Giddy-Banyan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$368

Unrealized P&L

+$59

Hit rate

26.2%

Resolved

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$2.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$754

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-10 00:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

42% — —

Sports

34% 34% $-368

Other

24% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	+387	$317	88¢	$340	+$24	06-10 06:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	+305	$237	89¢	$272	+$35	06-04 16:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	+145	$141	97¢	$141	+$1	06-06 19:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	27	$317	387	0	+387	open	—	06-10 06:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	27	$237	305	0	+305	open	—	06-04 16:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	14	$199	283	0	+283	open	—	06-08 16:38
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	18	$191	256	0	+256	open	—	06-03 10:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	5	$141	145	0	+145	open	—	06-06 19:39
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	4	$124	141	0	+141	open	—	06-05 11:18
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	22	$117	285	0	+285	Pistons	$-117	05-07 00:43
iran closes its airspace by june 8	3	$101	337	0	+337	open	—	06-07 20:50
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	5	$96	102	0	+102	open	—	05-30 09:31
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	14	$91	179	0	+179	Over	$-91	05-12 23:02
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	22	$81	173	170	+3	Spurs	$-3	05-12 23:05
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	13	$80	178	0	+178	New York Yankees	$-80	05-12 22:35
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	11	$63	48	48	+0	Spurs	+$4	05-09 04:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$62	41	31	+10	open	—	05-29 06:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$57	105	0	+105	open	—	05-29 18:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	5	$46	51	0	+51	open	—	05-29 14:37
Avalanche vs. Wild	7	$41	93	0	+93	Avalanche	$-41	05-11 23:24
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	10	$37	75	0	+75	Over	+$38	05-07 08:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$29	57	0	+57	open	—	06-01 12:22
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	5	$27	47	47	+0	open	—	05-12 20:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$26	0	30	-30	open	—	06-01 13:41
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	8	$24	48	0	+48	76ers	+$24	05-06 18:32
Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline	7	$24	32	0	+32	Thunder	+$8	05-11 23:57
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$21	101	0	+101	Knicks	$-21	05-06 21:38
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	5	$20	44	0	+44	Boston Red Sox	$-20	05-08 22:39
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	2	$19	33	0	+33	New York Mets	+$14	05-12 23:02
1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	2	$19	35	0	+35	Spurs	$-19	05-12 22:08
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	3	$18	21	12	+8	Arizona Diamondbacks	$-5	05-11 22:22
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5	3	$17	33	0	+33	Over	$-17	05-12 00:02
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	2	$13	180	0	+180	Over	$-13	05-09 04:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:47:57	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x7d251a…
06-10 06:29:43	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xba753c…
06-10 06:21:21	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3bb184…
06-10 06:16:58	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x10e427…
06-10 05:30:06	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfc6501…
06-10 05:25:27	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xe81eaf…
06-10 00:47:04	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$10	0x8a723b…
06-09 22:21:18	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x60d0a1…
06-09 21:21:34	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x468358…
06-09 20:58:03	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$29	0x14f781…
06-09 20:47:52	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0x3511d5…
06-09 20:28:33	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x70cc0b…
06-09 20:13:22	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf18636…
06-09 20:12:49	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x0b6b63…
06-09 20:04:42	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	26	90¢	$24	0x7d041e…
06-09 13:09:22	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0x19721c…
06-08 16:38:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	39	70¢	$27	0x92f094…
06-08 16:26:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	22	70¢	$16	0x15f643…
06-08 16:09:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0x792d1a…
06-08 16:08:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	22	70¢	$16	0xd13ec5…
06-08 16:08:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	22	70¢	$16	0xbb3248…
06-08 15:56:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xad77d8…
06-08 15:37:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xc10a0a…
06-08 15:28:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xcc0393…
06-08 15:23:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xb350e1…
06-08 15:21:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x813545…
06-08 14:40:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd2cd14…
06-08 14:21:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x09742d…
06-08 14:18:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0xb7a94e…
06-08 13:57:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x4235ab…
06-07 23:34:09	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x19cc6b…
06-07 20:50:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	191	15¢	$29	0x32db86…
06-07 20:26:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	78	40¢	$31	0x5a00cd…
06-07 20:24:16	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	69	60¢	$41	0x87e40d…
06-07 00:52:00	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xf3fda7…
06-06 19:39:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xf60332…
06-06 18:11:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x38d61e…
06-06 15:18:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x9a236c…
06-06 09:56:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x7eb850…
06-06 08:05:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xe0b44f…
06-05 11:18:09	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x068a9b…
06-05 11:03:12	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	88¢	$32	0x1b6c0d…
06-05 10:45:37	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xff0393…
06-05 10:42:28	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x3aca3e…
06-04 16:32:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xb825e9…
06-04 15:47:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x00b685…
06-04 15:22:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x29df81…
06-04 14:41:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x06c8f0…
06-04 14:37:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb6a93d…
06-04 14:03:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x728cd7…
06-04 13:47:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xc8489d…
06-04 12:44:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x82b08e…
06-03 10:18:35	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0xe11782…
06-02 21:21:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	58	78¢	$45	0x160929…
06-02 17:35:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf0b7ec…
06-02 14:25:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x31c783…
06-02 14:04:03	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	29	77¢	$22	0x1413ff…
06-02 03:14:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x2d6498…
06-02 03:01:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xfd7888…
06-02 02:55:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb4a1c7…
06-02 00:12:03	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	15	77¢	$11	0x26af4a…
06-01 23:49:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xceba7a…
06-01 23:45:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4dc9d7…
06-01 23:27:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x5479a0…
06-01 19:23:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xb7eb34…
06-01 19:16:51	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xbc2a11…
06-01 19:10:05	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5fed70…
06-01 16:11:26	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x12b72f…
06-01 15:39:18	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xae146e…
06-01 15:31:53	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x890eee…
06-01 14:25:28	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xee9d5c…
06-01 14:10:41	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0cf43e…
06-01 14:07:30	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x3f4676…
06-01 14:05:56	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0xd194a2…
06-01 13:52:12	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x8bcf34…
06-01 13:41:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0xbd33ec…
06-01 13:29:23	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x0d661c…
06-01 13:20:08	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x55484b…
06-01 13:13:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	29	77¢	$23	0x7ad98a…
06-01 12:37:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xe94756…
06-01 12:22:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x5a67e3…
06-01 12:03:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x41d3a9…
06-01 11:52:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x39e5a1…
06-01 11:50:36	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x1794b1…
06-01 11:50:06	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xeae94a…
06-01 11:49:33	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	23	76¢	$18	0x27054e…
06-01 11:39:48	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xd370d3…
06-01 11:11:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0xc4e4a4…
06-01 11:09:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x64f489…
06-01 10:54:11	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x7a6053…
06-01 10:51:34	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x117ae7…
06-01 10:49:28	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xc3f539…
06-01 10:44:43	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x51de30…
06-01 10:38:40	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x12e59e…
06-01 10:11:00	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x334af7…
06-01 09:14:44	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x6c4af4…
06-01 07:59:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x2cef07…
05-30 09:31:23	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x01bd17…
05-29 18:05:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x8aef3b…
05-29 18:04:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xfe4de4…