Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$212

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$150

Open exposure

$44

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-04 08:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

61% 95% -$7

Politics

20% 88% -$240

Crypto

13% 100% +$12

Tech

6% 100% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes		+52	$50	84¢	$44	-$6	10-04 08:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 700 719	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	01-04 09:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$370	373	0	+373	Yes	+$3	04-17 13:05
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	1	$363	367	0	+367	No	+$4	01-21 06:01
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	1	$350	352	0	+352	No	+$2	02-01 11:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$290	171	120	+51	No	+$1	06-29 06:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$270	272	0	+272	No	+$2	05-15 05:43
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 80 99	1	$250	254	0	+254	No	-$250	02-27 13:10
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	1	$250	259	0	+259	Yes	+$9	04-05 07:44
will hyperliquid hit 42 in january	1	$225	226	0	+226	No	+$1	01-21 05:58
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	1	$223	244	0	+244	No	+$21	03-01 13:05
another us strike on venezuela on january 4	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	01-04 10:05
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	1	$170	173	0	+173	No	+$3	07-08 10:02
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	1	$157	159	0	+159	No	+$2	07-08 10:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$140	142	0	+142	No	+$2	03-01 13:06
Iran leadership change by June 30?	1	$133	135	0	+135	No	+$2	06-13 12:22
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$130	131	0	+131	No	+$1	03-29 05:39
cs2 fut nrg 2026 04 05	1	$130	131	0	+131	FUT Esports	+$1	04-05 08:05
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$122	123	0	+123	Dplus KIA	+$1	05-21 12:51
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$122	123	0	+123	No	+$1	02-01 11:33
lol gen dnf 2026 08 04	2	$121	69	69	+0	Gen.G	+$1	08-04 09:40
cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	2	$121	84	84	+0	Spirit	-$39	08-01 12:41
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$120	121	0	+121	No	+$1	02-01 11:29
lol dcg tl2 2026 06 29 game1	1	$110	111	0	+111	Team Liquid	+$1	06-29 06:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	05-15 05:43
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	06-13 12:23
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$84	85	0	+85	open	—	10-04 08:01
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$81	82	0	+82	No	+$1	08-01 11:36
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	1	$76	77	0	+77	No	+$1	07-08 10:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	1	$70	71	0	+71	No	+$1	09-15 11:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	1	$66	67	0	+67	No	+$1	09-15 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 08:06:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xf462fd…
10-04 08:01:10	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xc31e81…
09-15 11:24:42	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x41e53e…
09-15 11:24:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x8f6466…
08-24 10:43:48	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x4b1372…
08-04 09:51:00	lol gen dnf 2026 08 04 game1	Gen.G	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0xeae2a1…
08-04 09:40:11	lol gen dnf 2026 08 04	Gen.G	SELL	69	89¢	$61	0x878c31…
08-04 05:51:42	lol gen dnf 2026 08 04	Gen.G	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0x5c2079…
08-01 12:42:27	lol jdg blg 2026 08 01	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x01d8b6…
08-01 12:41:51	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	Spirit	SELL	84	49¢	$41	0x2289a5…
08-01 11:36:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x7b3f02…
08-01 11:34:54	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	Spirit	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xb3d5f0…
07-08 10:03:25	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xc2e301…
07-08 10:02:56	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x2780f8…
07-08 10:01:10	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	159	99¢	$157	0x9cfaaf…
06-29 06:15:13	lol dcg tl2 2026 06 29 game1	Team Liquid	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xe7f52a…
06-29 06:14:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xc6e6a7…
06-13 12:23:42	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9c5766…
06-13 12:22:55	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	135	98¢	$133	0x788df0…
06-13 12:22:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	171	99¢	$170	0x9f6d39…
05-21 12:51:08	LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x0ecfb4…
05-15 05:43:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	272	99¢	$270	0x706095…
05-15 05:43:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xcfefca…
04-17 13:05:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	373	99¢	$370	0xa9a8ea…
04-05 08:05:53	cs2 fut nrg 2026 04 05	FUT Esports	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x4460d6…
04-05 07:44:01	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	Yes	BUY	259	97¢	$250	0x3e155d…
03-29 05:39:02	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x154865…
03-01 13:06:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	142	99¢	$140	0xba6667…
03-01 13:05:59	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	244	91¢	$223	0xaeda33…
02-27 13:10:41	donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 80 99	Yes	BUY	254	98¢	$250	0x9dc318…
02-01 11:34:24	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	352	99¢	$350	0x17e1ee…
02-01 11:33:28	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xb1075d…
02-01 11:29:06	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xefc5f4…
01-21 06:01:16	Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	No	BUY	367	99¢	$363	0x939e1e…
01-21 05:58:10	will hyperliquid hit 42 in january	No	BUY	226	99¢	$225	0x79cbc7…
01-04 10:05:35	another us strike on venezuela on january 4	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x72e583…
01-04 09:30:07	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 700 719	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x993d89…