Calculating-Grandfather — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.02K

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

2,012

Trades

4,000

lifetime

Volume

$33.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-03-08

last 11-12 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 56% -$2,036

Other

2% 57% +$9

Sports

0% 33% +$13

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 290 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	—	+28	$18	99¢	$28	+$10	11-12 12:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 09:45 UTC	41	$1.4K	900	900	+0	Down	+$359	07-02 09:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:25 UTC	24	$770	500	500	+0	Down	+$220	07-02 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 09:55 UTC	6	$702	743	600	+143	Down	-$8	07-02 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 09:50 UTC	31	$530	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$530	07-02 09:50
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	1	$499	648	0	+648	Yes	+$149	07-01 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:30 UTC	21	$338	600	0	+600	Down	-$338	07-02 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 08:35 UTC	20	$332	511	0	+511	Up	+$179	07-02 08:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:10 UTC	24	$329	296	296	+0	Up	+$27	06-17 05:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 15:10 UTC	13	$263	204	204	+0	Up	+$63	06-16 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 10:00 UTC	1	$250	472	0	+472	Down	+$222	07-02 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 11:45 UTC	22	$220	400	0	+400	Down	+$180	07-02 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:35 UTC	10	$220	400	0	+400	Down	+$180	07-02 13:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:40 UTC	14	$212	400	0	+400	Up	-$212	07-02 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:05 UTC	23	$210	200	200	+0	Up	+$10	07-02 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:25 UTC	16	$206	200	200	+0	Up	-$6	07-11 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 11:40 UTC	16	$200	400	0	+400	Up	-$200	07-02 11:41
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	1	$200	769	0	+769	No	-$200	07-01 19:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:30 UTC	4	$196	400	0	+400	Up	-$196	07-02 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 09:15 UTC	9	$195	300	0	+300	Down	+$105	07-02 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 22:40 UTC	14	$150	300	0	+300	Up	+$150	07-11 22:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 19:20 UTC	8	$150	300	0	+300	Up	-$150	07-11 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:30 UTC	12	$143	100	100	+0	Up	+$47	06-16 12:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:50 UTC	2	$136	172	172	+0	Down	+$36	06-16 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:35 UTC	11	$130	100	100	+0	Down	+$30	06-16 10:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 15:05 UTC	17	$125	109	100	+10	Down	+$19	07-11 15:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:25 UTC	9	$124	100	100	+0	Down	+$56	06-16 05:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:00 UTC	10	$120	200	0	+200	Down	-$120	07-02 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 06:00 UTC	16	$115	200	0	+200	Up	-$115	06-17 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:30 UTC	3	$114	128	100	+28	Down	-$6	06-16 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 11:50 UTC	1	$110	184	0	+184	Down	-$110	04-06 11:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 12:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x570a99…
11-12 12:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x684143…
11-12 12:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0xeb1298…
11-12 12:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x0c67b9…
11-12 12:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x358be0…
11-12 12:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xadfaf4…
11-12 12:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x05da4e…
11-12 12:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xd777ff…
11-12 12:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xf079e6…
11-12 12:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x3fe2ff…
11-12 12:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x81a301…
11-12 12:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x3112ef…
11-12 12:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xd7429f…
11-12 11:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0xc08a79…
11-12 11:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x75939e…
11-12 11:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$9	0xadd753…
11-12 11:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x56ba8e…
11-12 11:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xd11840…
11-12 10:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x6ba95c…
11-12 10:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$10	0xc592b7…
11-12 10:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x8644ea…
11-12 10:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xf0fb20…
11-12 10:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x1b1ba5…
11-12 10:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$9	0xad6ec7…
11-12 10:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe8c807…
11-12 10:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x6abbd0…
11-12 10:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x395abf…
11-12 10:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xeb5226…
11-12 10:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x032b27…
11-12 09:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xabef8e…
11-12 09:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xddf479…
11-12 09:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa31f61…
11-12 06:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x30176d…
11-12 06:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5509a3…
11-12 06:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe99ba3…
11-12 06:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xf657ff…
11-12 06:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4c44e0…
11-12 06:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3d2b47…
11-12 05:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc026a3…
11-12 05:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x971991…
11-12 05:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa8b751…
11-12 05:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x1652c6…
11-12 05:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x8dc3ca…
11-12 05:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0xa9d873…
11-12 05:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xb666a6…
11-12 05:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xf9e20d…
11-12 05:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x146f01…
11-12 05:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1b110c…
11-12 04:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb927ed…
11-12 04:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6cfbd3…
11-12 04:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x286abf…
11-12 04:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x03297f…
11-12 04:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3d6148…
11-12 04:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0x691fa0…
11-12 04:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x6b18e1…
11-12 04:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7062a3…
11-12 04:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6ba96a…
11-12 04:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x3a7e8e…
11-12 04:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9d8a2d…
11-12 04:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x3ee2cc…
11-12 04:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb2a1e1…
11-12 03:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x984b9b…
11-12 03:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x452181…
11-12 03:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6a8230…
11-12 03:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfa388e…
11-12 03:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf07767…
11-12 03:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x5734cd…
11-12 03:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa3186b…
11-12 03:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xb25625…
11-12 03:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xeb01e7…
11-12 03:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9eb20a…
11-12 03:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xa1f8b6…
11-12 03:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xb406ec…
11-12 02:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5c8667…
11-12 02:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x41a804…
11-12 02:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x54d0f4…
11-12 02:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x0fa547…
11-12 02:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xad2459…
11-12 02:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8c5088…
11-12 02:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x02e7ac…
11-12 02:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x02dc75…
11-12 02:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf1650a…
11-12 02:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x37312e…
11-12 02:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7cfbb3…
11-12 01:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x255763…
11-12 01:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xc77f87…
11-12 01:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x559860…
11-12 01:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x9a58e5…
11-12 01:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6e4792…
11-12 01:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xeb8536…
11-12 01:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa3d203…
11-12 01:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x633965…
11-12 01:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x57a114…
11-12 01:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x846d18…
11-12 01:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa564c9…
11-12 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x21de0a…
11-12 00:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0d2e62…
11-12 00:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x39fa13…
11-12 00:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x0f72fc…
11-12 00:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x911742…