Untrue-Aircraft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.4%

Resolved

222

Trades

6,139

lifetime

Volume

$349.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 05-12 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 74% +$9

Other

5% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 288 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana dip to 80 on march 29	2	$808	408	408	+0	open	—	03-29 23:45
will xrp dip to 1pt3 on march 29	2	$565	286	286	+0	open	—	03-29 23:53
will ethereum dip to 1950 on march 29	2	$563	283	283	+0	open	—	03-29 23:53
will bitcoin reach 75k on april 20	2	$515	261	260	+0	open	—	04-20 09:19
will bitcoin reach 76k on april 20	2	$512	258	257	+0	open	—	04-20 19:35
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 21	2	$454	229	229	+0	open	—	04-22 02:57
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 20-26?	2	$452	227	227	+0	open	—	04-22 05:22
will ethereum reach 2350 on april 21	2	$452	227	227	+0	open	—	04-22 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$432	455	0	+455	Up	+$23	05-10 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4AM ET	2	$349	353	0	+353	open	—	04-29 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$272	275	0	+275	open	—	04-29 06:25
will bnb dip to 600 in march	2	$256	136	136	+0	open	—	03-29 23:52
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 19	1	$255	258	0	+258	open	—	04-19 22:01
will bitcoin dip to 75k on april 21	1	$255	258	0	+258	open	—	04-21 19:42
will xrp reach 1pt4 on april 15	1	$240	242	0	+242	open	—	04-15 19:36
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	1	$240	242	0	+242	open	—	04-14 13:40
btc updown 5m 1774749600	4	$228	295	252	+43	open	—	03-29 02:05
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 9	1	$225	229	0	+229	open	—	04-09 22:17
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 4am et	2	$222	112	112	+0	open	—	04-12 10:07
BNB Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$217	219	0	+219	Up	+$2	05-09 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	6	$207	224	0	+224	Up	+$17	05-11 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5AM ET	2	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	04-30 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$204	206	0	+206	open	—	04-30 04:00
will bitcoin reach 72k april 6 12	1	$195	197	0	+197	open	—	04-07 23:21
will bitcoin reach 72k on april 7	1	$194	196	0	+196	open	—	04-07 23:21
will ethereum reach 2250 on april 7	1	$194	196	0	+196	open	—	04-07 23:21
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$191	193	0	+193	Up	+$2	05-08 16:00
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$190	192	0	+192	Up	+$2	05-09 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$187	191	0	+191	open	—	04-29 12:55
will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	1	$177	181	0	+181	open	—	03-27 14:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 03:10:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd1476a…
05-12 02:15:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xc24339…
05-12 02:10:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x054dfb…
05-12 01:44:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x2bc08f…
05-12 01:42:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	41¢	$16	0x234960…
05-12 01:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0x6704e0…
05-12 01:15:00	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x8d27c3…
05-12 01:00:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xbfa3b9…
05-12 01:00:01	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x9f6cf4…
05-12 00:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0xfdb1a2…
05-12 00:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	43¢	$16	0xdabadc…
05-11 23:55:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xe19da6…
05-11 23:45:00	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xc047cd…
05-11 22:35:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x9818a8…
05-11 22:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0x28d38c…
05-11 22:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x963b21…
05-11 21:55:00	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x5049d2…
05-11 21:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0x412273…
05-11 21:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xc8af7c…
05-11 20:20:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xfc8228…
05-11 20:20:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x2fd4d9…
05-11 18:35:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xce9145…
05-11 18:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x09a3d3…
05-11 16:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0xcbf99a…
05-11 15:26:20	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	44¢	$9	0x601d2c…
05-11 15:26:08	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x46f2a8…
05-11 15:05:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x430fba…
05-11 14:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	145	99¢	$143	0x60fc47…
05-11 14:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0xd607dc…
05-11 14:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0xbb81bd…
05-11 14:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa18387…
05-11 14:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x833517…
05-11 14:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x419dd7…
05-11 14:15:01	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x9542ff…
05-11 14:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0xfbc1d1…
05-11 14:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	65	30¢	$20	0xe53c34…
05-11 14:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0x277383…
05-11 12:35:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xd9e27a…
05-11 12:10:02	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x580f1f…
05-11 10:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0xe08e3b…
05-11 08:20:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xdb8e7c…
05-11 08:05:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xba4077…
05-11 07:00:02	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xe8a375…
05-11 06:45:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xd2590b…
05-11 06:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0xc1f9c1…
05-11 06:00:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xeed6f3…
05-11 05:38:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	27¢	$12	0xc7e12c…
05-11 05:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	32¢	$12	0x5b0c2d…
05-11 05:00:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x7f2468…
05-11 03:29:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	42¢	$16	0xbe48f6…
05-11 03:25:01	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe82df8…
05-11 03:13:47	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc1ce2c…
05-11 03:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xa7d3c2…
05-11 03:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x75b82f…
05-11 02:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0x422d1a…
05-11 02:45:01	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x240804…
05-11 02:44:32	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x4fda4e…
05-11 02:25:01	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x70db50…
05-11 01:25:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xb01aa2…
05-10 23:15:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xeed705…
05-10 23:15:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xacee77…
05-10 23:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0x212b9e…
05-10 21:50:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xefaf87…
05-10 21:25:00	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xa435f7…
05-10 21:25:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x241abf…
05-10 21:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x1f0183…
05-10 20:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	44¢	$20	0xedcb78…
05-10 20:40:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xf694ee…
05-10 20:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x9add3f…
05-10 19:50:01	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0x602855…
05-10 19:40:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x26e720…
05-10 18:45:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x314a49…
05-10 18:00:00	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0xd8e941…
05-10 16:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x82a513…
05-10 16:13:34	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x44a585…
05-10 16:00:40	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xf4e091…
05-10 15:45:01	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xd17458…
05-10 15:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0x84d508…
05-10 15:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	43	34¢	$15	0x8b6698…
05-10 14:40:02	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xa3a517…
05-10 14:30:00	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x0eb299…
05-10 13:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	48	39¢	$19	0xb327a3…
05-10 12:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x7395fa…
05-10 12:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x6c2347…
05-10 12:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x43c92e…
05-10 10:35:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x0021b5…
05-10 10:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0xdb12f8…
05-10 10:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xa1d27e…
05-10 10:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x87ecad…
05-10 10:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xd60f8e…
05-10 10:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xaafe87…
05-10 10:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x9ee64a…
05-10 10:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6dc00c…
05-10 10:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x3ac40c…
05-10 10:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	33¢	$5	0x046bb2…
05-10 10:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0x8b63ef…
05-10 09:50:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x8055c0…
05-10 09:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0xa5aa88…
05-10 09:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd1ce68…
05-10 09:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	32¢	$14	0x307b14…