Plush-Owl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

502

lifetime

Volume

$614.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.22K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 07-01 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% 43% $-3

Crypto

33% 100% +$26

Politics

20% — —

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	15	$77.8K	39,024	39,224	-200	open	—	06-03 23:53
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	52	$62.6K	36,823	30,449	+6,374	open	—	04-29 15:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$62.3K	19,980	42,347	-22,367	open	—	06-01 12:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$59.8K	60,000	0	+60,000	open	—	04-08 12:37
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	23	$44.3K	34,390	10,000	+24,390	open	—	04-29 21:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	11	$40.0K	40,000	0	+40,000	open	—	06-17 16:35
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	11	$32.8K	32,896	0	+32,896	open	—	03-27 17:04
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	40	$28.0K	24,723	10,537	+14,186	open	—	04-30 12:54
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	1	$25.0K	25,060	0	+25,060	Yes	+$25	04-02 22:14
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	11	$21.8K	10,929	10,929	+0	open	—	05-01 09:56
over 6m committed to the laso finance public sale	2	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	07-01 01:25
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	5	$19.2K	11,079	8,100	+2,979	open	—	04-28 13:51
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	19	$14.4K	14,453	0	+14,453	open	—	05-01 12:11
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	1	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	open	—	06-09 17:39
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	10	$10.5K	10,505	0	+10,505	open	—	04-08 07:13
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$10.0K	10,450	0	+10,450	open	—	05-13 22:54
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	8	$9.4K	9,794	160	+9,634	open	—	05-15 19:34
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	4	$8.8K	8,808	0	+8,808	open	—	06-09 19:08
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	2	$8.4K	8,407	0	+8,407	open	—	03-13 06:40
over 14m committed to the laso finance public sale	5	$6.6K	6,596	0	+6,596	open	—	07-01 21:05
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	6	$6.4K	3,919	2,460	+1,459	open	—	05-14 09:21
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	12	$5.1K	2,991	2,274	+718	open	—	04-30 11:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$3.1K	1,947	1,209	+738	open	—	04-08 00:08
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	11	$3.0K	1,630	1,329	+301	open	—	04-28 13:57
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	4	$2.5K	2,531	0	+2,531	open	—	05-14 14:28
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	9	$2.2K	1,111	1,105	+6	open	—	04-08 00:30
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	4	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-09 18:06
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-26 17:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$1.5K	952	552	+400	open	—	04-08 00:03
P2P FDV above $10M one day after launch?	1	$1.2K	1,162	0	+1,162	Yes	+$1	04-02 22:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 21:05:19	over 14m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9f85fb…
07-01 21:04:41	over 14m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc36af9…
07-01 20:51:31	over 14m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc943d6…
07-01 19:33:14	over 14m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb42dab…
07-01 19:23:10	over 14m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	4,568	100¢	$4,563	0xb71a2c…
07-01 14:35:44	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale 755 669	Yes	BUY	325	100¢	$325	0xfc476b…
07-01 14:35:44	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale 755 669	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6e1cb8…
07-01 01:25:23	over 6m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	13,654	100¢	$13,640	0xcb1696…
07-01 01:04:56	over 6m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	6,346	100¢	$6,340	0x2967fb…
06-17 16:35:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	803	100¢	$802	0xb53bc7…
06-17 16:35:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x872e62…
06-17 16:09:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x601be1…
06-17 16:07:47	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe99dbd…
06-17 16:07:35	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x707ba0…
06-17 15:43:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x6c261a…
06-17 15:43:29	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x18ffb1…
06-17 15:42:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc18143…
06-17 15:37:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9637d5…
06-17 15:37:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x973cfd…
06-17 15:37:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25,147	100¢	$25,122	0xaaea35…
06-09 19:08:18	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6,000	100¢	$5,994	0xc65ec2…
06-09 18:56:52	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x60f18f…
06-09 18:38:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	802	100¢	$801	0x10ec8c…
06-09 18:06:39	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf8e5bc…
06-09 18:06:33	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4d409b…
06-09 18:06:33	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x439f18…
06-09 18:06:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	966	100¢	$965	0x9dea6f…
06-09 17:39:39	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,000	100¢	$10,989	0xb41458…
06-09 17:24:25	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xebd6e8…
06-03 23:53:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27,099	100¢	$27,072	0xb09cf9…
06-03 23:30:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,752	100¢	$4,747	0x4ca8da…
06-03 23:30:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xf3d8c2…
06-03 23:30:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0c5b29…
06-03 23:29:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6,700	100¢	$6,693	0x485e5d…
06-03 23:29:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x461579…
06-03 23:29:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$50	0x3e5b0c…
06-03 23:29:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$238	0xe68149…
06-03 23:29:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbacd68…
06-01 17:17:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,310	100¢	$4,306	0x26b05a…
06-01 17:17:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15,690	100¢	$15,674	0x15b97b…
06-01 17:00:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,930	0x4bbfab…
06-01 17:00:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,992	99¢	$6,922	0xea4283…
06-01 17:00:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,731	99¢	$6,662	0x1c07fe…
06-01 16:22:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	42¢	$128	0x29f4e9…
06-01 12:24:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42,347	100¢	$42,305	0xd083f7…
06-01 12:20:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19,980	100¢	$19,960	0x702b25…
05-26 17:20:39	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xedb3e9…
05-19 20:22:30	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x6167fc…
05-19 17:11:58	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x52ead9…
05-15 19:34:36	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	145	94¢	$136	0xb733fc…
05-15 19:32:20	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x051705…
05-15 19:26:11	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x64b995…
05-15 19:02:12	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	634	95¢	$603	0x281937…
05-15 19:01:14	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	7,969	95¢	$7,571	0xe41741…
05-15 18:59:56	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	160	95¢	$152	0xfdc6ca…
05-15 18:54:25	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	84	94¢	$79	0xbae653…
05-15 18:51:54	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	907	94¢	$852	0xd88634…
05-14 14:28:17	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	508	99¢	$501	0x79a9a0…
05-14 12:08:48	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xd9aea1…
05-14 09:21:13	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1,365	100¢	$1,364	0x0d6d6d…
05-13 22:54:11	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	406	96¢	$388	0xba8d02…
05-13 22:53:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	101	96¢	$97	0x5438e1…
05-13 22:39:05	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	109	95¢	$104	0xf4fb18…
05-13 22:38:18	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9,834	95¢	$9,381	0x664faf…
05-13 11:08:02	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$93	0xb6d86c…
05-08 16:07:09	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	97¢	$970	0x3fcd19…
05-07 12:16:10	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	2,367	100¢	$2,364	0xad042d…
05-07 11:18:57	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2,449	100¢	$2,446	0xa1a537…
05-07 11:03:40	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1f1ce3…
05-07 06:25:53	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	87¢	$28	0x53a4e1…
05-07 06:25:33	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	931	99¢	$919	0xc988ed…
05-07 06:25:25	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	965	99¢	$959	0x46138a…
05-07 06:24:15	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b1a7a…
05-05 02:09:00	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x5a325c…
05-05 02:04:40	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x065899…
05-05 02:04:38	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7abf83…
05-04 21:23:08	Will Zoë Kravitz be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x26fcd0…
05-04 18:47:18	Will Zoë Kravitz be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xab29e8…
05-04 16:39:06	Will Nicole Kidman be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xedcaf3…
05-04 16:38:50	Will Frank Ocean be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x910813…
05-04 16:38:46	Will Ice Spice be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00ebb3…
05-04 16:38:42	Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3dc21c…
05-04 16:38:36	Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xf093ed…
05-04 16:38:32	Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xab5ce4…
05-04 14:17:40	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x738c72…
05-04 12:54:34	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x8d05d4…
05-04 06:40:22	Will Frank Ocean be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x24ea0f…
05-04 06:40:06	Will Frank Ocean be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x3e3b67…
05-04 06:39:58	Will Frank Ocean be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x265d56…
05-04 00:54:56	Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x50472d…
05-04 00:01:10	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	8,009	0¢	$16	0xbac45b…
05-03 23:52:54	Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x8c79fa…
05-03 22:30:50	Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xad08cb…
05-03 22:25:34	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	5,500	0¢	$11	0x87f9e8…
05-03 22:24:42	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x3e91d5…
05-03 22:15:22	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x0da34a…
05-03 22:13:56	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xb39d38…
05-03 22:13:22	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	2,230	0¢	$4	0x161764…
05-03 22:10:28	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	510	0¢	$1	0x22a763…
05-03 22:10:16	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	2,230	0¢	$4	0x4dbf9a…