Definitive-Trend — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

260

Trades

528

lifetime

Volume

$61.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-05 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

86% 95% -$136

Crypto

14% 0% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in May 2026?	9	$1.3K	0	2,665	-2,665	No	+$2	05-09 06:41
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?	6	$1.3K	0	2,655	-2,655	No	+$1	05-08 13:32
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	3	$1.3K	0	1,328	-1,328	No	-$1	04-30 04:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 28?	3	$1.3K	0	1,327	-1,327	No	-$1	04-29 01:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 27?	6	$1.3K	0	2,649	-2,649	No	$0	04-27 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on May 3?	13	$885	444	444	+0	No	+$2	05-03 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 30?	23	$884	443	443	+0	No	+$1	04-30 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 28?	16	$881	442	441	+0	No	+$1	04-28 06:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 24	2	$880	0	881	-881	No	-$1	04-24 02:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on April 26?	2	$879	0	880	-880	No	-$1	04-25 04:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?	2	$879	0	880	-880	No	-$1	04-27 04:47
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	2	$878	0	878	-878	No	-$1	04-23 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 19?	2	$546	274	274	+0	No	+$3	06-19 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 4?	4	$443	444	0	+444	No	+$1	05-04 02:10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$442	0	443	-443	No	$0	05-01 03:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	1	$442	0	443	-443	No	$0	05-02 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 2?	1	$442	443	0	+443	No	+$1	05-02 15:02
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$442	0	442	-442	No	$0	05-01 03:05
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$442	0	884	-884	No	$0	05-11 04:49
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$442	0	442	-442	No	$0	05-02 02:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 1?	2	$442	442	0	+442	No	+$0	05-01 03:10
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$441	0	442	-442	No	$0	05-02 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on April 29?	1	$441	442	0	+442	No	+$0	04-29 01:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 26?	1	$441	0	441	-441	No	$0	04-26 04:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 28?	2	$441	0	882	-882	No	$0	04-28 01:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 25?	1	$440	441	0	+441	No	+$1	04-25 09:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 26?	1	$440	0	441	-441	No	$0	04-26 04:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 28?	1	$440	0	440	-440	No	$0	04-28 01:20
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$440	0	440	-440	No	$0	04-28 01:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 28?	2	$440	440	0	+440	No	+$1	04-28 01:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 02:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x40a700…
07-05 02:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x1057cd…
07-03 07:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0x528748…
07-02 05:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0x1c113b…
07-01 01:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?	No	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0x55f2d0…
06-30 02:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 30?	No	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0xe3a514…
06-29 10:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0x541ad7…
06-28 03:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 28?	No	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0x0aabdd…
06-25 04:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 25?	Yes	BUY	287	100¢	$286	0x1bd2e8…
06-24 08:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 24?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$78	0xeea824…
06-24 08:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb3dae9…
06-24 08:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfeec7f…
06-24 08:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x1dd581…
06-23 07:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 23?	No	BUY	286	100¢	$285	0xd24649…
06-22 07:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 22?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xfc4ac8…
06-22 07:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1eeaa9…
06-22 07:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 22?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xafdd03…
06-22 07:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x778d72…
06-22 07:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x4d318a…
06-22 07:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x055141…
06-22 07:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x47d4e7…
06-22 07:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x6b05f9…
06-21 02:37:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	277	100¢	$277	0x4ce892…
06-21 02:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf02069…
06-20 08:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x4a4d21…
06-20 08:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x69fe3f…
06-20 08:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c0a31…
06-20 08:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xeeb46a…
06-20 08:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd3c33…
06-20 08:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc0de5d…
06-20 08:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x09b26c…
06-20 08:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4d28e4…
06-20 08:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf97bb0…
06-20 08:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x50dadf…
06-20 08:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0x63ed7b…
06-19 12:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x5dd42b…
06-19 12:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x394adf…
06-19 12:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x03de19…
06-19 12:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x91d14e…
06-19 12:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 19?	No	SELL	274	100¢	$274	0xe6e89e…
06-19 11:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 19?	No	BUY	274	99¢	$272	0x3ddb57…
06-18 10:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 18?	No	BUY	138	97¢	$134	0x370fc8…
06-18 09:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfaa732…
06-18 09:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xee7f3f…
06-17 08:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 17?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x0ed793…
06-17 07:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 17?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x05e557…
06-16 08:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 16?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0xb750fd…
06-15 07:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 15?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x8bc1b0…
06-15 07:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa5cb45…
06-15 07:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xae680a…
06-15 07:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa97a4a…
06-15 07:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	175	99¢	$174	0x18ede3…
06-15 07:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 15?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0xb2ae74…
06-15 07:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 15?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x81c8d3…
06-14 15:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0x503534…
06-14 07:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x15a08c…
06-14 07:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x6de033…
06-14 03:34:52	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xd19626…
06-14 03:03:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 13?	No	BUY	86	97¢	$83	0x4da306…
06-14 03:03:10	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xf82b96…
06-14 02:56:31	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 13?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x844129…
06-13 16:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 13?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x5e827a…
06-13 16:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 13?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xa03469…
06-13 06:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x720738…
06-13 06:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x3d7877…
06-13 06:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x027d1d…
06-13 03:20:03	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xee3de8…
06-13 03:16:39	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on June 12?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0xf877ea…
06-12 15:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 12?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0xa3a0ad…
06-12 13:49:12	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 12?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0x8a6926…
06-12 05:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0x8c51df…
06-12 05:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x1a78b6…
06-12 02:22:15	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 11?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0xb85cfe…
06-11 15:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0xb2b226…
06-11 05:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on June 11?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0xda113b…
06-11 02:57:43	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x754bd4…
06-11 02:35:24	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4af188…
06-11 02:35:07	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xd3dcb9…
06-11 02:34:36	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x51a047…
06-10 12:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 10?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x6e87dc…
06-10 05:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0x91c523…
06-09 15:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcab14b…
06-09 15:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	247	100¢	$246	0x9745bf…
06-09 02:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 9?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x978bbb…
06-09 02:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 9?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0x6e54d6…
06-08 17:11:54	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on June 8?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0x4b3db0…
06-08 17:10:55	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on June 8?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x59a8b5…
06-08 17:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f539c…
06-08 16:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x48d302…
06-08 05:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0x2a56d9…
06-08 04:21:48	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 7?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xec743b…
06-08 04:21:18	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x126609…
06-08 04:20:51	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1214c3…
06-07 15:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 7?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x00d82d…
06-07 13:34:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 7?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x5b3158…
06-07 05:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf2288e…
06-07 05:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 7?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe13ab6…
06-07 05:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 7?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x96ab28…
06-07 02:41:06	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 6?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x93150c…
06-06 16:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0x4d6b3e…