Flawless-Ephyra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$372

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 11-07 12:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% -$15

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No		-5	-$5	99¢	$-5	$0	11-07 12:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 26	1	$1.1K	1,135	0	+1,135	No	+$2	03-26 02:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	1	$1.1K	1,132	0	+1,132	No	+$2	03-25 03:18
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	1	$1.1K	1,129	0	+1,129	No	+$2	03-24 03:02
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	1	$1.1K	1,127	0	+1,127	No	+$2	03-23 02:36
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	1	$1.1K	1,125	0	+1,125	No	+$2	03-22 01:59
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	1	$1.1K	1,123	0	+1,123	No	+$2	03-21 02:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	1	$1.1K	1,120	0	+1,120	No	+$2	03-20 03:29
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 19	1	$1.1K	1,118	0	+1,118	No	+$2	03-19 03:18
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 18	1	$1.1K	1,117	0	+1,117	No	+$3	03-18 02:46
xrp above 1pt9 on march 17	1	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	No	+$3	03-17 08:21
will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on march 16	1	$1.1K	1,109	0	+1,109	No	+$2	03-16 09:29
will ethereum dip to 1700 march 9 15	1	$1.1K	1,107	0	+1,107	No	+$4	03-15 03:00
ethereum above 2300 on march 14	1	$1.1K	1,104	0	+1,104	No	+$3	03-14 04:20
bitcoin above 62k on march 13	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$3	03-13 03:36
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	1	$1.1K	1,096	0	+1,096	No	+$2	03-12 06:57
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	1	$1.1K	1,094	0	+1,094	No	+$2	03-11 07:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 10	1	$1.1K	1,091	0	+1,091	No	+$2	03-10 03:28
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 9	1	$1.1K	1,089	0	+1,089	No	+$2	03-09 09:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 8	1	$1.1K	1,087	0	+1,087	No	+$3	03-08 04:19
ethereum above 2200 on march 7	1	$1.1K	1,084	0	+1,084	No	+$2	03-07 04:14
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	1	$1.1K	1,082	0	+1,082	No	+$3	03-06 09:43
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on february 15	1	$13	1,147	0	+1,147	No	-$13	02-15 09:31
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be between $110M and $130M at market close on IPO day?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-26 13:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	05-04 03:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-12 12:34
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	05-19 07:14
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	+$0	01-27 04:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	3	$10	3,365	0	+3,365	No	-$10	03-03 02:21
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt10 on february 22	3	$10	3,300	0	+3,300	No	-$10	02-22 04:03
bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-07 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 12:13:55	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8c060e…
09-09 04:58:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe96f17…
08-20 04:00:49	bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe6652c…
08-11 06:02:12	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x43535c…
08-06 04:44:11	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xee960d…
07-30 03:35:41	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc9baa8…
07-24 08:33:19	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbe8900…
07-13 09:16:52	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x809127…
07-07 11:20:04	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa892c9…
07-01 09:36:23	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x18a904…
06-25 06:24:23	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x95676c…
06-20 08:33:28	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2ef879…
06-12 06:24:04	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe3883b…
05-26 13:02:44	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be between $110M and $130M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8baef5…
05-19 07:14:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x432fc9…
05-12 12:34:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0c948a…
05-04 03:31:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa94156…
04-17 03:30:36	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x602e19…
03-31 01:59:11	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 31	Yes	BUY	1,139	0¢	$3	0x540561…
03-26 02:27:47	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 26	No	BUY	1,135	100¢	$1,132	0x6be094…
03-25 03:18:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	No	BUY	1,132	100¢	$1,129	0x179fef…
03-24 03:02:57	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	No	BUY	1,129	100¢	$1,127	0x947e20…
03-23 02:36:45	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	No	BUY	1,127	100¢	$1,125	0x2bac33…
03-22 01:59:09	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	1,125	100¢	$1,123	0x141a98…
03-21 02:10:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	No	BUY	1,123	100¢	$1,121	0xc20512…
03-20 03:29:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	No	BUY	1,120	100¢	$1,118	0xfa7c42…
03-19 03:18:41	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 19	No	BUY	1,118	100¢	$1,116	0x46c983…
03-18 02:46:13	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 18	No	BUY	1,117	100¢	$1,114	0xa6e75c…
03-17 08:21:19	xrp above 1pt9 on march 17	No	BUY	1,112	100¢	$1,109	0xd8538b…
03-16 09:29:47	will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on march 16	No	BUY	1,109	100¢	$1,107	0x92b7b5…
03-15 03:00:47	will ethereum dip to 1700 march 9 15	No	BUY	1,107	100¢	$1,103	0x4d7343…
03-14 04:20:37	ethereum above 2300 on march 14	No	BUY	1,104	100¢	$1,100	0xb7dd75…
03-13 03:36:01	bitcoin above 62k on march 13	Yes	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,096	0x766707…
03-12 06:57:37	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	No	BUY	1,096	100¢	$1,094	0x9e76c0…
03-11 07:52:31	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	No	BUY	1,094	100¢	$1,092	0xafb6b1…
03-10 03:28:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	1,091	100¢	$1,089	0x6999f6…
03-09 09:19:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 9	No	BUY	1,089	100¢	$1,087	0xbb4fbf…
03-08 04:19:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 8	No	BUY	1,087	100¢	$1,084	0x63d04a…
03-07 04:14:41	ethereum above 2200 on march 7	No	BUY	1,084	100¢	$1,082	0x945358…
03-06 09:43:33	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	No	BUY	1,082	100¢	$1,079	0x158a29…
03-03 02:21:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,142	0¢	$3	0xbe0745…
03-03 02:12:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,109	0¢	$3	0x522114…
03-03 02:11:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,115	0¢	$3	0x623509…
02-22 04:03:48	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt10 on february 22	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$3	0x567c0f…
02-22 04:02:48	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt10 on february 22	Yes	BUY	1,099	0¢	$3	0x552e17…
02-22 04:01:08	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt10 on february 22	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$3	0x4fc070…
02-19 02:52:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 19	Yes	BUY	1,092	0¢	$4	0xe169e6…
02-19 02:51:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 19	Yes	BUY	1,092	0¢	$4	0x17cfc0…
02-15 09:31:09	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on february 15	Yes	BUY	1,147	1¢	$13	0xde0372…
02-13 13:43:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1,123	0¢	$3	0x480652…
02-11 02:09:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,121	0¢	$3	0x9e476f…
02-10 00:13:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,106	1¢	$7	0xb7fa67…
02-07 03:15:27	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 7	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x3cbdd3…
02-07 02:56:59	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 7	Yes	BUY	1,097	1¢	$8	0x560ee3…
02-05 02:48:29	ethereum above 2500 on february 5	Yes	BUY	1,076	0¢	$2	0x2c457d…
02-02 10:27:06	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa6912…
02-02 07:56:18	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on february 2	Yes	BUY	1,051	0¢	$2	0xcd7cb5…
01-31 06:37:54	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x255803…
01-30 08:05:36	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e7410…
01-29 06:08:06	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x489d3a…
01-27 04:06:05	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x37ba27…
01-26 09:47:13	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0372d9…
01-23 06:51:24	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 23	Yes	BUY	1,055	0¢	$1	0x67a894…