Scornful-Woodshed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

115

Trades

262

lifetime

Volume

$1.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 03:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

90% 62% +$5

Politics

8% 100% +$4

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-09 03:50
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	06-01 06:13
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	06-20 18:17
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-21 20:16
Will Bill Cassidy finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-17 02:05
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-09 13:21
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-25 12:51
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 01:45
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-21 21:58
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-29 02:42
will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-12 19:22
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-15 15:34
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	06-23 15:48
will mrbeasts video get 85 million or more views on day 6	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	04-24 12:23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	04-26 03:23
lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 12c	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-24 05:41
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 31?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 26?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-25 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-01 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-26 13:09
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 29?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 2?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-02 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-01 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 03:57
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 6?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-05 23:03
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 6?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 20:35
highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 78 79f	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	04-23 17:27
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 24 2026 20c	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	04-23 18:25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 6?	4	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-05 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:30:33	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3101eb…
07-28 06:18:54	will bnb reach 800 in july	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98e6f5…
06-29 02:42:05	Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7b3ff7…
06-29 00:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x3929ec…
06-28 23:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 29?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x384df6…
06-28 05:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x3c54c5…
06-28 04:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa7ba56…
06-27 12:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x5466b4…
06-27 12:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x97410c…
06-27 01:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xbe1aa8…
06-26 15:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 27?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x31f3e2…
06-26 02:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x831579…
06-26 02:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x664564…
06-25 12:51:23	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x81da20…
06-25 12:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6b1713…
06-24 18:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5264f0…
06-24 16:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd02127…
06-24 13:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 25?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdd6080…
06-24 02:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb8ce35…
06-24 02:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x412cc8…
06-24 02:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 24?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfbc384…
06-24 01:45:22	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x8595b5…
06-23 15:48:26	Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x782bc9…
06-23 04:00:55	Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb962b3…
06-22 00:08:14	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xef98ab…
06-21 21:58:11	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xb2c75c…
06-20 18:17:01	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5e9696…
06-20 16:14:16	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x75f780…
06-19 18:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x538dcb…
06-19 17:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 20?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xdf339f…
06-18 04:01:25	Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x3a5ccd…
06-16 10:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xdfe850…
06-16 10:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x99bd81…
06-16 09:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 16?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xa95d16…
06-16 03:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x15a2b4…
06-15 15:34:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x727220…
06-15 12:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf12615…
06-14 09:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 14?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xed9281…
06-14 09:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6f2e1b…
06-13 12:14:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xaea13a…
06-13 12:02:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x51da51…
06-13 11:19:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x2aef58…
06-12 19:22:37	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4d0ab1…
06-12 14:05:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xd1a8a1…
06-12 04:02:34	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe6ac5d…
06-11 08:06:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x2c297e…
06-11 08:05:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xa642f9…
06-09 13:21:45	Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa6d83b…
06-09 10:34:49	Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xafad45…
06-09 09:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x264fdb…
06-09 03:50:22	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1321d9…
06-09 03:50:01	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x883244…
06-08 16:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdde726…
06-08 00:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xd7c204…
06-07 23:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 8?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x07165e…
06-07 14:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfc8552…
06-07 12:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0cbb24…
06-07 01:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb4b145…
06-07 00:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x12af85…
06-06 15:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 7?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x00bbd5…
06-05 23:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xa6c80a…
06-05 23:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x2d35af…
06-05 21:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 6?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x528d36…
06-05 05:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x1becad…
06-05 05:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 5?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x587559…
06-04 08:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 4?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xbec044…
06-04 08:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x51b78b…
06-03 07:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x9b25d8…
06-03 07:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x50eedb…
06-03 04:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 3?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x49e35a…
06-02 17:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x99e646…
06-02 17:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x5294d9…
06-02 17:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1afcee…
06-02 12:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 3?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5b972d…
06-02 06:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x60a795…
06-01 21:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x465198…
06-01 08:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x81b33c…
06-01 08:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x774872…
06-01 06:13:50	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9a3f73…
05-31 19:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xc26244…
05-31 16:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x123935…
05-31 06:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x8fa790…
05-31 06:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x51b98d…
05-31 05:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x0d836c…
05-30 16:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbc2162…
05-30 14:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb325b7…
05-30 04:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x2c4f7f…
05-30 04:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x30d65b…
05-30 04:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe87964…
05-29 07:54:30	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x0dbf43…
05-29 02:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x99c610…
05-29 00:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbfc0ad…
05-28 15:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x2a1951…
05-28 15:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x68282c…
05-28 13:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xc19ee6…
05-28 13:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0db9da…
05-28 12:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 29?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6c2e7b…
05-27 18:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x7abddd…
05-27 13:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xda108d…
05-27 12:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 28?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xea365c…