Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$177

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

310

Trades

672

lifetime

Volume

$2.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-02

last 10-10 06:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 46% -$192

Other

21% 55% +$40

Politics

4% 11% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 296 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No		+5	$4	92¢	$5	+$0	09-15 11:37
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes		+5	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	09-15 11:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner	4	$54	30	30	+0	BOMBA Team	+$1	09-08 15:47
LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs	4	$32	45	45	+0	Maryville University	-$3	09-09 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	6	$29	99	12	+87	Down	-$21	10-10 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	8	$29	73	0	+73	Up	-$29	09-11 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	9	$29	54	0	+54	Up	-$29	09-10 12:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	8	$28	34	24	+10	Yes	$0	09-15 08:42
LoL: White Dragons vs Dominion Goblins (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffs	2	$28	15	15	+0	White Dragons	+$0	09-08 20:01
LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs	2	$27	20	20	+0	Maryville University	+$3	09-11 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	9	$26	45	0	+45	Up	+$19	09-11 00:22
LoL: devils.one vs Lodis - Game 1 Winner	1	$26	30	0	+30	Lodis	+$4	09-09 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	9	$24	85	0	+85	Down	-$24	09-10 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$24	30	0	+30	Down	+$6	09-10 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	8	$24	112	0	+112	Up	-$24	09-10 06:39
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	7	$23	20	20	+0	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	-$1	09-08 21:12
LoL: Deer Gaming vs Verdant - Game 4 Winner	1	$23	25	0	+25	Verdant	+$2	09-09 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	8	$23	224	0	+224	Down	-$23	09-11 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	7	$22	56	0	+56	Up	-$22	09-11 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	9	$22	60	0	+60	Down	-$22	09-11 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	8	$22	86	0	+86	Up	-$22	09-10 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	8	$21	55	0	+55	Down	+$33	09-10 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$21	30	0	+30	Up	+$9	09-10 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$21	40	0	+40	Up	-$21	09-10 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	2	$20	35	0	+35	Down	-$20	09-10 07:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 10?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-08 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	5	$20	45	0	+45	Up	-$20	09-10 05:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 14?	3	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	09-08 09:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 8?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	09-08 09:57
LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	5	$19	50	45	+5	LOUD	-$3	09-13 18:16
LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs	5	$19	17	12	+5	Forsaken	-$2	09-08 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$19	35	0	+35	Down	+$16	09-10 04:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 06:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x73ca10…
10-10 02:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1f3d40…
10-10 02:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe1a8d6…
10-10 02:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xda36d5…
10-10 01:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2227fb…
10-10 01:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x330a32…
10-10 01:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4a3b5b…
10-10 01:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x55a7a5…
10-10 01:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf0d543…
10-10 01:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xec4f14…
10-10 01:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x162146…
10-10 01:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6362d1…
10-10 01:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x9c1519…
10-10 01:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x008ce9…
10-10 01:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6f65ea…
10-09 01:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xdf4990…
10-09 00:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe4e95e…
10-09 00:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1e3b2a…
10-08 23:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe3d62d…
10-08 23:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x0c6f64…
10-08 23:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x96cf5d…
10-08 23:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xe5e507…
10-08 11:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x08bc89…
09-15 11:39:55	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x5e99a4…
09-15 11:37:45	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa3dd38…
09-15 11:37:34	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xe320f4…
09-15 08:42:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x6514bd…
09-15 02:16:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x03b2ed…
09-15 02:09:25	Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xbd0a91…
09-15 02:07:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x452b30…
09-15 01:39:16	Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba6230…
09-14 20:26:04	LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner	Estral Esports	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xa2f832…
09-14 20:25:06	LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner	Estral Esports	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x4b21d1…
09-14 16:30:30	LoL: EXILE esports vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs	EXILE esports	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x100934…
09-14 15:56:49	LoL: EXILE esports vs eSuba - Game 2 Winner	eSuba	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x1bf460…
09-14 15:54:19	LoL: EXILE esports vs eSuba - Game 2 Winner	eSuba	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xdb2204…
09-14 06:55:43	Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x69a662…
09-14 01:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7176e5…
09-14 01:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xb9598a…
09-14 01:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2973ca…
09-14 01:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x458435…
09-14 00:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfa3edc…
09-14 00:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x516fef…
09-14 00:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe868c3…
09-14 00:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x48d9cb…
09-13 23:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x9c671a…
09-13 23:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x903c5d…
09-13 23:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa29cce…
09-13 23:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7fe1b1…
09-13 23:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x001a3f…
09-13 22:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5f523c…
09-13 22:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb5e1af…
09-13 20:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb2c2d9…
09-13 20:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x3053af…
09-13 20:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x9f579b…
09-13 20:43:28	LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Sentinels	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xdc2e86…
09-13 20:39:40	LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Sentinels	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x71fa7a…
09-13 20:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x093e3c…
09-13 20:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x956c44…
09-13 20:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x51f98e…
09-13 20:23:33	LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xc4d3fb…
09-13 20:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2d4f89…
09-13 20:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8a4bb3…
09-13 20:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x68b793…
09-13 20:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd7f893…
09-13 20:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xb36cd0…
09-13 20:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xea394c…
09-13 20:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x187a7d…
09-13 20:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0xc54b81…
09-13 20:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xbb2dd9…
09-13 20:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xed46e9…
09-13 19:53:07	LoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffs	White Dragons	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0bacf6…
09-13 19:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfe73de…
09-13 19:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x322d6b…
09-13 19:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x76ea7d…
09-13 19:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x96a0de…
09-13 19:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x389bdd…
09-13 19:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdf2954…
09-13 19:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc1fd97…
09-13 19:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x998ad9…
09-13 19:18:58	LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 4 Winner	paiN Gaming	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x00f6ad…
09-13 19:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa2b06a…
09-13 19:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x26e87b…
09-13 19:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x47235a…
09-13 18:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x40daed…
09-13 18:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x87e652…
09-13 18:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x133ab6…
09-13 18:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x06a952…
09-13 18:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0a3979…
09-13 18:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x39d69a…
09-13 18:16:42	LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	paiN Gaming	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x3341c9…
09-13 18:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x34e019…
09-13 18:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xde99f9…
09-13 18:01:52	LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	paiN Gaming	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x9f36e9…
09-13 17:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x609070…
09-13 17:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x25df57…
09-13 17:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7349fb…
09-13 17:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x793f64…
09-13 17:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x03b9c4…
09-13 17:34:45	LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	paiN Gaming	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x3df350…