0 | No | +$664 | 03-04 16:28 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||