Sleepy-Bait — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$778

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.7%

Resolved

890

Trades

1,799

lifetime

Volume

$7.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 09-15 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Other

87% 39% -$478

Sports

5% 25% -$41

Crypto

4% 2% -$258

Politics

4% 25% -$2

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the los angeles lakers make the nba playoffs 477	19	$138	75	75	-0	Yes	-$1	03-04 22:34
will frankenstein win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	19	$130	71	71	+0	Yes	-$1	03-07 09:05
will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	18	$128	70	70	-0	Yes	-$1	03-04 22:34
Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho?	12	$79	43	43	+0	Yes	-$1	03-04 22:34
highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 66 67f	6	$75	66	66	+0	No	-$15	03-13 19:59
highest temperature in nyc on march 13 2026 42 43f	5	$68	52	41	+11	Yes	-$14	03-13 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?	5	$61	58	58	+0	No	-$3	05-02 16:34
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	12	$61	32	32	+0	Yes	-$1	03-08 17:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?	2	$54	32	32	+0	No	+$9	07-04 22:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 4?	4	$51	32	32	+0	No	+$11	07-04 08:10
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	13	$50	30	30	-0	Yes	$0	03-07 09:06
Will Shelley Moore Capito be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	7	$49	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	03-04 21:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?	3	$46	37	37	+0	No	-$4	05-29 18:08
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 5?	2	$46	34	34	+0	No	-$2	07-05 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 5?	4	$45	34	34	+0	Yes	-$2	07-04 23:53
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 3?	8	$45	31	31	+0	No	+$8	07-03 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?	4	$45	36	36	+0	No	-$5	06-02 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 7?	6	$45	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-07 03:35
highest temperature in atlanta on march 19 2026 68 69f	3	$44	38	28	+10	Yes	-$9	03-19 03:55
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?	2	$43	34	34	+0	No	+$4	06-19 07:12
highest temperature in nyc on march 6 2026 40 41f	8	$42	38	38	-0	Yes	-$8	03-06 18:32
highest temperature in chicago on march 14 2026 38 39f	9	$42	36	31	+6	No	-$1	03-14 10:56
highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 68 69f	1	$41	70	0	+70	Yes	-$41	03-12 22:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 4?	2	$40	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-03 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 26?	5	$40	34	34	+0	No	-$2	06-26 16:53
highest temperature in nyc on march 20 2026 50 51f	2	$39	26	26	+0	No	-$1	03-18 20:56
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 24?	2	$38	43	43	+0	Yes	-$3	06-24 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 17?	2	$38	34	34	+0	No	-$3	06-17 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 6?	2	$38	23	23	+0	No	+$1	06-06 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 1?	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$3	07-01 06:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 19:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 15?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xc383c9…
09-15 19:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 15?	No	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x41cdc7…
09-15 15:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x959793…
09-15 15:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 15?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9c9e0b…
08-22 16:02:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?	No	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x757619…
08-22 01:44:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x8f2ef2…
08-21 06:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xc9feb3…
08-18 12:22:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?	No	SELL	12	64¢	$7	0x17110e…
08-17 23:39:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xb12dee…
08-17 12:51:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 17?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x37e195…
08-17 06:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 17?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3f1444…
08-17 02:59:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 17?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xf1ab48…
08-16 14:34:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 16?	No	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0xd50e7b…
08-15 22:55:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 16?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xc1c470…
08-15 12:33:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?	No	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xfb5a06…
08-15 10:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 15?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0x677a2b…
08-15 06:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x43807f…
08-15 02:37:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x901f42…
08-14 23:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 14?	No	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xa7aaf7…
08-14 16:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 14?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x89aff2…
08-12 16:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x211be9…
08-11 11:39:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 11?	No	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0xc0b68d…
08-11 02:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xc8452c…
08-10 22:15:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 11?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xae5282…
08-10 07:39:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xf1cfb1…
08-10 06:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x79883d…
08-09 13:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 9?	No	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x2124ac…
08-09 05:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 9?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf53dd3…
08-08 21:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xe52fac…
08-07 16:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 7?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xc002f2…
08-07 12:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 7?	No	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xaac92a…
08-07 10:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xf33f4e…
08-07 09:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7?	No	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xca68e9…
08-07 07:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x9a7311…
08-07 07:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 7?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5d4c1a…
08-07 03:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbb7e09…
08-06 22:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3bcb41…
08-06 17:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 6?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x7a4a79…
08-03 19:44:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 3?	No	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xc31462…
08-03 19:00:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 3?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xa023be…
07-27 13:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on July 27?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x2c27c5…
07-27 05:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x3c9d0c…
07-24 19:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on July 25?	No	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x0e5e15…
07-24 19:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 24?	No	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x5360ad…
07-24 16:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 24?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x2c1fc3…
07-21 23:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 22?	No	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0xb92757…
07-21 10:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 21?	No	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x1592e3…
07-20 23:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xa572f0…
07-18 03:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 18?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$5	0xb93f45…
07-17 16:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 17?	No	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0x0aeb02…
07-17 05:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 17?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0xd454c6…
07-16 19:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 16?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0b1fad…
07-16 19:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 16?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$0	0x30333a…
07-16 19:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 16?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0f2d27…
07-16 19:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 16?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb05990…
07-16 00:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 15?	No	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0x07093b…
07-15 20:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 15?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0x8db257…
07-15 20:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 15?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$9	0xcc83e0…
07-15 18:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 15?	No	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x182d7c…
07-15 17:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 16?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x98a2f9…
07-15 16:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 16?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xfeaa25…
07-15 11:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 15?	No	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x6713c4…
07-14 02:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 14?	No	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0x5ddbd8…
07-14 01:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 14?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x49a2ca…
07-13 13:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 13?	No	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x18a0e3…
07-13 13:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 13?	No	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0x3ea205…
07-13 13:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 13?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$6	0xa2ad4f…
07-13 13:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 13?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x98688c…
07-13 13:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 13?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdd8d51…
07-13 13:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 13?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xdd0953…
07-12 23:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 12?	No	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x30c1ce…
07-12 22:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 13?	No	SELL	17	75¢	$13	0x7bfdcb…
07-12 20:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 12?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa52509…
07-12 20:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 12?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5bc298…
07-12 19:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 12?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xd52692…
07-12 19:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 13?	No	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x254b93…
07-11 18:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?	No	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xb1a1cb…
07-11 12:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xb34fd4…
07-11 12:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x997893…
07-11 11:59:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7ab5f3…
07-11 11:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcc5e89…
07-11 11:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x354fe8…
07-11 11:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x920ccc…
07-11 11:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa8ecec…
07-11 11:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x299592…
07-11 11:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xeebfd9…
07-11 09:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 11?	No	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x548917…
07-11 09:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 11?	No	SELL	33	28¢	$9	0x40ebb0…
07-11 04:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 11?	No	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0x2c773e…
07-11 03:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 11?	No	BUY	23	46¢	$11	0x980614…
07-11 03:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 11?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x8d5966…
07-10 23:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 11?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$9	0xa244d8…
07-10 23:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 11?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$9	0x0faaad…
07-09 18:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 10?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xa061b6…
07-09 18:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 10?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x324279…
07-09 16:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?	No	SELL	23	63¢	$15	0x5fa7c8…
07-09 16:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?	No	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xf8dced…
07-09 15:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 10?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xc88565…
07-09 15:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 10?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x7c3be0…
07-09 14:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 9?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x809e33…